1704 NW Oak Ave · Lawton, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 1704 NW Oak Ave in Lawton, OK, a fully updated property offering a true turn key opportunity for both investors and owner occupants. This home has been thoughtfully renovated throughout, creating a modern, comfortable space that is currently operating as an AirBnB. The interior features a clean, cohesive design with updates that make the home easy to maintain and appealing to guests or everyday living. The layout is efficient and welcoming, providing a great balance of style and function. For buyers seeking a furnished option, all furniture and household items currently in the home are available with the purchase for an additional $10,000, allowing for an immediate move in or sea
Key facts
- Efficient layout
- Conveniently located
- 6,603 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage (converted garage)
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
- Construction: Metal siding; Crawl space foundation; Built with composition roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio and porch; Wood fencing; Composition roof; Public-maintained road access; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Dishwasher; Range hood; Gas water heater
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Window coverings; Updated/remodeled condition
- Laundry & utility: Laundry area in kitchen; Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-28 ($-335/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $135k (3.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $104k (25.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $104k (25.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#206 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, commute F.
- Lawton (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #137 of 270 in OK (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Whittier Es (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #479 of 845 statewide, top 63%, 351 students, 0% FRL); Central Ms (math 17% / reading 24%, grade F, #153 of 345 statewide, top 45%, 994 students, 0% FRL); Lawton Hs (math 16% / reading 21%, grade F, #302 of 447 statewide, top 68%, 1,417 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 208 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Comanche County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $964 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Comanche County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $56k; list at $140k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.86%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $86,268
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1809 NW Kingsbury | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 1,146 (+5%) | 3mo | $35,000 | $31 | 72 |
| 732 NW 16th St | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 | 1,200 (+10%) | 3mo | $99,000 | $83 | 71 |
| 1605 NW Columbia Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 1,100 (+1%) | 1mo | $73,800 | $67 | 69 |
| 701 NW 22nd St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 1,000 (-8%) | 1mo | $49,200 | $49 | 61 |
| 1122 NW Oak Ave | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 1,000 (-8%) | 6mo | $79,000 | $79 | 60 |
| 1722 NW Liberty Ave | 0.19mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+10%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $113 | 59 |
| 1339 NW Ferris | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,000 (-8%) | 4mo | $75,900 | $76 | 54 |
| 1742 NW Ash Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+10%) | 6mo | $100,000 | $83 | 54 |
| 1419 NW 23rd St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (-8%) | 4mo | $19,900 | $20 | 48 |
| 1204 NW Taft | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 950 (-13%) | 5mo | $35,000 | $37 | 43 |
| 1410 NW Columbia Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+10%) | 5mo | $108,000 | $90 | 38 |
| 1416 NW Bell Ave | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+10%) | 3mo | $119,900 | $100 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-27,233
- Equity at exit
- $20,800
- IRR
- -20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.05×
- Total profit
- $-37,086
- Equity at exit
- $12,061
Cash invested: $39,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73507
- Home prices YoY
- -23.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 208
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,038 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$732
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $701/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$218
- Net cashflow
- $-28
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,875
- Closing costs
- $4,185
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-19status Pending
-
2026-04-20historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-02-24$139,500 Active
-
2014-01-08soldstatus $55,724
-
2004-05-17soldstatus $64,000
-
2002-04-28soldstatus $55,000
-
2001-12-18soldstatus $22,000
-
2001-12-07soldstatus $14,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $701 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,256 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- +$554/yr (+$46/mo · 79.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,459
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,814
- − Property taxes
- −$701
- − Insurance
- −$698
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$997
- − Management
- −$997
- − Depreciation
- −$4,058
- Taxable loss
- −$2,805
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$673
- After-tax cash flow
- $339/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lawton
- NCES district ID
- 4017250
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,618
- Composite
- 19.68/100
- National rank
- #8732
- State rank
- #137 of 270 in OK
Livability — Lawton
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #206
- US rank
- #15131
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lawton, OK
- County
- Comanche County · 96,361 people
- City population
- 89,233
- Metro
- Lawton, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,046
- Household income
- $62,132
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 979.0
Population outlook (Comanche County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 124,518 people
- By 2030
- 124,231 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 122,193 · -1.9%
- By 2050
- 120,368 · -3.3%
- By 2075
- 120,492 · -3.2%
- By 2100
- 123,113 · -1.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 13% Black 13% Native American 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Comanche
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.3) · D 37.4% · R 60.7% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: -17.5pp · 2024: -23.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.3 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+17.0 2008: R+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -38.48%
- Current HPI
- 127.057
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.25%
- Metro
- Lawton, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+896.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — LBRMLS
- 2026-04-20 Contingent — LBRMLS
- 2026-02-24 Listed $139,500 LBRMLS
- 2014-01-08 Sold (Public Records) $55,724 Public Records
- 2004-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
- 2002-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2001-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
- 2001-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $701 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…