1748 Jameson St · Abilene, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$142,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in a well-established neighborhood with plenty of space and flexibility. This property features a large backyard, two dining areas, and an additional bonus room that can be used as a home office, closet, oversized pantry, or small third bedroom to fit your needs. Conveniently located near the AI data center, schools, shopping, restaurants, and easy access to I-20, this home offers both comfort and convenience. Whether you're looking for extra living space, room to work from home, or a great location close to everyday amenities, this property has a lot to offer.
Key facts
- Two dining areas
- Large backyard
- Great location
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed as Active and offered under an exclusive right to sell agreement; Possession at closing/funding
- Financial info: Accepts cash and conventional financing; No second mortgage
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: 1 covered parking space; 1 carport space; Driveway parking; On-street parking
- Security: Security lights
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Cable available; Asphalt streets; Located in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story; Not attached to another property; Built in 1961; Located in the J B Collins Of North Park subdivision; Facing and entry level not specified
- Construction: Wood construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Covered porch (enclosed); Chain link fencing; Irregular lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (primary bedroom on level 1)
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans; Electric cooling components
- Interior features: Cable TV available; One living area; Two dining areas; Two total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $142k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $644 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $142k).
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 6.8% in Abilene — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#142 in TX, #4,037 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, commute F.
- Abilene ISD (urban): math 32% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #575 of 826 in TX (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ortiz El (math 16% / reading 20%, grade F, #3,785 of 4,322 statewide, top 88%, 484 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 57% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 18% at this address vs 33% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Abilene ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+40.2%/yr); 86 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 508 units permitted in Taylor County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $985 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Taylor County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.37%
- DSCR
- 1.86
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $142,464
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2057 Collins Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+2%) | 7mo | $145,000 | $112 | 72 |
| 3042 Hickory St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,230 (-3%) | 11mo | $178,000 | $145 | 60 |
| 2941 Hickory St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,340 (+5%) | 3mo | $220,000 | $164 | 60 |
| 2750 Clinton St | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 | 1,348 (+6%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $111 | 60 |
| 2917 Hickory St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 1,148 (-10%) | 6mo | $130,000 | $113 | 59 |
| 3018 Grape St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,120 (-12%) | 14mo | $39,500 | $35 | 56 |
| 2741 Orange St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,182 (-7%) | 6mo | $203,000 | $172 | 50 |
| 2733 Orange St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,182 (-7%) | 6mo | $203,000 | $172 | 49 |
| 2498 Grape St | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,236 (-3%) | 9mo | $49,999 | $40 | 47 |
| 1234 N 26th St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 1,140 (-10%) | 6mo | $55,000 | $48 | 46 |
| 3649 Hickory St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,120 (-12%) | 7mo | $62,000 | $55 | 46 |
| 1902 Vogel St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,328 (+4%) | 13mo | $100,000 | $75 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $28,250
- Equity at exit
- $21,247
- IRR
- 28.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.12×
- Total profit
- $124,385
- Equity at exit
- $12,321
Cash invested: $39,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79603
- Home prices YoY
- -32.5%
- Rents YoY
- 40.2%
- Active inventory
- 86
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,956 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$747
- Tax from tax record
- −$94 /mo · $1,133/yr
- Insurance
- −$59
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$411
- Net cashflow
- $644
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $725 | -5% $684 | +0% $644 | +5% $604 | +10% $563 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $490 | -5% $567 | +0% $644 | +5% $721 | +10% $799 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $716 | -0.5pp $680 | base $644 | +0.5pp $607 | +1.0pp $570 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,625
- Closing costs
- $4,275
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1732 Jameson St Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1241 | $2,200 | $1.77 | 45d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 2841 Old Anson Rd Abilene, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 932 | $2,000 | $2.15 | 14d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2934 Old Anson Rd Unit 321 Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,437 | $1.21 | 22d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1638 Merchant St Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1328 | $2,895 | $2.18 | 14d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $142,500 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $142,500 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 601-char remark
-
2026-06-17$142,500 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,133 · $94/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,608 · $217/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,475/yr (+$123/mo · 130.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,472
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,982
- − Property taxes
- −$1,133
- − Insurance
- −$712
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,878
- − Management
- −$1,878
- − Depreciation
- −$4,145
- Taxable income
- $5,743
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,378
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,351/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Abilene ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4807440
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,782
- Composite
- 27.71/100
- National rank
- #6909
- State rank
- #575 of 826 in TX
Livability — Abilene
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #4037
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Abilene, TX
- County
- Taylor County · 136,672 people
- City population
- 136,672
- Metro
- Abilene, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,548
- Household income
- $53,513
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 662.0
Population outlook (Taylor County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 145,270 people
- By 2030
- 150,050 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 159,417 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 168,883 · +16.3%
- By 2075
- 194,436 · +33.8%
- By 2100
- 203,163 · +39.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 48% White 40% Two or more races 24% Black 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 44%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 25%
Political lean MEDSL · Taylor
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.8) · D 24.6% · R 74.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.2pp toward R · 2008: -45.6pp · 2024: -49.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.8 2020: R+45.3 2016: R+51.1 2012: R+53.6 2008: R+45.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.84%
- Current HPI
- 184.8875
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 40.19%
- Metro
- Abilene, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $142,500 NTREIS
- 1988-03-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,133 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…