🏷️ Likely Rental
20813 Grandville Rd #214 · Big Rapids, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$29,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Country Manor Estates is now under new ownership and professional management! Looking for an affordable 3-bedroom, 2 full bath home? This welcoming community offers a variety of financing options to fit your needs. Enjoy clean, well-maintained grounds along with great amenities, including a playground, tennis, pickleball, and basketball court--perfect for families and active lifestyles. Lot rent is approximately $525/month + $110 for water, sewer and trashPlease note: this is a mobile home community; no land is included in the sale. Buyer must complete park application and receive approval prior to closing. Buyers must pay a 6% sales tax and a $90.00 title transfer fee that goes to the Secretary of State. Contact the listing agent today for more information or to schedule a tour!
Key facts
- Pickleball court
- Tennis court
- Basketball court
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $525; Association includes snow removal; Community amenities: playground, tennis courts
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Ranch-style residence; One-story (ranch); Built in 2001
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Public water
Interior
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Slab basement; Total building area approximately 1,216
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $30k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $324 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $29k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.3% vs local median 2.5% in Big Rapids — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#209 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Big Rapids Public Schools (town): math 36% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #176 of 540 in MI (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP; 116 units permitted in Mecosta County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mecosta County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 39% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.48%
- DSCR
- 3.07
- GRM
- 1.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $81,365
- List price
- $29,900
- Delta
- -63.25%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20798 Saint Joseph Ave Lot 226 | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (0%) | 1mo | $35,000 | $29 | 91 |
| 18365 Saint Joseph Dr #234 | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (0%) | 1mo | $30,000 | $25 | 90 |
| 18336 St Joseph Ave #222 | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (0%) | 6mo | $69,900 | $57 | 84 |
| 21269 19 Mile Rd | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,288 (+6%) | 8mo | $119,900 | $93 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.93×
- Total profit
- $16,153
- Equity at exit
- $4,458
- IRR
- 50.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.02×
- Total profit
- $42,055
- Equity at exit
- $2,585
Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49307
- Active inventory
- 191
- Price-to-rent
- 1.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,337 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$37 /mo · $448/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$525
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$281
- Net cashflow
- $324
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,475
- Closing costs
- $897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $525 · $6,300/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrashlandscaping
Listing history 19 events
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2026-06-19days on market $29,900 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $29,900 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $29,900 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $29,900 Active 39 DOM
Show marketing remark (790 chars)
Country Manor Estates is now under new ownership and professional management! Looking for an affordable 3-bedroom, 2 full bath home? This welcoming community offers a variety of financing options to fit your needs. Enjoy clean, well-maintained grounds along with great amenities, including a playground, tennis, pickleball, and basketball court--perfect for families and active lifestyles. Lot rent is approximately $525/month + $110 for water, sewer and trashPlease note: this is a mobile home community; no land is included in the sale. Buyer must complete park application and receive approval prior to closing. Buyers must pay a 6% sales tax and a $90.00 title transfer fee that goes to the Secretary of State. Contact the listing agent today for more information or to schedule a tour!
-
2026-06-16price $29,900 Active 38 DOM
Show marketing remark (790 chars)
Country Manor Estates is now under new ownership and professional management! Looking for an affordable 3-bedroom, 2 full bath home? This welcoming community offers a variety of financing options to fit your needs. Enjoy clean, well-maintained grounds along with great amenities, including a playground, tennis, pickleball, and basketball court--perfect for families and active lifestyles. Lot rent is approximately $525/month + $110 for water, sewer and trashPlease note: this is a mobile home community; no land is included in the sale. Buyer must complete park application and receive approval prior to closing. Buyers must pay a 6% sales tax and a $90.00 title transfer fee that goes to the Secretary of State. Contact the listing agent today for more information or to schedule a tour!
-
2026-06-15days on market $39,900 Active 38 DOM
Show marketing remark (790 chars)
Country Manor Estates is now under new ownership and professional management! Looking for an affordable 3-bedroom, 2 full bath home? This welcoming community offers a variety of financing options to fit your needs. Enjoy clean, well-maintained grounds along with great amenities, including a playground, tennis, pickleball, and basketball court--perfect for families and active lifestyles. Lot rent is approximately $525/month + $110 for water, sewer and trashPlease note: this is a mobile home community; no land is included in the sale. Buyer must complete park application and receive approval prior to closing. Buyers must pay a 6% sales tax and a $90.00 title transfer fee that goes to the Secretary of State. Contact the listing agent today for more information or to schedule a tour!
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2026-06-12days on market $39,900 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $39,900 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $39,900 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $39,900 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $39,900 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $39,900 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $39,900 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $39,900 Active 24 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $39,900 Active 23 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $39,900 Active 22 DOM
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2026-05-08$39,900 Active 760-char remark
Show marketing remark (790 chars)
Country Manor Estates is now under new ownership and professional management! Looking for an affordable 3-bedroom, 2 full bath home? This welcoming community offers a variety of financing options to fit your needs. Enjoy clean, well-maintained grounds along with great amenities, including a playground, tennis, pickleball, and basketball court--perfect for families and active lifestyles. Lot rent is approximately $525/month + $110 for water, sewer and trashPlease note: this is a mobile home community; no land is included in the sale. Buyer must complete park application and receive approval prior to closing. Buyers must pay a 6% sales tax and a $90.00 title transfer fee that goes to the Secretary of State. Contact the listing agent today for more information or to schedule a tour!
-
2026-05-08$39,900 Active 758-char remark
Show marketing remark (790 chars)
Country Manor Estates is now under new ownership and professional management! Looking for an affordable 3-bedroom, 2 full bath home? This welcoming community offers a variety of financing options to fit your needs. Enjoy clean, well-maintained grounds along with great amenities, including a playground, tennis, pickleball, and basketball court--perfect for families and active lifestyles. Lot rent is approximately $525/month + $110 for water, sewer and trashPlease note: this is a mobile home community; no land is included in the sale. Buyer must complete park application and receive approval prior to closing. Buyers must pay a 6% sales tax and a $90.00 title transfer fee that goes to the Secretary of State. Contact the listing agent today for more information or to schedule a tour!
-
2026-05-08$39,900 Active
Show marketing remark (790 chars)
Country Manor Estates is now under new ownership and professional management! Looking for an affordable 3-bedroom, 2 full bath home? This welcoming community offers a variety of financing options to fit your needs. Enjoy clean, well-maintained grounds along with great amenities, including a playground, tennis, pickleball, and basketball court--perfect for families and active lifestyles. Lot rent is approximately $525/month + $110 for water, sewer and trashPlease note: this is a mobile home community; no land is included in the sale. Buyer must complete park application and receive approval prior to closing. Buyers must pay a 6% sales tax and a $90.00 title transfer fee that goes to the Secretary of State. Contact the listing agent today for more information or to schedule a tour!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,040
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,675
- − Property taxes
- −$448
- − Insurance
- −$150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,283
- − Management
- −$1,283
- − HOA
- −$6,300
- − Depreciation
- −$870
- Taxable income
- $4,031
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$967
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,924/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This mobile home is in fair condition with cosmetic updates needed to improve its appearance and value. Painting and landscaping can significantly enhance its curb appeal and property value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Paint — Paint appears faded in some areas
- Minor Exterior paint — Siding could benefit from a fresh coat of paint
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting — Fresh paint can improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Window treatments — New window treatments can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping — Improved landscaping can increase the home's curb appeal and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Paint · Paint appears faded in some areas | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Exterior paint · Siding could benefit from a fresh coat of paint | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting — Fresh paint can improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Window treatments — New window treatments can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping — Improved landscaping can increase the home's curb appeal and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Big Rapids Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2605780
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,568
- Composite
- 36.37/100
- National rank
- #4685
- State rank
- #176 of 540 in MI
Livability — Big Rapids
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #209
- US rank
- #5231
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Mecosta County · 18,407 people
- City population
- 18,407
- Metro
- Big Rapids, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,407
- Household income
- $60,358
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 667.0
Population outlook (Mecosta County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,954 people
- By 2030
- 42,954 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 41,574 · -3.2%
- By 2050
- 39,250 · -8.6%
- By 2075
- 32,628 · -24.0%
- By 2100
- 27,476 · -36.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Iranian 5% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mecosta
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.0) · D 34.2% · R 64.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.3pp toward R · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: -30.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.0 2020: R+28.0 2016: R+26.1 2012: R+9.8 2008: R+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -107.88%
- Current HPI
- 199.8828
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Big Rapids, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-25.1% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $29,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-15 Price Changed $29,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-15 Price Changed $29,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-06-03 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-30 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $39,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-08 Listed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…