3915 Riviera Dr · Slidell, LA
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.7/30.0
- ARV discount +13.3/15.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$143,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute as a Button Cottage in Super Convenient Location in Slidell! Luxury Vinyl Plank Flooring throughout, New GE Gas Range/Oven and Microwave, Newer Quartz Countertops and Shaker Cabinets(2022), Newer HVAC(2022), Rear-Yard Access, Convenient to restaurants, shopping, Old Towne Slidell, and the Twin Span!
Key facts
- New ge gas range
- Rear-yard access
- Shaker cabinets
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $143k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $300 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $143k).
- Recommended offer: $130k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 5.9% in Slidell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#57 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- St. Tammany Parish (suburban): math 43% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #11 of 98 in LA (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 489 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,064 units permitted in St. Tammany Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $989 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Tammany County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($130k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.98%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $164,062
- List price
- $143,000
- Delta
- -12.84%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3756 Riviera Dr | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 | 1,043 (+4%) | 12mo | $106,000 | $102 | 71 |
| 3785 Brookwood Dr | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,138 (+14%) | 12mo | $56,000 | $49 | 58 |
| 3176 Carey St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (-7%) | 4mo | $137,000 | $148 | 50 |
| 3224 College St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 877 (-12%) | 23mo | $89,500 | $102 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.47% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-6,360
- Equity at exit
- $21,322
- IRR
- 3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $10,008
- Equity at exit
- $12,364
Cash invested: $40,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70458
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 489
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,451 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$750
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $446/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$305
- Net cashflow
- $300
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $380 | -5% $340 | +0% $300 | +5% $259 | +10% $219 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $185 | -5% $242 | +0% $300 | +5% $357 | +10% $414 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $372 | -0.5pp $336 | base $300 | +0.5pp $262 | +1.0pp $225 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,750
- Closing costs
- $4,290
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301 Spartan Dr Slidell, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 880 | $1,502 | $1.71 | 4d | 8 | 0.46mi |
| 4456 Pontchartrain Dr Unit 7 Slidell, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 4d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4456 Pontchartrain Dr Unit 15 Slidell, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,195 | $1.41 | 22d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2864 Slidell Ave Slidell, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 963 | $1,395 | $1.45 | 4d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 4504 Pontchartrain Dr Slidell, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 821 | $1,250 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 901 Old Spanish Trl Slidell, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1070 | $1,120 | $1.05 | 12d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3159 Dee St Slidell, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 898 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $143,000 Active 106 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $143,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $143,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $143,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $143,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $143,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $143,000 Active 97 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $143,000 Active 96 DOM
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2026-06-08price $143,000 Active 95 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $144,000 Active 95 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $144,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $144,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $144,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $144,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-05-01price $144,000 305-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Cute as a Button Cottage in Super Convenient Location in Slidell! Luxury Vinyl Plank Flooring throughout, New GE Gas Range/Oven and Microwave, Newer Quartz Countertops and Shaker Cabinets(2022), Newer HVAC(2022), Rear-Yard Access, Convenient to restaurants, shopping, Old Towne Slidell, and the Twin Span!
-
2026-05-01price $144,000 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Cute as a Button Cottage in Super Convenient Location in Slidell! Luxury Vinyl Plank Flooring throughout, New GE Gas Range/Oven and Microwave, Newer Quartz Countertops and Shaker Cabinets(2022), Newer HVAC(2022), Rear-Yard Access, Convenient to restaurants, shopping, Old Towne Slidell, and the Twin Span!
-
2026-03-03$149,000 Active 305-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Cute as a Button Cottage in Super Convenient Location in Slidell! Luxury Vinyl Plank Flooring throughout, New GE Gas Range/Oven and Microwave, Newer Quartz Countertops and Shaker Cabinets(2022), Newer HVAC(2022), Rear-Yard Access, Convenient to restaurants, shopping, Old Towne Slidell, and the Twin Span!
-
2026-03-03$149,000 Active 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Cute as a Button Cottage in Super Convenient Location in Slidell! Luxury Vinyl Plank Flooring throughout, New GE Gas Range/Oven and Microwave, Newer Quartz Countertops and Shaker Cabinets(2022), Newer HVAC(2022), Rear-Yard Access, Convenient to restaurants, shopping, Old Towne Slidell, and the Twin Span!
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2022-11-09soldstatus $154,000
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2022-11-04soldstatus $154,000 Closed
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2022-10-04status Pending
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2022-09-26status Active
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2022-09-20status Pending
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2022-09-12$149,900 Active
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2022-09-12$149,900
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2006-09-29soldstatus $42,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $446 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $786 · $66/mo
- Expected delta
- +$340/yr (+$28/mo · 76.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,411
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,010
- − Property taxes
- −$446
- − Insurance
- −$715
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,393
- − Management
- −$1,393
- − Depreciation
- −$4,160
- Taxable income
- $1,294
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$310
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,284/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Tammany Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201650
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -26.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,752
- Composite
- 43.04/100
- National rank
- #3098
- State rank
- #11 of 98 in LA
Livability — Slidell
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #7673
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Slidell, LA
- County
- Saint Tammany Parish · 228,296 people
- City population
- 95,511
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,034
- Household income
- $72,843
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1331.0
Population outlook (St. Tammany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 286,725 people
- By 2030
- 304,175 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 336,203 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 364,590 · +27.2%
- By 2075
- 433,362 · +51.1%
- By 2100
- 470,333 · +64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Black 17% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Native American 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Tammany
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.8) · D 27.3% · R 71.1% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -43.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.8 2020: R+44.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+52.2 2008: R+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -173.60%
- Current HPI
- 147.4749
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.47%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+242.9% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $144,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $144,000 GSREIN
- 2026-03-03 Listed $149,000 GSREIN
- 2026-03-03 Listed $149,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2022-11-09 Sold (Public Records) $154,000 Public Records
- 2022-11-04 Sold (MLS) $154,000 GSREIN
- 2022-10-04 Pending — GSREIN
- 2022-09-26 Relisted — GSREIN
- 2022-09-20 Pending — GSREIN
- 2022-09-12 Listed $149,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2022-09-12 Listed $149,900 GSREIN
- 2006-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-9.1%/yrLatest (2025): $446 · -10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…