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192 York St Duplex
B Composite 70.16
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.2/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.2/15.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0

$299,000

192 York St · Buffalo, NY 14213
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,884 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 39 Days on market
Built 1890 2,170 sqft lot Est $273k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

EXCEPTIONAL 2 BED 2 BATH UNIT WITH ALL THE MUST HAVES. COMPLETELY BRAND NEW RENOVATED 2 STORY UNIT. WIDE OPEN FLOOR PLAN FOR EASY ENTERTAINING AND LIVABILITY. GORGEOUS HARDWOODS THROUGHOUT, 2 NEW FULL BATHS, GOURMET KITCHEN WITH ALL APPLIANCES INCL DISHWASHER, 2ND FLOOR LAUNDRT WITH * * FRONT LOADER * * MACHINES!! TONS OF CLOSET SPACE TOO. OFF-STREET PARKING FOR 2 CARS!! SO STOP SEARCHING, AND CALL US TODAY.

Key facts

  • Two family home
  • Side by side units
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

TWO FAMILY HOMESIDE BY SIDE UNITSUPDATED KITCHENUPDATED BATHROOMIN UNIT LAUNDRYWALK IN CLOSET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $299k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $521/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $299k).
  • Recommended offer: $290k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 138 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,561/mo this rent would consume 79% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 1501% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (7.5% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (7.5% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $1k; list at $299k implies a 25900% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $290,030 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
10.47%
Cash-on-cash
14.93%
DSCR
1.66
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$273,180
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
192 York St 0.00mi 3/2.5 1,884 (0%) 1mo $285,000 $151 97
193 14th St 0.17mi 3/2.0 2,040 (+8%) 6mo $156,000 $76 69
145 14th St 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,710 (-9%) 9mo $281,500 $165 66
132 Ashland Ave 0.26mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,002 (+6%) 12mo $293,200 $146 59
23 Sherwood St 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,830 (-3%) 4mo $150,000 $82 56
147 Mariner St 0.44mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,098 (+11%) 4mo $365,000 $174 52
475 W Ferry St 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,740 (-8%) 6mo $236,900 $136 48
375 Plymouth Ave 0.42mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,121 (+13%) 4mo $265,000 $125 47
60 Elmwood Ave 0.60mi 2/3.0 (-1) 2,064 (+10%) 6mo $299,900 $145 46
116 West Ave 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,692 (-10%) 4mo $131,000 $77 44
428 Normal Ave 0.61mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,680 (-11%) 9mo $180,000 $107 37
221 Lexington Ave 0.55mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,620 (-14%) 8mo $425,000 $262 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.51% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.3%
Equity multiple
3.03×
Total profit
$169,691
Equity at exit
$217,305
10-year hold
IRR
25.4%
Equity multiple
6.06×
Total profit
$423,605
Equity at exit
$422,276

Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14213

Home prices YoY
1.7%
Rents YoY
-0.5%
Active inventory
138
Price-to-rent
14.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,561 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,568
Tax from tax record
$79 /mo · $947/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$748
Net cashflow
$1,042

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,242
Max offer price $299,000
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,211 -5% $1,126 +0% $1,042 +5% $957 +10% $872
Rent -10% $760 -5% $901 +0% $1,042 +5% $1,182 +10% $1,323
Rate -1.0pp $1,192 -0.5pp $1,118 base $1,042 +0.5pp $964 +1.0pp $885

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,561

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,750
Closing costs
$8,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 31 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
184 14th St Buffalo, NY 4.0 2.0 1950 $4,400 $2.26 25d 1 0.18mi
161 16th St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.5 1500 $2,000 $1.33 25d 1 0.21mi
124 Normal Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1727 $2,000 $1.16 25d 1 0.22mi
118 Ashland Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1326 $1,850 $1.40 15d 1 0.25mi
330 Bryant St Buffalo, NY 3.0 2.0 2224 $2,200 $0.99 21d 1 0.27mi
217 Norwood Ave Apt 1 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1500 $2,700 $1.80 45d 1 0.37mi
318 14th St Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1619 $1,300 $0.80 12d 1 0.38mi
501 West Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2552 $1,850 $0.72 21d 1 0.39mi
501 West Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2552 $1,700 $0.67 15d 1 0.39mi
451 Elmwood Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1633 $3,305 $2.02 45d 1 0.40mi
74 Days Park Unit 8 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1350 $1,695 $1.26 45d 1 0.46mi
126 Cottage St Unit 4 Buffalo, NY 2.0 2.5 1500 $2,000 $1.33 15d 1 0.54mi
569 Elmwood Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1500 $1,750 $1.17 13d 1 0.55mi
888 Delaware Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 899 $2,440 $2.71 25d 1 0.57mi
405 W Ferry St Unit Lower Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2480 $1,500 $0.60 45d 1 0.66mi
506 Delaware Ave Buffalo, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 1190 $2,995 $2.52 11d 6 0.70mi
19 North St Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 1306 $2,910 $2.23 11d 7 0.71mi
550 Busti Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1638 $1,500 $0.92 45d 1 0.73mi
385 Seventh St Unit Lower Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 2136 $1,250 $0.59 45d 1 0.74mi
83 Baynes St Unit Lower Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2550 $1,850 $0.73 15d 1 0.82mi
740 Elmwood Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2000 $1,995 $1.00 15d 1 0.83mi
40 Putnam St Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1600 $2,100 $1.31 25d 1 0.84mi
628 Ellicott St Buffalo, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1059 $2,812 $2.65 3d 5 0.98mi
311 Herkimer St #1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1272 $1,400 $1.10 15d 1 1.16mi
100 S Elmwood Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 2.0 1213 $2,260 $1.86 4d 2 1.22mi
100 S Elmwood Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 2.0 1254 $2,232 $1.78 25d 1 1.22mi
552 Potomac Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 2500 $2,200 $0.88 45d 1 1.29mi
1360 Niagara St Buffalo, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1252 $2,396 $1.91 3d 2 1.33mi
836 Richmond Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 3.5 1982 $4,500 $2.27 45d 1 1.39mi
340 Bird Ave #202 Buffalo, NY 2.0 2.5 1505 $2,950 $1.96 11d 1 1.40mi
465 Washington St Buffalo, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1388 $2,285 $1.65 3d 5 1.44mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-03-07
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-21
    status Active
  3. 2026-02-14
    status Pending
  4. 2026-01-20
    listed $299,000 Active
  5. 2014-09-15
    soldstatus $1,150 414-char remark
    Show marketing remark (414 chars)

    EXCEPTIONAL 2 BED 2 BATH UNIT WITH ALL THE MUST HAVES. COMPLETELY BRAND NEW RENOVATED 2 STORY UNIT. WIDE OPEN FLOOR PLAN FOR EASY ENTERTAINING AND LIVABILITY. GORGEOUS HARDWOODS THROUGHOUT, 2 NEW FULL BATHS, GOURMET KITCHEN WITH ALL APPLIANCES INCL DISHWASHER, 2ND FLOOR LAUNDRT WITH * * FRONT LOADER * * MACHINES!! TONS OF CLOSET SPACE TOO. OFF-STREET PARKING FOR 2 CARS!! SO STOP SEARCHING, AND CALL US TODAY.

  6. 2014-09-08
    soldstatus $187,000 17-char remark
    Show marketing remark (17 chars)

    SOLD BEFORE PRINT

  7. 2014-09-03
    listed $1,150 414-char remark
    Show marketing remark (414 chars)

    EXCEPTIONAL 2 BED 2 BATH UNIT WITH ALL THE MUST HAVES. COMPLETELY BRAND NEW RENOVATED 2 STORY UNIT. WIDE OPEN FLOOR PLAN FOR EASY ENTERTAINING AND LIVABILITY. GORGEOUS HARDWOODS THROUGHOUT, 2 NEW FULL BATHS, GOURMET KITCHEN WITH ALL APPLIANCES INCL DISHWASHER, 2ND FLOOR LAUNDRT WITH * * FRONT LOADER * * MACHINES!! TONS OF CLOSET SPACE TOO. OFF-STREET PARKING FOR 2 CARS!! SO STOP SEARCHING, AND CALL US TODAY.

  8. 2014-08-29
    soldstatus $187,000
  9. 2014-06-29
    listed $189,999 17-char remark
    Show marketing remark (17 chars)

    SOLD BEFORE PRINT

  10. 2009-06-05
    soldstatus $125,000
  11. 2008-01-10
    soldstatus $27,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$947 · $79/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,000 · $250/mo
Expected delta
+$2,053/yr (+$171/mo · 216.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$42,732
− Mortgage interest
−$16,749
− Property taxes
−$947
− Insurance
−$1,495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,419
− Management
−$3,419
− Depreciation
−$8,698
Taxable income
$8,006
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,921
After-tax cash flow
$10,579/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
24,107
Household income
$53,870
Rent vs Own
60.5% rent · 39.5% own
Severe rent burden
1501.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Hispanic / Latino 20% Black 18% Asian 12% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 16% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
16% · Philippines, Canada, India
Languages at home
68% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Asian/Pacific 7% Arabic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.51%
Current HPI
448.4879
Rent YoY
▼ -0.49%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1007.4% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-07 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-02-21 Relisted WNYREIS
  • 2026-02-14 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-01-20 Listed $299,000 WNYREIS
  • 2014-09-15 Sold (MLS) $1,150 WNYREIS
  • 2014-09-08 Sold (MLS) $187,000 WNYREIS
  • 2014-09-03 Listed $1,150 WNYREIS
  • 2014-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $187,000 Public Records
  • 2014-06-29 Listed $189,999 WNYREIS
  • 2009-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 2008-01-10 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $947 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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