2205 Marshall Dr · Burleson, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner’s suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are three secondary bedrooms at the front of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests. Prices, dimensions and features may vary and are subject to change. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Open floorplan
- Secondary bedrooms
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $316 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
- Recommended offer: $235k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.5% in Burleson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#53 in TX, #2,133 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Joshua ISD (rural): math 52% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #139 of 826 in TX (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 420 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,152 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (76 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Johnson County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.41%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $354,152
- List price
- $250,000
- Delta
- -29.41%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2201 Doc Holiday Rd | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,720 (-2%) | 0mo | $256,999 | $149 | 96 |
| 2148 Jesse James Ln | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,656 (-6%) | 1mo | $240,999 | $146 | 89 |
| 1620 Glade Meadows Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,841 (+5%) | 1mo | $365,000 | $198 | 68 |
| 1160 Indigo Ln | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 | 1,818 (+3%) | 10mo | $350,000 | $193 | 67 |
| 5828 Thousand Oaks Dr | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 | 1,800 (+2%) | 4mo | $349,900 | $194 | 65 |
| 6520 Boot Jack Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,918 (+9%) | 2mo | $355,000 | $185 | 59 |
| 5824 Thousand Oaks Dr | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 | 1,580 (-10%) | 4mo | $269,900 | $171 | 52 |
| 1148 Blue Sky Ln | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,893 (+8%) | 10mo | $359,000 | $190 | 51 |
| 6400 Azur Meadows Dr | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 | 1,885 (+7%) | 19mo | $330,000 | $175 | 50 |
| 1400 Grassy Meadows Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,900 (+8%) | 15mo | $365,000 | $192 | 48 |
| 1640 Glade Meadows Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,927 (+10%) | 21mo | $350,000 | $182 | 46 |
| 1169 Sapphire Ln | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,907 (+8%) | 19mo | $348,900 | $183 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-20,326
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- 1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $8,487
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76058
- Home prices YoY
- -24.5%
- Active inventory
- 420
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,650 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$312 /mo · $3,750/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$50
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$556
- Net cashflow
- $316
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1612 Caddo Peak Trl Joshua, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1504 | $2,650 | $1.76 | 10d | 1 | 1.00mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $50 · $600/yr
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending 519-char remark
Show marketing remark (519 chars)
This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner’s suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are three secondary bedrooms at the front of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests. Prices, dimensions and features may vary and are subject to change. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
-
2026-05-14price $250,000 519-char remark
Show marketing remark (519 chars)
This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner’s suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are three secondary bedrooms at the front of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests. Prices, dimensions and features may vary and are subject to change. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
-
2026-03-20price $255,999 519-char remark
Show marketing remark (519 chars)
This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner’s suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are three secondary bedrooms at the front of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests. Prices, dimensions and features may vary and are subject to change. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
-
2026-03-06price $258,999 519-char remark
Show marketing remark (519 chars)
This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner’s suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are three secondary bedrooms at the front of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests. Prices, dimensions and features may vary and are subject to change. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
-
2026-03-04price $259,999 519-char remark
Show marketing remark (519 chars)
This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner’s suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are three secondary bedrooms at the front of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests. Prices, dimensions and features may vary and are subject to change. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
-
2026-02-25price $260,999 519-char remark
Show marketing remark (519 chars)
This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner’s suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are three secondary bedrooms at the front of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests. Prices, dimensions and features may vary and are subject to change. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
-
2026-02-14$275,999 Active 519-char remark
Show marketing remark (519 chars)
This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner’s suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are three secondary bedrooms at the front of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests. Prices, dimensions and features may vary and are subject to change. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$3,750
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,544
- − Management
- −$2,544
- − HOA
- −$600
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$165
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$40
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,829/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This single-level home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It offers a spacious open floorplan and is move-in ready.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value
- Both Interior cleaning — A clean interior can make the home more appealing to potential buyers or renters
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value ↑
- Both Interior cleaning — A clean interior can make the home more appealing to potential buyers or renters ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Joshua ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4824930
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,696
- Composite
- 44.65/100
- National rank
- #2769
- State rank
- #139 of 826 in TX
Livability — Burleson
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #53
- US rank
- #2133
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Burleson, TX
- City population
- 81,549
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,531
Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 179,678 people
- By 2030
- 189,208 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 207,261 · +15.4%
- By 2050
- 223,064 · +24.1%
- By 2075
- 259,979 · +44.7%
- By 2100
- 275,395 · +53.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 11% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 18% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Johnson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.4) · D 23.9% · R 75.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: -47.5pp · 2024: -51.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.4 2020: R+53.0 2016: R+58.3 2012: R+55.6 2008: R+47.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -86.22%
- Current HPI
- 265.6513
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-9.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $250,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $255,999 NTREIS
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $258,999 NTREIS
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $259,999 NTREIS
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $260,999 NTREIS
- 2026-02-14 Listed $275,999 NTREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…