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37 Larry Dr
D- Composite 37.4
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +9.3/30.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +2.0/15.0

$510,000

37 Larry Dr · Alton, NH 03810
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,606 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 33 Days on market
Built 2003 0.52 ac lot Est $454k · 12% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

CANCELED OPEN HOUSE SUNDAY NOVEMBER 12. WATER ACCESS. 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath, 1 car garage Contemporary Home located in Low Tax, Alton, NH. Enjoy new Construction throughout. This home is located in Alton Shore Association. Perfect for the Outdoor Enthusiasts. This home includes heated finish basement which can be used for Home Office, Family room, sitting area or kid’s playroom. Large unfinished utility room with Washer/Dryer hook ups / Storage Space. Open concept Family Room with Cathedral Ceiling / New Kitchen with energy efficient SS Appliances, Granite Counter tops, and Kitchen Island. Feel the outdoors from within in this sunlight filled room surrounded by large windows and 2 sliders to large deck with mountain views. 2 Bedrooms and Full bath on this level as well. Top level with Master Bedroom / walk-in closet full Bathroom and spacious landing overlooking to Cathedral room below. Includes new Heating System and Central A/C. This home can be is used for a year-round or second home get away or Rental. Association has a Low yearly fee of $275.00 which gives you Beach rights to 5 Beaches and Boat launch for kayaks, canoes, paddle boards and power boats to Sunset Lake and Hill Pond. Minutes away from Hiking Trails, Snowmobile trails, Mount Major, Gunstock Ski Area and Alton Bay / Marinas if you enjoy boating on Lake Winnipesaukee, Enjoy a peaceful setting and all that nature has to offer. A Year-round playground. A must see! Agent has interest in property.

Key facts

  • Backyard area fenced
  • 5 beaches
  • Boat launches

Tags

MODERN YEAR ROUND HOMEWELL EQUIPPED KITCHENBACKYARD AREA FENCED5 BEACHESBOAT LAUNCHES

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Alton Shores Association (offers beach access and beach rights)

Exterior

  • Parking: One-car garage
  • Utilities: Drilled well water source; Private 1250-gallon septic; 200 amp electrical service with circuit breakers and underground service; High-speed internet available on site; Cable available on site
  • Home design: Modern architecture; Existing single-family residence; Built in 2003; Metal roof
  • Construction: Wood frame construction with vinyl siding; Concrete foundation
  • Exterior features: Gravel driveway; Road frontage on an association-maintained, dead-end gravel road (approx. 100 feet); Part of Alton Shores Association with beach access and beach rights; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Propane heating with forced air and multi-zone controls; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Basement partially finished with climate control, concrete construction, daylight windows, insulation, interior stairs, storage space, and walkout access

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $510k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-374 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $444k (13.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $355k (30.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $355k (30.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 1.4% in Alton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#93 in NH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Alton School District (rural): math 34% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #139 of 171 in NH (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Alton Central School (Elem) (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #171 of 263 statewide, top 66%, 417 students, 17% FRL); Prospect Mountain High School (math 32% / reading 62%, grade D-, #47 of 90 statewide, top 57%, 387 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools at 20% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 301 units permitted in Belknap County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $55k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $51k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Belknap County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$88k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($495k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $355,285 (30.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
5.41%
Cash-on-cash
-3.14%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
12.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$454,498
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
56 Frohock Brook Rd 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,699 (+6%) 4mo $475,000 $280 83
44 Larry Dr 0.04mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,624 (+1%) 10mo $420,100 $259 81
19 Wendy Dr 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,826 (+14%) 1mo $470,000 $257 62
36 Larry Dr 0.04mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,398 (-13%) 12mo $400,000 $286 60
30 Bly Ave 0.43mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,676 (+4%) 6mo $498,000 $297 58
9 Scott Dr 0.18mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,500 (-7%) 15mo $425,000 $283 58
27 Marsha Dr 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,508 (-6%) 24mo $399,900 $265 44
11 Beaver Dam Rd 0.61mi 3/2.5 1,759 (+10%) 22mo $1,020,000 $580 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.0%
Equity multiple
2.78×
Total profit
$253,766
Equity at exit
$459,448
10-year hold
IRR
19.8%
Equity multiple
6.36×
Total profit
$765,731
Equity at exit
$990,818

Cash invested: $142,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Hampshire
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Has just-cause statute; 30-day notice; landlord-leaning vs. neighbors.

ZIP-level market 03810

Home prices YoY
33.9%
Active inventory
35
Price-to-rent
12.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,553 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,674
Tax from tax record
$294 /mo · $3,528/yr
Insurance
$212
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$746
Net cashflow
$-374

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,027
Max offer price $443,888
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-86 -5% $-230 +0% $-374 +5% $-519 +10% $-663
Rent -10% $-655 -5% $-515 +0% $-374 +5% $-234 +10% $-94
Rate -1.0pp $-117 -0.5pp $-245 base $-374 +0.5pp $-506 +1.0pp $-641

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$127,500
Closing costs
$15,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    status $510,000 Pending 33 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $510,000 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $510,000 Active 31 DOM
  4. 2026-06-12
    days on market $510,000 Active 30 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $510,000 Active 27 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $510,000 Active 26 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $510,000 Active 25 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $510,000 Active 24 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $510,000 Active 21 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $510,000 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $510,000 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $510,000 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-05-13
    listed $529,000 Active
  14. 2023-12-11
    soldstatus $479,000 Closed 1484-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1484 chars)

    CANCELED OPEN HOUSE SUNDAY NOVEMBER 12. WATER ACCESS. 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath, 1 car garage Contemporary Home located in Low Tax, Alton, NH. Enjoy new Construction throughout. This home is located in Alton Shore Association. Perfect for the Outdoor Enthusiasts. This home includes heated finish basement which can be used for Home Office, Family room, sitting area or kid’s playroom. Large unfinished utility room with Washer/Dryer hook ups / Storage Space. Open concept Family Room with Cathedral Ceiling / New Kitchen with energy efficient SS Appliances, Granite Counter tops, and Kitchen Island. Feel the outdoors from within in this sunlight filled room surrounded by large windows and 2 sliders to large deck with mountain views. 2 Bedrooms and Full bath on this level as well. Top level with Master Bedroom / walk-in closet full Bathroom and spacious landing overlooking to Cathedral room below. Includes new Heating System and Central A/C. This home can be is used for a year-round or second home get away or Rental. Association has a Low yearly fee of $275.00 which gives you Beach rights to 5 Beaches and Boat launch for kayaks, canoes, paddle boards and power boats to Sunset Lake and Hill Pond. Minutes away from Hiking Trails, Snowmobile trails, Mount Major, Gunstock Ski Area and Alton Bay / Marinas if you enjoy boating on Lake Winnipesaukee, Enjoy a peaceful setting and all that nature has to offer. A Year-round playground. A must see! Agent has interest in property.

  15. 2023-11-16
    status Pending 1484-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1484 chars)

    CANCELED OPEN HOUSE SUNDAY NOVEMBER 12. WATER ACCESS. 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath, 1 car garage Contemporary Home located in Low Tax, Alton, NH. Enjoy new Construction throughout. This home is located in Alton Shore Association. Perfect for the Outdoor Enthusiasts. This home includes heated finish basement which can be used for Home Office, Family room, sitting area or kid’s playroom. Large unfinished utility room with Washer/Dryer hook ups / Storage Space. Open concept Family Room with Cathedral Ceiling / New Kitchen with energy efficient SS Appliances, Granite Counter tops, and Kitchen Island. Feel the outdoors from within in this sunlight filled room surrounded by large windows and 2 sliders to large deck with mountain views. 2 Bedrooms and Full bath on this level as well. Top level with Master Bedroom / walk-in closet full Bathroom and spacious landing overlooking to Cathedral room below. Includes new Heating System and Central A/C. This home can be is used for a year-round or second home get away or Rental. Association has a Low yearly fee of $275.00 which gives you Beach rights to 5 Beaches and Boat launch for kayaks, canoes, paddle boards and power boats to Sunset Lake and Hill Pond. Minutes away from Hiking Trails, Snowmobile trails, Mount Major, Gunstock Ski Area and Alton Bay / Marinas if you enjoy boating on Lake Winnipesaukee, Enjoy a peaceful setting and all that nature has to offer. A Year-round playground. A must see! Agent has interest in property.

  16. 2023-11-08
    listed $479,900 Active 1484-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1484 chars)

    CANCELED OPEN HOUSE SUNDAY NOVEMBER 12. WATER ACCESS. 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath, 1 car garage Contemporary Home located in Low Tax, Alton, NH. Enjoy new Construction throughout. This home is located in Alton Shore Association. Perfect for the Outdoor Enthusiasts. This home includes heated finish basement which can be used for Home Office, Family room, sitting area or kid’s playroom. Large unfinished utility room with Washer/Dryer hook ups / Storage Space. Open concept Family Room with Cathedral Ceiling / New Kitchen with energy efficient SS Appliances, Granite Counter tops, and Kitchen Island. Feel the outdoors from within in this sunlight filled room surrounded by large windows and 2 sliders to large deck with mountain views. 2 Bedrooms and Full bath on this level as well. Top level with Master Bedroom / walk-in closet full Bathroom and spacious landing overlooking to Cathedral room below. Includes new Heating System and Central A/C. This home can be is used for a year-round or second home get away or Rental. Association has a Low yearly fee of $275.00 which gives you Beach rights to 5 Beaches and Boat launch for kayaks, canoes, paddle boards and power boats to Sunset Lake and Hill Pond. Minutes away from Hiking Trails, Snowmobile trails, Mount Major, Gunstock Ski Area and Alton Bay / Marinas if you enjoy boating on Lake Winnipesaukee, Enjoy a peaceful setting and all that nature has to offer. A Year-round playground. A must see! Agent has interest in property.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,528 · $294/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,323 · $610/mo
Expected delta
+$3,795/yr (+$316/mo · 107.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$42,634
− Mortgage interest
−$28,568
− Property taxes
−$3,528
− Insurance
−$2,550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,411
− Management
−$3,411
− Depreciation
−$14,836
Taxable loss
−$13,670
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,281
After-tax cash flow
$-1,210/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alton School District
NCES district ID
3301440
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$66,442
Composite
36.9/100
National rank
#9132
State rank
#139 of 171 in NH

Livability — Alton

Score
57/100
State rank
#93
US rank
#21895

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,269

Population outlook (Belknap County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
60,702 people
By 2030
60,353 · -0.6%
By 2040
58,264 · -4.0%
By 2050
54,533 · -10.2%
By 2075
45,622 · -24.8%
By 2100
33,772 · -44.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Serbian 9% Romanian 9% Lithuanian 6%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Belknap

2024 margin
R (+13.1) · D 43.1% · R 56.1%
2008→2024 swing
-14.2pp toward R · 2008: 1.2pp · 2024: -13.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.1 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+5.0 2008: D+1.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 112.98%
Current HPI
446.0509
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+10.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $529,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2023-12-11 Sold (MLS) $479,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2023-11-16 Pending PrimeMLS
  • 2023-11-08 Listed $479,900 PrimeMLS

Property tax history

+13.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $3,528 · +53.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…