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1100 Knob Rd
B+ Composite 76.64
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

1100 Knob Rd · Springtown, TX 76082
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · Manufactured public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1996 1.00 ac lot $93/sqft · 32% below area Est $199k · 32% under ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nice mobile home on one acre in the edge of Springtown, close to schools and shopping. This would make a great starter home or investment property. This really is a nice place to raise kids and pets. Be sure to come look, you don't find property at this price.

Key facts

  • 1 acre lot
  • Built 1996
  • Listed 22 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential; Property subtype: Mobile Home; County: Parker; Country: United States
  • Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or Conventional; Loan type: Treat as clear; No second mortgage
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Direct access parking; Drive-through parking
  • Utilities: City water; Rural water district; Septic; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Mobile home (residential); Attached; One story; Built in 1996
  • Construction: Year built 1996
  • Exterior features: 1 acre lot; Will not subdivide; Directions: Take E 3rd St in Springtown to where it tees into Knob Rd, turn left on Knob and follow the curve to the property on the right

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Kitchen island; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms; Primary bedroom on level 1
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Decorative lighting; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; One living area; One dining area; Room count: 2
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $656 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $133k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 3.4% in Springtown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#461 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Springtown ISD (town): math 36% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #435 of 826 in TX (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Springtown El (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,545 of 4,322 statewide, top 38%, 674 students, 60% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 519 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 437 units permitted in Parker County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Parker County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,975 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.49%
Cap rate
12.13%
Cash-on-cash
20.84%
DSCR
1.93
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$199,049
List price
$135,000
Delta
-32.18%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.2%
Equity multiple
1.53×
Total profit
$19,967
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
22.1%
Equity multiple
2.89×
Total profit
$71,348
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76082

Home prices YoY
-21.5%
Active inventory
519
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,011 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$168 /mo · $2,015/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$422
Net cashflow
$656

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,180
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
217 N Spring Branch Trl Springtown, TX 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,100 $1.62 13d 1 0.32mi
217 N Spring Branch Trl Springtown, TX 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,050 $1.58 4d 1 0.32mi
912 Avagail Ave Springtown, TX 3.0 2.0 1665 $2,195 $1.32 17d 1 0.35mi
413 Jameson Springtown, TX 3.0 2.0 1416 $2,125 $1.50 19d 1 0.78mi
416 North Avenue B Unit B Springtown, TX 3.0 2.0 1180 $1,650 $1.40 44d 1 0.87mi
300 W 4th St Springtown, TX 3.0 1.0 1332 $1,675 $1.26 22d 1 1.15mi
409 N Cedar St Springtown, TX 4.0 2.0 1203 $1,750 $1.45 10d 1 1.26mi
181 Rolling Gln Springtown, TX 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,495 $1.36 1d 1 1.34mi
167 Rolling Gln Springtown, TX 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,495 $1.36 1d 1 1.35mi
165 Rolling Gln Springtown, TX 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,495 $1.36 1d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    statusdays on market $135,000 Pending 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $135,000 Active Option Contract 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active Option Contract 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active Option Contract 19 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active Option Contract 18 DOM
  6. 2026-05-13
    listed $135,000 Active 261-char remark
  7. 2017-04-18
    soldstatus
  8. 2013-03-22
    historical
  9. 2011-09-22
    historical
  10. 2011-09-18
    price $129,500
  11. 2010-03-19
    listed $152,000 Active
  12. 2010-03-19
    listed $68,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,015 · $168/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,470 · $206/mo
Expected delta
+$455/yr (+$38/mo · 22.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,131
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,015
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,930
− Management
−$1,930
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$6,091
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,462
After-tax cash flow
$6,416/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springtown ISD
NCES district ID
4841280
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$56,136
Composite
33.41/100
National rank
#5474
State rank
#435 of 826 in TX

Livability — Springtown

Score
68/100
State rank
#461
US rank
#9298

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Parker County · 144,797 people
City population
24,880
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
24,880
Household income
$92,485
Rent vs Own
14.8% rent · 85.2% own
Severe rent burden
333.0

Population outlook (Parker County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
147,426 people
By 2030
157,863 · +7.1%
By 2040
177,519 · +20.4%
By 2050
194,786 · +32.1%
By 2075
238,799 · +62.0%
By 2100
264,126 · +79.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Parker

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.4) · D 16.4% · R 82.8%
2008→2024 swing
-11.2pp toward R · 2008: -55.2pp · 2024: -66.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.4 2020: R+64.4 2016: R+67.5 2012: R+65.8 2008: R+55.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.65%
Current HPI
262.1991
Rent YoY
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.2% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-05-22 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $135,000 NTREIS
  • 2017-04-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2013-03-22 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2011-09-22 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2011-09-18 Price Changed $129,500 NTREIS
  • 2010-03-19 Listed $68,500 NTREIS
  • 2010-03-19 Listed $152,000 NTREIS

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,015 · -3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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