8512 Sophia Nicolle Ct · Huntsville, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +8.1/30.0
- ARV discount +6.6/15.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.1/10.0
$409,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
**AS LOW AS 3.99% GOV and UP TO 30K FLEX CASH for March Closing!** The Kathryn is a beautifully designed home that offers over 2,300 square feet of luxurious living space. This stunning residence features 4 spacious bedrooms, 3 elegant bathrooms, and a 3-car garage, ensuring both comfort and convenience. Oversized primary suite overlooks backyard & has double vanity with granite or quartz countertop, walk-in shower with glass door & oversized walk-in closet. LVP flooring throughout the main living areas, bathrooms & laundry room with carpet in the bedrooms. Photos are representational only.
Key facts
- Double vanity
- Open floor plan
- Private backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot measured in acres
- HOA & community: HOA with $475 annual fee; Subdivision: Wilson Cove
Exterior
- Parking: Attached three-car garage; Garage door opener
- Utilities: Public water; Private sewer; Electric service (standard)
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property; Not new construction
- Construction: Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Public water; Private sewer
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Microwave; Disposal; Tankless water heater
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Covered patio; Sidewalk; Paved/asphalt driveway
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $410k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-408 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $351k (14.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $312k (23.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $312k (23.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.8% in Huntsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Huntsville City (urban): math 21% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #48 of 129 in AL (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hampton Cove Elementary (math 60% / reading 77%, grade B+, #32 of 627 statewide, top 5%, 684 students, 9% FRL); Hampton Cove Middle School (math 45% / reading 72%, grade B, #12 of 257 statewide, top 4%, 735 students, 11% FRL); Huntsville High School (math 41% / reading 51%, grade D-, #18 of 305 statewide, top 6%, 1,826 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools average 16% FRL vs 46% district-wide (31 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 58% at this address vs 34% district-wide (+24 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Huntsville City average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 183 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $44k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $41k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$70k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.26%
- DSCR
- 0.81
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $401,713
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8512 Sophia Nicolle Ct SE | 0.00mi | 4/3.0 | 2,377 (0%) | 3mo | $380,000 | $160 | 98 |
| 8510 Sophia Nicolle Ct SE | 0.01mi | 4/3.0 | 2,377 (0%) | 3mo | $408,900 | $172 | 97 |
| 7103 Raquel Cir | 0.03mi | 4/3.0 | 2,361 (-1%) | 2mo | $407,900 | $173 | 96 |
| 8500 Sophia Nicolle Ct SE | 0.09mi | 4/3.0 | 2,361 (-1%) | 3mo | $389,900 | $165 | 92 |
| 7108 Raquel Cir SE | 0.10mi | 4/3.0 | 2,361 (-1%) | 3mo | $434,580 | $184 | 92 |
| 7043 SE Regency Ln | 0.20mi | 4/2.5 | 2,359 (-1%) | 6mo | $367,000 | $156 | 83 |
| 8518 Sophia Nicolle Ct SE | 0.04mi | 4/3.0 | 2,595 (+9%) | 1mo | $396,900 | $153 | 82 |
| 8502 Sophia Nicolle Ct SE | 0.07mi | 4/3.0 | 2,595 (+9%) | 6mo | $409,900 | $158 | 77 |
| 7100 Kalli Ilyssa Cir SE | 0.07mi | 4/3.0 | 2,647 (+11%) | 2mo | $519,900 | $196 | 76 |
| 7070 Regency Ln SE | 0.19mi | 4/3.0 | 2,595 (+9%) | 4mo | $409,900 | $158 | 72 |
| 7028 Regency Ln | 0.34mi | 4/3.0 | 2,589 (+9%) | 2mo | $474,900 | $183 | 68 |
| 9018 Mountain Preserve Blvd | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 | 2,314 (-3%) | 2mo | $390,000 | $169 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.72×
- Total profit
- $197,335
- Equity at exit
- $369,270
- IRR
- 19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.24×
- Total profit
- $601,691
- Equity at exit
- $796,346
Cash invested: $114,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35748
- Home prices YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 183
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,120 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,150
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$512 /mo · $6,148/yr
- Insurance
- −$171
- HOA
- −$40
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$655
- Net cashflow
- $-408
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-125 | -5% $-266 | +0% $-408 | +5% $-550 | +10% $-691 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-654 | -5% $-531 | +0% $-408 | +5% $-285 | +10% $-161 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-201 | -0.5pp $-304 | base $-408 | +0.5pp $-514 | +1.0pp $-622 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $102,475
- Closing costs
- $12,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9041 Mountain Preserve Blvd SE Gurley, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1833 | $2,700 | $1.47 | 15d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 8889 Mountain Preserve Blvd SE Gurley, AL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3350 | $4,000 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $40 · $480/yr
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $409,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $409,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $409,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $409,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $409,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 463-char remark
-
2026-06-14$409,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥105°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,440
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,961
- − Property taxes
- −$6,148
- − Insurance
- −$2,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,995
- − Management
- −$2,995
- − HOA
- −$480
- − Depreciation
- −$11,924
- Taxable loss
- −$12,113
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,907
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,988/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Huntsville City
- NCES district ID
- 0101800
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,264
- Composite
- 28.84/100
- National rank
- #6647
- State rank
- #48 of 129 in AL
Livability — Huntsville
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1082
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Huntsville, AL
- City population
- 220,435
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,311
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,086 people
- By 2030
- 409,788 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 440,557 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 460,990 · +17.6%
- By 2075
- 502,872 · +28.3%
- By 2100
- 513,623 · +31.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 3% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Slovak 4% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 13.02%
- Current HPI
- 337.7613
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
-0.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $409,900 VMLS
- 2026-03-31 Sold (MLS) $380,000 VMLS
- 2026-03-23 Pending — VMLS
- 2025-12-22 Listed $410,900 VMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…