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40 Washington Sq
B+ Composite 77.87
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

40 Washington Sq · Tuscaloosa, AL 35401
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,198 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 62 Days on market
Built 1957 $54/sqft · 33% below area Est $97k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity in Tuscaloosa! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is full of opportunities. Features a functional layout with plenty of potential. Property does need some work—making it a great opportunity to upgrade for more value. Convenient location with easy access to local amenities.

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1957
  • Listed 61 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $703 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $61k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.3% vs local median 3.4% in Tuscaloosa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#9 in AL, #2,909 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Tuscaloosa City (urban): math 19% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #74 of 129 in AL (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 307 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 622 units permitted in Tuscaloosa County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,435/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 3997% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tuscaloosa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $61,100 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.21%
Cap rate
19.26%
Cash-on-cash
46.32%
DSCR
3.06
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$96,960
List price
$65,000
Delta
-32.96%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3940 30th Pl 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,216 (+2%) 2mo $116,900 $96 76
2317 Herman Ave 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,196 (-0%) 14mo $170,000 $142 69
3706 25th Pl 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,200 (+0%) 15mo $185,800 $155 68
1632 43rd Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,250 (+4%) 5mo $30,000 $24 58
4701 Greenview Dr 0.49mi 3/1.5 1,110 (-7%) 7mo $169,900 $153 57
3580 21st St 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,274 (+6%) 13mo $178,900 $140 56
3903 31st St 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,036 (-14%) 1mo $129,900 $125 52
4120 19th St 0.36mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,288 (+8%) 15mo $130,000 $101 49
3405 31st St 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,092 (-9%) 8mo $119,000 $109 44
4909 Clover Road Rd 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,080 (-10%) 8mo $87,700 $81 43
4901 29th St 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,330 (+11%) 9mo $185,000 $139 39
5020 29th St 0.75mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,077 (-10%) 17mo $154,900 $144 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
47.2%
Equity multiple
3.15×
Total profit
$39,128
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
54.3%
Equity multiple
7.22×
Total profit
$113,275
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35401

Rents YoY
6.3%
Active inventory
307
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,435 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$63 /mo · $759/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$301
Net cashflow
$703

Break-even live

Break-even rent $546
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $739 -5% $721 +0% $703 +5% $684 +10% $666
Rent -10% $589 -5% $646 +0% $703 +5% $759 +10% $816
Rate -1.0pp $735 -0.5pp $719 base $703 +0.5pp $686 +1.0pp $669

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2405 Herman Ave Tuscaloosa, AL 4.0 1.0 971 $1,100 $1.13 44d 1 0.31mi
3560 21st St Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 2.0 1230 $1,570 $1.28 22d 1 0.41mi
3524 20th St Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,100 $1.05 44d 1 0.45mi
4342 Tari St Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 2.0 1340 $1,750 $1.31 44d 1 0.68mi
4416 Tari St Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 2.0 1259 $1,700 $1.35 14d 1 0.70mi
3416 36th Ct Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 2.0 1206 $1,395 $1.16 44d 1 0.70mi
3499 Joyce Lewis Ave Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 2.0 1340 $1,700 $1.27 22d 1 0.76mi
3316 16th St Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,100 $0.98 14d 1 0.78mi
1018 42nd Ave Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,375 $1.27 14d 1 0.85mi
2825 25th St Tuscaloosa, AL 2.0 1.0 708 $835 $1.18 44d 1 0.96mi
711 36th Ave Tuscaloosa, AL 2.0 1.0 920 $900 $0.98 14d 1 0.99mi
5022 Virginia Cir Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 1.5 1161 $1,350 $1.16 44d 1 1.00mi
2712 22nd St Tuscaloosa, AL 4.0 2.0 1008 $1,000 $0.99 44d 1 1.08mi
2683 21st St Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 1.0 1324 $895 $0.68 22d 1 1.20mi
2720 21st St Tuscaloosa, AL 4.0 1.0 1148 $1,100 $0.96 22d 1 1.22mi
3008 7th St Tuscaloosa, AL 2.0 1.0 840 $900 $1.07 44d 1 1.25mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $65,000 Active 62 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 59 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 58 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 57 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 56 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $65,000 Active 54 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 53 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $65,000 Active 51 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 50 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 49 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $65,000 Active 48 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $74,900 Active 45 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $74,900 Active 44 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $74,900 Active 43 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $74,900 Active 42 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $74,900 Active 41 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $74,900 Active 40 DOM
  18. 2026-04-27
    listed $74,900 Active 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    Great opportunity in Tuscaloosa! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is full of opportunities. Features a functional layout with plenty of potential. Property does need some work—making it a great opportunity to upgrade for more value. Convenient location with easy access to local amenities.

  19. 2026-04-20
    listed $74,900 Active 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    Great opportunity in Tuscaloosa! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is perfect for first-time buyers or investors looking to add to their portfolio. Features a functional layout with plenty of potential. Property does need some work—ideal for those looking to customize or add value. Convenient location with easy access to local amenities.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$759 · $63/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$759 · $63/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 60% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,221
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$759
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,378
− Management
−$1,378
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$7,850
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,884
After-tax cash flow
$6,546/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tuscaloosa City
NCES district ID
0103360
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$37,474
Composite
24.51/100
National rank
#7647
State rank
#74 of 129 in AL

Livability — Tuscaloosa

Score
77/100
State rank
#9
US rank
#2909

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute C Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tuscaloosa, AL
County
Tuscaloosa County · 206,491 people
City population
134,228
Metro
Tuscaloosa, AL
Population (ZIP)
43,459
Household income
$29,152
Rent vs Own
73.0% rent · 27.0% own
Severe rent burden
3997.0

Population outlook (Tuscaloosa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
228,293 people
By 2030
240,551 · +5.4%
By 2040
263,856 · +15.6%
By 2050
286,491 · +25.5%
By 2075
335,783 · +47.1%
By 2100
370,520 · +62.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Black 47% White 44% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tuscaloosa

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.4% · R 59.8%
2008→2024 swing
-4.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -20.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.4 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+17.4 2008: R+16.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -191.40%
Current HPI
179.8335
Rent YoY
▲ 6.29%
Metro
Tuscaloosa, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $74,900 WAMLS
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $74,900 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $759 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…