6793 Morgan Rd · Central, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located in a prime Central location, this charming 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath townhome has been a well-maintained investment property for over 30 years. The downstairs features a formal dining room, a cozy living room with a wood-burning fireplace, a convenient laundry room, a half bath, and a kitchen with ceramic tile flooring and an electric range/oven. Upstairs, you'll find two spacious bedrooms with carpet flooring, a full bath, and a private balcony perfect for relaxing outdoors. The backyard is fully enclosed with a wood fence for added privacy. Whether you're looking for an investment opportunity or a great place to call home, this property is full of potential. Schedule your private showing today!
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Private balcony
- Central location
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-53 ($-635/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (6.0% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 3.3% in Central — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#25 in LA, #4,761 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Central Community School District (suburban): math 50% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #9 of 98 in LA (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 252 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 252 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.33%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $196,940
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6443 Thelmadale Dr | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,212 (+6%) | 2mo | $199,900 | $165 | 69 |
| 6527 Landmor Dr | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,176 (+3%) | 12mo | $199,900 | $170 | 68 |
| 6843 Landmor Dr | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,230 (+7%) | 10mo | $219,500 | $178 | 65 |
| 16744 Dry Creek Dr | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 | 1,103 (-4%) | 20mo | $190,000 | $172 | 47 |
| 6037 Donnybrook Ave | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,236 (+8%) | 18mo | $220,000 | $178 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-28,223
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- -10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-27,847
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70739
- Active inventory
- 110
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,775 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$151 /mo · $1,814/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$373
- Net cashflow
- $-53
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $35 | -5% $-9 | +0% $-53 | +5% $-97 | +10% $-141 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-193 | -5% $-123 | +0% $-53 | +5% $17 | +10% $87 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $25 | -0.5pp $-13 | base $-53 | +0.5pp $-93 | +1.0pp $-134 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18627 Greenwell Springs Rd Greenwell Springs, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,800 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 18627 Greenwell Springs Rd Unit 2A Greenwell Springs, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,750 | $1.43 | 15d | 1 | 1.13mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $155,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $155,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $155,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $155,000 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $155,000 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $155,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $155,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $155,000 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $155,000 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $155,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $155,000 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $155,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-03-23price $155,000 707-char remark
Show marketing remark (719 chars)
Located in a prime Central location, this charming 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath townhome has been a well-maintained investment property for over 30 years. The downstairs features a formal dining room, a cozy living room with a wood-burning fireplace, a convenient laundry room, a half bath, and a kitchen with ceramic tile flooring and an electric range/oven. Upstairs, you’ll find two spacious bedrooms with carpet flooring, a full bath, and a private balcony perfect for relaxing outdoors. The backyard is fully enclosed with a wood fence for added privacy. Whether you’re looking for an investment opportunity or a great place to call home, this property is full of potential. Schedule your private showing today!
-
2026-03-23price $155,000 719-char remark
Show marketing remark (719 chars)
Located in a prime Central location, this charming 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath townhome has been a well-maintained investment property for over 30 years. The downstairs features a formal dining room, a cozy living room with a wood-burning fireplace, a convenient laundry room, a half bath, and a kitchen with ceramic tile flooring and an electric range/oven. Upstairs, you’ll find two spacious bedrooms with carpet flooring, a full bath, and a private balcony perfect for relaxing outdoors. The backyard is fully enclosed with a wood fence for added privacy. Whether you’re looking for an investment opportunity or a great place to call home, this property is full of potential. Schedule your private showing today!
-
2025-10-09$160,000 Active 719-char remark
Show marketing remark (707 chars)
Located in a prime Central location, this charming 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath townhome has been a well-maintained investment property for over 30 years. The downstairs features a formal dining room, a cozy living room with a wood-burning fireplace, a convenient laundry room, a half bath, and a kitchen with ceramic tile flooring and an electric range/oven. Upstairs, you'll find two spacious bedrooms with carpet flooring, a full bath, and a private balcony perfect for relaxing outdoors. The backyard is fully enclosed with a wood fence for added privacy. Whether you're looking for an investment opportunity or a great place to call home, this property is full of potential. Schedule your private showing today!
-
2025-10-09$160,000 Active 707-char remark
Show marketing remark (707 chars)
Located in a prime Central location, this charming 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath townhome has been a well-maintained investment property for over 30 years. The downstairs features a formal dining room, a cozy living room with a wood-burning fireplace, a convenient laundry room, a half bath, and a kitchen with ceramic tile flooring and an electric range/oven. Upstairs, you'll find two spacious bedrooms with carpet flooring, a full bath, and a private balcony perfect for relaxing outdoors. The backyard is fully enclosed with a wood fence for added privacy. Whether you're looking for an investment opportunity or a great place to call home, this property is full of potential. Schedule your private showing today!
-
2023-03-03soldstatus Sold
-
2023-03-03soldstatus $150,000
-
2023-02-16status Pending
-
2022-07-28$169,900 Active
-
2022-07-28$169,900
-
1981-11-09soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,814 · $151/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,814 · $151/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,300
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$1,814
- − Insurance
- −$5,894
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,704
- − Management
- −$1,704
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable loss
- −$3,007
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$722
- After-tax cash flow
- $87/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Central Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 2200125
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -31.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,584
- Composite
- 46.02/100
- National rank
- #2528
- State rank
- #9 of 98 in LA
Livability — Central
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #25
- US rank
- #4761
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Central, LA
- City population
- 10,403
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,714
Population outlook (East Baton Rouge County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 464,810 people
- By 2030
- 472,137 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 480,243 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 484,422 · +4.2%
- By 2075
- 492,069 · +5.9%
- By 2100
- 476,347 · +2.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 10% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 12% Italian 4% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Guatemala, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · East Baton Rouge
- 2024 margin
- D (+11.1) · D 54.5% · R 43.4% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.9pp toward D · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: 11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+11.1 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+9.2 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -100.93%
- Current HPI
- 183.5126
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-8.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $155,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $155,000 GBRMLS
- 2025-10-09 Listed $160,000 GBRMLS
- 2025-10-09 Listed $160,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2023-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 2023-03-03 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2023-02-16 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2022-07-28 Listed $169,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2022-07-28 Listed $169,900 GBRMLS
- 1981-11-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+15.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,814 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…