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613 E Wilkins St
B- Composite 69.7
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$54,900

613 E Wilkins St · Angleton, TX 77515
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,114 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1945 0.50 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming home in Angleton with pecan trees, oversized garage, and 1/2 acre lot. Enjoy city living with a spacious outdoor oasis. Nearby schools and amenities make this a great opportunity. Virtual furnishings in photos to showcase potential. To help visualize this home’s layout and showcase its potential, virtual furnishings may have been added to some of the photos included in this listing.

Key facts

  • Outdoor oasis
  • Nearby schools
  • 0.5 acre lot

Tags

OUTDOOR OASISNEARBY SCHOOLS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Built in 1945; Entry-level: single story
  • Construction: Wood siding; Unknown construction material; Block foundation; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Subdivision lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 possible bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Gas heating
  • Interior features: 3 rooms total

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $756 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $54k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 22.8% vs local median 4.0% in Angleton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#171 in TX, #4,520 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Angleton ISD (suburban): math 36% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #375 of 826 in TX (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Northside El (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #865 of 4,322 statewide, top 21%, 497 students, 67% FRL); Angleton J H School (math 26% / reading 41%, grade F, #911 of 1,662 statewide, top 56%, 1,561 students, 68% FRL); Angleton H S (math 22% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,011 of 1,632 statewide, top 63%, 2,066 students, 67% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 932 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,960 units permitted in Brazoria County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Brazoria County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $55k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $54,076 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.62%
Cap rate
22.81%
Cash-on-cash
59.00%
DSCR
3.63
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$170,442
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
716 E Miller St 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,114 (0%) 6mo $187,500 $168 86
1014 N Arcola St 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,072 (-4%) 2mo $105,000 $98 82
731 Kyle St 0.16mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,078 (-3%) 7mo $149,900 $139 77
916 N Chenango St 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,056 (-5%) 3mo $179,000 $170 75
1113 Chevy Chase Dr 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,082 (-3%) 4mo $169,000 $156 72
745 Kyle St 0.18mi 3/1.0 963 (-14%) 2mo $99,000 $103 67
913 Meadowlane St 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,097 (-2%) 9mo $154,000 $140 62
1001 Ridgecrest St 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,041 (-7%) 7mo $99,900 $96 61
904 Nottingham Dr 0.30mi 3/1.5 1,258 (+13%) 7mo $159,000 $126 56
1021 Wimberly St 0.61mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,172 (+5%) 4mo $179,000 $153 54
1101 Wimberly St 0.62mi 3/1.0 961 (-14%) 6mo $166,900 $174 43
1225 San Felipe St 0.52mi 2/1.0 (-1) 968 (-13%) 8mo $157,000 $162 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
57.6%
Equity multiple
3.55×
Total profit
$39,260
Equity at exit
$8,186
10-year hold
IRR
62.5%
Equity multiple
7.26×
Total profit
$96,255
Equity at exit
$4,747

Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77515

Home prices YoY
-5.1%
Active inventory
932
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,437 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax est. 1.5%
$69 /mo · $824/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$302
Net cashflow
$756

Break-even live

Break-even rent $480
Max offer price $54,900
Occupancy floor 42%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $794 -5% $775 +0% $756 +5% $737 +10% $718
Rent -10% $642 -5% $699 +0% $756 +5% $813 +10% $869
Rate -1.0pp $783 -0.5pp $770 base $756 +0.5pp $742 +1.0pp $727

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,725
Closing costs
$1,647
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
301 Cannan Dr Angleton, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 801 $1,192 $1.49 0d 10 0.67mi
307 Cannan Dr Angleton, TX 2.0 2.0 936 $1,100 $1.18 44d 1 0.68mi
409 N Parrish St Angleton, TX 2.0 1.0 1000 $875 $0.88 3d 1 0.84mi
1405 Northview Dr Angleton, TX 3.0 2.0 1172 $2,225 $1.90 3d 1 0.97mi
128 Dallas St Angleton, TX 3.0 2.0 1390 $1,900 $1.37 44d 1 1.12mi
301 Sands St Angleton, TX 2.0 1.0 950 $800 $0.84 44d 1 1.13mi
832 S Anderson St Angleton, TX 3.0 1.0 1104 $1,495 $1.35 8d 1 1.26mi
312 Rice St Unit B Angleton, TX 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,250 $1.14 12d 1 1.34mi
312 Rice St Unit A Angleton, TX 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,195 $1.09 25d 1 1.34mi
312 Rice St Angleton, TX 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 4d 1 1.34mi
312 Rice St Angleton, TX 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,195 $1.09 25d 1 1.34mi
1300 Buchta Rd Angleton, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 773 $1,085 $1.40 25d 8 1.36mi
1300 Buchta Rd Angleton, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 773 $1,113 $1.44 0d 13 1.36mi
1400 E Henderson Rd Angleton, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 752 $999 $1.33 0d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $54,900 Pending 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $54,900 Pending 17 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    status $54,900 Pending 16 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $54,900 Active 16 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $54,900 Active 15 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $54,900 Active 14 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $54,900 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $54,900 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $54,900 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $54,900 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $54,900 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $54,900 Active 2 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    remarks 394-char remark
  14. 2026-06-02
    listed $54,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,243
− Mortgage interest
−$3,075
− Property taxes
−$824
− Insurance
−$274
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,379
− Management
−$1,379
− Depreciation
−$1,597
Taxable income
$8,714
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,091
After-tax cash flow
$6,978/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Angleton ISD
NCES district ID
4808310
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,670
Composite
35.01/100
National rank
#5046
State rank
#375 of 826 in TX

Livability — Angleton

Score
74/100
State rank
#171
US rank
#4520

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Angleton, TX
County
Brazoria County · 374,982 people
City population
34,088
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
34,088
Household income
$88,787
Rent vs Own
25.4% rent · 74.6% own
Severe rent burden
785.0

Population outlook (Brazoria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,414 people
By 2030
457,585 · +8.8%
By 2040
532,232 · +26.6%
By 2050
605,399 · +44.0%
By 2075
779,358 · +85.4%
By 2100
883,759 · +110.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 18% Black 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 28%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 20% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Brazoria

2024 margin
R (+19.7) · D 39.5% · R 59.2% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
+9.9pp toward D · 2008: -29.6pp · 2024: -19.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.2 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+29.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -15.59%
Current HPI
288.7286
Rent YoY
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+149.5% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $54,900 HARMLS
  • 2024-03-01 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2023-12-18 Listed $149,900 HARMLS
  • 2023-11-21 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2023-10-13 Price Changed $175,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-09-29 Price Changed $187,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-09-14 Listed $200,000 HARMLS
  • 2018-01-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2012-10-09 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2012-07-10 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2012-06-30 Listed $45,000 HARMLS
  • 2007-03-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1992-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,800 · -9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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