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372 Seneca Rd. Rd
C- Composite 53.24
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.6/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$179,900

372 Seneca Rd. Rd · North Hornell, NY 14843
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,662 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 62 Days on market
Built 1875 7,540 sqft lot $108/sqft · 24% below area Est $235k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to your new home in North Hornell! This house sits on a corner lot and has beautiful wood trim, stained glass, vinyl replacement windows, and front & side porches with composite decking. 3 bedrooms, one with a walk-in closet that could serve as a nursery. Open flex space upstairs for play-room or office. Powder room off the kitchen and full bath upstairs. Laundry on second floor. Large lot ready for expansion!

Key facts

  • Wood trim
  • Stained glass
  • Front porches

Tags

CORNER LOTWOOD TRIMSTAINED GLASSVINYL REPLACEMENT WINDOWSFRONT PORCHESSIDE PORCHES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-55 ($-663/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $170k (5.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (5.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $169k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#579 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools C-, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Hornell City School District (town): math 33% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #519 of 590 in NY (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 196 units permitted in Steuben County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
  • Steuben County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $15k; list at $180k implies a 1099% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1875 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $169,106 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1875 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
5.92%
Cash-on-cash
-1.32%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$235,422
List price
$179,900
Delta
-23.58%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11 Elmwood Ave 0.10mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,898 (+14%) 7mo $152,700 $80 60
409 Seneca Rd 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,896 (+14%) 18mo $324,900 $171 47
62 Adsit St 0.66mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,476 (-11%) 11mo $116,000 $79 35
444 Cleveland Ave 0.40mi 4/3.5 (+1) 1,904 (+15%) 12mo $240,000 $126 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.95% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.0%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$27,460
Equity at exit
$90,663
10-year hold
IRR
11.1%
Equity multiple
2.83×
Total profit
$91,975
Equity at exit
$147,852

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14843

Home prices YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
59
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,700 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax from tax record
$380 /mo · $4,559/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$357
Net cashflow
$-55

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,770
Max offer price $170,139
Occupancy floor 98%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
21 Armory Pl Hornell, NY 2.0 1.0 2074 $1,200 $0.58 43d 1 0.82mi
14 Willow Pl Hornell, NY 4.0 2.0 1726 $2,000 $1.16 43d 1 0.90mi
54 Bemis Ave Hornell, NY 2.0 1.0 1801 $1,300 $0.72 43d 1 1.04mi
15 Hakes Ave Unit 102 Hornell, NY 4.0 2.0 2000 $2,195 $1.10 43d 1 1.17mi
7459 Seneca Rd N Hornell, NY 4.0 1.5 1200 $1,395 $1.16 43d 1 1.33mi
58 Elm St Hornell, NY 4.0 2.0 1600 $2,495 $1.56 43d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    historical Active Under Contract 427-char remark
    Show marketing remark (427 chars)

    Welcome to your new home in North Hornell! This house sits on a corner lot and has beautiful wood trim, stained glass, vinyl replacement windows, and front & side porches with composite decking. 3 bedrooms, one with a walk-in closet that could serve as a nursery. Open flex space upstairs for play-room or office. Powder room off the kitchen and full bath upstairs. Laundry on second floor. Large lot ready for expansion!

  2. 2026-04-27
    price $179,900 427-char remark
    Show marketing remark (427 chars)

    Welcome to your new home in North Hornell! This house sits on a corner lot and has beautiful wood trim, stained glass, vinyl replacement windows, and front & side porches with composite decking. 3 bedrooms, one with a walk-in closet that could serve as a nursery. Open flex space upstairs for play-room or office. Powder room off the kitchen and full bath upstairs. Laundry on second floor. Large lot ready for expansion!

  3. 2026-03-20
    listed $184,900 Active 427-char remark
    Show marketing remark (427 chars)

    Welcome to your new home in North Hornell! This house sits on a corner lot and has beautiful wood trim, stained glass, vinyl replacement windows, and front & side porches with composite decking. 3 bedrooms, one with a walk-in closet that could serve as a nursery. Open flex space upstairs for play-room or office. Powder room off the kitchen and full bath upstairs. Laundry on second floor. Large lot ready for expansion!

  4. 2007-11-29
    soldstatus $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,559 · $380/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,559 · $380/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,400
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$4,559
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,632
− Management
−$1,632
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable loss
−$3,633
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$872
After-tax cash flow
$209/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hornell City School District
NCES district ID
3614820
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$40,251
Composite
34.33/100
National rank
#5234
State rank
#519 of 590 in NY

Livability — North Hornell

Score
67/100
State rank
#579
US rank
#10449

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment B- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Hornell, NY
County
Steuben County · 41,193 people
Metro
Corning, NY
Population (ZIP)
12,383
Household income
$57,874
Rent vs Own
39.4% rent · 60.6% own
Severe rent burden
415.0

Population outlook (Steuben County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
93,062 people
By 2030
89,793 · -3.5%
By 2040
82,353 · -11.5%
By 2050
74,286 · -20.2%
By 2075
55,589 · -40.3%
By 2100
37,587 · -59.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Arabic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Steuben

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.8) · D 34.1% · R 65.9%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -31.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.8 2020: R+29.6 2016: R+36.2 2012: R+16.4 2008: R+16.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.95%
Current HPI
210.1986
Rent YoY
Metro
Corning, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1099.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Contingent UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $179,900 UNYREIS
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $184,900 UNYREIS
  • 2007-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,559 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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