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905 Daniel Boone
D Composite 44.4
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • DSCR +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$43,000

905 Daniel Boone · Green River, WY 82935
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured · 60 Days on market
Built 1995 Fair condition $35/sqft · 53% below area $606/mo HOA · 55% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • En suite bathroom
  • Well-located
  • Functional layout

Tags

WELL-LOCATEDFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMPRIVATE PRIMARY SUITEEN SUITE BATHROOMEASY ACCESS TO SCHOOLS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $606 monthly fee

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Residential mobile home; Mobile/Mfd detached
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Deck

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range; Oven
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Disposal
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $43k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-25 ($-299/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $39k (8.4% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $43k).
  • Recommended offer: $39k (8.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 2.9% in Green River — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#19 in WY, #4,785 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Sweetwater County School District #2 (town): math 62% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #6 of 41 in WY (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Lincoln Middle School (math 59% / reading 58%, grade B, #21 of 55 statewide, top 39%, 557 students, 27% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 47 units permitted in Sweetwater County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $297 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sweetwater County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 55% of rent.
Recommended offer $39,400 (8.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.59%
Cap rate
5.60%
Cash-on-cash
-2.48%
DSCR
0.89
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$90,833
List price
$43,000
Delta
-52.66%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
805 Homestead Dr 0.16mi 2/1.2 (-1) 1,280 (+5%) 14mo $108,500 $85 63
624 Evers St 0.56mi 3/1.5 1,275 (+5%) 7mo $170,000 $133 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.2%
Equity multiple
0.32×
Total profit
$-8,163
Equity at exit
$6,411
10-year hold
IRR
-9.8%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-7,568
Equity at exit
$3,718

Cash invested: $12,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Wyoming
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable; small market.

ZIP-level market 82935

Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,112 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$225
Tax est. 1.5%
$54 /mo · $645/yr
Insurance
$18
HOA
$606
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$233
Net cashflow
$-25

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,143
Max offer price $39,400
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $5 -5% $-10 +0% $-25 +5% $-40 +10% $-55
Rent -10% $-113 -5% $-69 +0% $-25 +5% $19 +10% $63
Rate -1.0pp $-3 -0.5pp $-14 base $-25 +0.5pp $-36 +1.0pp $-47

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,750
Closing costs
$1,290
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$606 · $7,272/yr

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $43,000 Active 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $43,000 Active 59 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $43,000 Active 58 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $43,000 Active 57 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $43,000 Active 56 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $43,000 Active 54 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $43,000 Active 53 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $43,000 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $43,000 Active 49 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $43,000 Active 48 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $43,000 Active 45 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $43,000 Active 44 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $43,000 Active 43 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $43,000 Active 42 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $43,000 Active 41 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $43,000 Active 40 DOM
  17. 2026-04-20
    listed $43,000 Active 904-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,341
− Mortgage interest
−$2,409
− Property taxes
−$645
− Insurance
−$215
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,067
− Management
−$1,067
− HOA
−$7,272
− Depreciation
−$1,251
Taxable loss
−$585
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$140
After-tax cash flow
$-158/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This manufactured home requires moderate repairs and maintenance, including exterior siding and paint, to improve its condition and value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major exterior siding — visible wear and tear
  • Major roof — not visible
  • Major exterior paint — visible wear and tear

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both repair exterior siding — improves structural integrity and appearance
  • Both update flooring — modernizes the home and improves aesthetics

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior siding · visible wear and tear Major $15,000–50,000
roof · not visible Major $15,000–50,000
exterior paint · visible wear and tear Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $45,000–150,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both repair exterior siding — improves structural integrity and appearance
  • Both update flooring — modernizes the home and improves aesthetics

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sweetwater County School District #2
NCES district ID
5605762
Math proficiency
62% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$69,339
Composite
54.18/100
National rank
#1379
State rank
#6 of 41 in WY

Livability — Green River

Score
74/100
State rank
#19
US rank
#4785

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Green River, WY
Population (ZIP)
12,135

Population outlook (Sweetwater County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,212 people
By 2030
49,664 · +3.0%
By 2040
51,984 · +7.8%
By 2050
54,005 · +12.0%
By 2075
57,684 · +19.6%
By 2100
57,857 · +20.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Italian 6% Portuguese 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sweetwater

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.2) · D 22.5% · R 75.7% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-25.7pp toward R · 2008: -27.5pp · 2024: -53.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.2 2020: R+50.6 2016: R+53.5 2012: R+39.7 2008: R+27.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -306.53%
Current HPI
158.3212
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $43,000 WMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…