1039 Beach Rd #104 · Sanibel, FL
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 113°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$549,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Just reduced and priced to sell. This East End townhome is a short walk to the beach and is located on the convenient East End. Beautiful lake views. The updated kitchen is open to the living/dining area and offers an additional sitting area. Two bedrooms with remodeled bathrooms include a master retreat that occupies the entire top floor. Double sink and vanities in the bathroom and a private lanai overlooking the peaceful lake. Under building parking and bonus space. Heated community pool. Deeded beach access at end of road. The grounds are meticulous. New in 2014-2015: Kitchen Appliances 2016: AC, reworked ductwork so more air upstairs 2017: Hot Water Heater, Washer & Dryer. Make this Beach Road Villa your new Island Get-Away! (Lake touted as one of the top five best maintained lakes on Sanibel!) Best value in this price range. Show it today!
Key facts
- Deeded beach access
- Heated pool
- $650 HOA
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed with conditions (maximum 2 pets, max 30 lbs)
- HOA & community: Homeowners association (monthly fee $650); Association covers insurance, irrigation water, legal/accounting, grounds maintenance, pest control, recreation facilities; Community pool; Non-gated community; Community of 6 units
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; 2 covered spaces; Driveway; Unpaved parking areas
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single-story; Entry level 1; Faces north; Resale property; Property attached (attached unit)
- Construction: Built with vinyl siding and wood frame; Shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier raised foundation
- Exterior features: Security/high-impact doors; Storage; Balcony; Screened porch; Guest house attached; Community pool; Lakefront; South exposure; Has view
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Icemaker; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Refrigerator with ice maker; Breakfast bar
- Bedrooms: Upper-level primary bedroom
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Dual sinks; Tub with shower
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Partially furnished; Breakfast bar; Tray ceiling(s); Dual sinks; Entrance foyer; Combined living/dining room; Tub with shower; Cable TV; Upper-level primary bedroom; Split bedroom floor plan; Casement windows; Single-hung windows; Sliding windows; Impact glass
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $549k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($42k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $549k).
- Recommended offer: $483k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 3.8% in Sanibel — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#541 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: housing D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: The Sanibel School (math 92% / reading 92%, grade A+, #5 of 2,144 statewide, top 0%, 289 students, 12% FRL); South Fort Myers High School (math 23% / reading 30%, grade F, #489 of 667 statewide, top 74%, 1,917 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 31% FRL vs 57% district-wide (26 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 526 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $154k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 258 days — a 12% lower offer ($483k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $435k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 258 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.91% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.88%
- DSCR
- 2.37
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $136,552
- Equity at exit
- $81,858
- IRR
- 29.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.68×
- Total profit
- $411,389
- Equity at exit
- $47,467
Cash invested: $153,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33957
- Home prices YoY
- -15.7%
- Active inventory
- 526
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $10,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,879
- Tax from tax record
- −$582 /mo · $6,981/yr
- Insurance
- −$229
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$650
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,205
- Net cashflow
- $3,529
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $3,840 | -5% $3,684 | +0% $3,529 | +5% $3,374 | +10% $3,218 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $2,699 | -5% $3,114 | +0% $3,529 | +5% $3,944 | +10% $4,358 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $3,805 | -0.5pp $3,669 | base $3,529 | +0.5pp $3,387 | +1.0pp $3,242 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $137,250
- Closing costs
- $16,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 827 E Gulf Dr Unit G8 Sanibel, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $10,500 | $10.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.46mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $650 · $7,800/yr
- Likely covers
- waterlandscapingpool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $549,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $549,000 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $549,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $549,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $549,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $549,000 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $549,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $549,000 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $549,000 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $549,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2025-10-06$549,000 Active
-
2024-08-12historical
-
2024-06-10price $560,000
-
2024-04-02price $580,000
-
2024-02-01price $595,000
-
2024-01-15$610,000 Active
-
2018-05-01soldstatus $435,000
-
2018-04-30soldstatus $435,000 Sold 863-char remark
Show marketing remark (863 chars)
Just reduced and priced to sell. This East End townhome is a short walk to the beach and is located on the convenient East End. Beautiful lake views. The updated kitchen is open to the living/dining area and offers an additional sitting area. Two bedrooms with remodeled bathrooms include a master retreat that occupies the entire top floor. Double sink and vanities in the bathroom and a private lanai overlooking the peaceful lake. Under building parking and bonus space. Heated community pool. Deeded beach access at end of road. The grounds are meticulous. New in 2014-2015: Kitchen Appliances 2016: AC, reworked ductwork so more air upstairs 2017: Hot Water Heater, Washer & Dryer. Make this Beach Road Villa your new Island Get-Away! (Lake touted as one of the top five best maintained lakes on Sanibel!) Best value in this price range. Show it today!
-
2018-04-11status Pending 863-char remark
Show marketing remark (863 chars)
Just reduced and priced to sell. This East End townhome is a short walk to the beach and is located on the convenient East End. Beautiful lake views. The updated kitchen is open to the living/dining area and offers an additional sitting area. Two bedrooms with remodeled bathrooms include a master retreat that occupies the entire top floor. Double sink and vanities in the bathroom and a private lanai overlooking the peaceful lake. Under building parking and bonus space. Heated community pool. Deeded beach access at end of road. The grounds are meticulous. New in 2014-2015: Kitchen Appliances 2016: AC, reworked ductwork so more air upstairs 2017: Hot Water Heater, Washer & Dryer. Make this Beach Road Villa your new Island Get-Away! (Lake touted as one of the top five best maintained lakes on Sanibel!) Best value in this price range. Show it today!
-
2018-02-26status Pending With Contingencies 863-char remark
Show marketing remark (863 chars)
Just reduced and priced to sell. This East End townhome is a short walk to the beach and is located on the convenient East End. Beautiful lake views. The updated kitchen is open to the living/dining area and offers an additional sitting area. Two bedrooms with remodeled bathrooms include a master retreat that occupies the entire top floor. Double sink and vanities in the bathroom and a private lanai overlooking the peaceful lake. Under building parking and bonus space. Heated community pool. Deeded beach access at end of road. The grounds are meticulous. New in 2014-2015: Kitchen Appliances 2016: AC, reworked ductwork so more air upstairs 2017: Hot Water Heater, Washer & Dryer. Make this Beach Road Villa your new Island Get-Away! (Lake touted as one of the top five best maintained lakes on Sanibel!) Best value in this price range. Show it today!
-
2018-02-13price $455,000 863-char remark
Show marketing remark (863 chars)
Just reduced and priced to sell. This East End townhome is a short walk to the beach and is located on the convenient East End. Beautiful lake views. The updated kitchen is open to the living/dining area and offers an additional sitting area. Two bedrooms with remodeled bathrooms include a master retreat that occupies the entire top floor. Double sink and vanities in the bathroom and a private lanai overlooking the peaceful lake. Under building parking and bonus space. Heated community pool. Deeded beach access at end of road. The grounds are meticulous. New in 2014-2015: Kitchen Appliances 2016: AC, reworked ductwork so more air upstairs 2017: Hot Water Heater, Washer & Dryer. Make this Beach Road Villa your new Island Get-Away! (Lake touted as one of the top five best maintained lakes on Sanibel!) Best value in this price range. Show it today!
-
2017-10-10$473,000 Active 863-char remark
Show marketing remark (863 chars)
Just reduced and priced to sell. This East End townhome is a short walk to the beach and is located on the convenient East End. Beautiful lake views. The updated kitchen is open to the living/dining area and offers an additional sitting area. Two bedrooms with remodeled bathrooms include a master retreat that occupies the entire top floor. Double sink and vanities in the bathroom and a private lanai overlooking the peaceful lake. Under building parking and bonus space. Heated community pool. Deeded beach access at end of road. The grounds are meticulous. New in 2014-2015: Kitchen Appliances 2016: AC, reworked ductwork so more air upstairs 2017: Hot Water Heater, Washer & Dryer. Make this Beach Road Villa your new Island Get-Away! (Lake touted as one of the top five best maintained lakes on Sanibel!) Best value in this price range. Show it today!
-
2014-04-30soldstatus $313,000
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2014-04-30price $335,000
-
2014-04-30soldstatus $313,000
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1989-11-09soldstatus $142,000
-
1987-12-01soldstatus $89,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,981 · $582/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,981 · $582/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥113°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $126,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$30,753
- − Property taxes
- −$6,981
- − Insurance
- −$7,864
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$10,080
- − Management
- −$10,080
- − HOA
- −$7,800
- − Depreciation
- −$15,971
- Taxable income
- $36,472
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$8,753
- After-tax cash flow
- $33,594/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — Sanibel
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #541
- US rank
- #10166
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sanibel, FL
- City population
- 6,402
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,402
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Romanian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.08%
- Current HPI
- 501.0
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+510.7% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-06 Listed $549,000 FORTMLS
- 2024-08-12 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2024-06-10 Price Changed $560,000 FORTMLS
- 2024-04-02 Price Changed $580,000 FORTMLS
- 2024-02-01 Price Changed $595,000 FORTMLS
- 2024-01-15 Listed $610,000 FORTMLS
- 2018-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $435,000 Public Records
- 2018-04-30 Sold (MLS) $435,000 FORTMLS
- 2018-04-11 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2018-02-26 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2018-02-13 Price Changed $455,000 FORTMLS
- 2017-10-10 Listed $473,000 FORTMLS
- 2014-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $313,000 Public Records
- 2014-04-30 Price Changed $335,000 FORTMLS
- 2014-04-30 Sold (MLS) $313,000 FORTMLS
- 1989-11-09 Sold (Public Records) $142,000 Public Records
- 1987-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $89,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.0%/yrLatest (2025): $6,981 · +12.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…