385 Taylor St · Talent, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 33 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 34 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$137,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CASH ONLY OPPORTUNITY Unlock the potential of this single-wide manufactured home situated on its OWN LOT , NO SPACE RENT! This is a rare chance for buyers looking to create value, generate rental income, or secure an affordable entry point into property ownership. The property features a detached two-car garage, providing excellent storage, workshop space, or future improvement possibilities. Spacious yard offers room to reimagine landscaping, outdoor living areas, or expansion ideas (buyer to do due diligence). This home is ready for your vision and creativity. Whether you're an investor, contractor, or buyer looking for a project with upside potential, this property presents strong opportunity for sweat equity and long-term gain. Convenient location with established surroundings and room to transform this property into something truly special. Cash only sale due to condition. Sold as-is
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Outdoor living areas
- Own lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $137k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $229 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $137k).
- Recommended offer: $135k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 2.8% in Talent — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#95 in OR, #4,794 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, commute A, crime B+; Watch: housing C-, schools F, amenities D-.
- Phoenix-Talent SD 4 (suburban): math 14% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #58 of 58 in OR (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 904 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (212 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $947 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $82k; list at $137k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.16%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $229,167
- List price
- $137,000
- Delta
- -40.22%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-7,609
- Equity at exit
- $20,427
- IRR
- 4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $12,225
- Equity at exit
- $11,845
Cash invested: $38,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97540
- Home prices YoY
- -19.8%
- Active inventory
- 81
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,488 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$718
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$171 /mo · $2,055/yr
- Insurance
- −$57
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$312
- Net cashflow
- $229
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,250
- Closing costs
- $4,110
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 461 Arnos St Unit A-K Talent, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 593 | $1,250 | $2.11 | 44d | 2 | 0.24mi |
| 461 Arnos St Unit B Talent, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 561 | $1,250 | $2.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 322 Talent Ave Unit B Talent, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,700 | $1.89 | 21d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 220 W Rapp Rd Talent, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,550 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 100 N Pacific Hwy Talent, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 794 | $1,760 | $2.22 | 13d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 204 Gibson St Unit A Talent, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,950 | $1.73 | 13d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 41 Suncrest Rd Unit 21 Talent, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 530 | $750 | $1.42 | 13d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-12status Active 902-char remark
Show marketing remark (902 chars)
CASH ONLY OPPORTUNITY Unlock the potential of this single-wide manufactured home situated on its OWN LOT , NO SPACE RENT! This is a rare chance for buyers looking to create value, generate rental income, or secure an affordable entry point into property ownership. The property features a detached two-car garage, providing excellent storage, workshop space, or future improvement possibilities. Spacious yard offers room to reimagine landscaping, outdoor living areas, or expansion ideas (buyer to do due diligence). This home is ready for your vision and creativity. Whether you're an investor, contractor, or buyer looking for a project with upside potential, this property presents strong opportunity for sweat equity and long-term gain. Convenient location with established surroundings and room to transform this property into something truly special. Cash only sale due to condition. Sold as-is
-
2026-04-20status Pending 902-char remark
Show marketing remark (902 chars)
CASH ONLY OPPORTUNITY Unlock the potential of this single-wide manufactured home situated on its OWN LOT , NO SPACE RENT! This is a rare chance for buyers looking to create value, generate rental income, or secure an affordable entry point into property ownership. The property features a detached two-car garage, providing excellent storage, workshop space, or future improvement possibilities. Spacious yard offers room to reimagine landscaping, outdoor living areas, or expansion ideas (buyer to do due diligence). This home is ready for your vision and creativity. Whether you're an investor, contractor, or buyer looking for a project with upside potential, this property presents strong opportunity for sweat equity and long-term gain. Convenient location with established surroundings and room to transform this property into something truly special. Cash only sale due to condition. Sold as-is
-
2026-04-09status Active 902-char remark
Show marketing remark (902 chars)
CASH ONLY OPPORTUNITY Unlock the potential of this single-wide manufactured home situated on its OWN LOT , NO SPACE RENT! This is a rare chance for buyers looking to create value, generate rental income, or secure an affordable entry point into property ownership. The property features a detached two-car garage, providing excellent storage, workshop space, or future improvement possibilities. Spacious yard offers room to reimagine landscaping, outdoor living areas, or expansion ideas (buyer to do due diligence). This home is ready for your vision and creativity. Whether you're an investor, contractor, or buyer looking for a project with upside potential, this property presents strong opportunity for sweat equity and long-term gain. Convenient location with established surroundings and room to transform this property into something truly special. Cash only sale due to condition. Sold as-is
-
2026-03-25status Pending 902-char remark
Show marketing remark (902 chars)
CASH ONLY OPPORTUNITY Unlock the potential of this single-wide manufactured home situated on its OWN LOT , NO SPACE RENT! This is a rare chance for buyers looking to create value, generate rental income, or secure an affordable entry point into property ownership. The property features a detached two-car garage, providing excellent storage, workshop space, or future improvement possibilities. Spacious yard offers room to reimagine landscaping, outdoor living areas, or expansion ideas (buyer to do due diligence). This home is ready for your vision and creativity. Whether you're an investor, contractor, or buyer looking for a project with upside potential, this property presents strong opportunity for sweat equity and long-term gain. Convenient location with established surroundings and room to transform this property into something truly special. Cash only sale due to condition. Sold as-is
-
2026-03-24$137,000 Active 902-char remark
Show marketing remark (902 chars)
CASH ONLY OPPORTUNITY Unlock the potential of this single-wide manufactured home situated on its OWN LOT , NO SPACE RENT! This is a rare chance for buyers looking to create value, generate rental income, or secure an affordable entry point into property ownership. The property features a detached two-car garage, providing excellent storage, workshop space, or future improvement possibilities. Spacious yard offers room to reimagine landscaping, outdoor living areas, or expansion ideas (buyer to do due diligence). This home is ready for your vision and creativity. Whether you're an investor, contractor, or buyer looking for a project with upside potential, this property presents strong opportunity for sweat equity and long-term gain. Convenient location with established surroundings and room to transform this property into something truly special. Cash only sale due to condition. Sold as-is
-
2004-02-03soldstatus $82,000 224-char remark
Show marketing remark (224 chars)
One hour notice required - Owner always home. Sweet home for investor, 1st home owner or retiree. Kitchen open to Living room. Large master w/ tub. Oversized 2 car garage w/ opener. Super seal roof. Pier and post foundation.
-
2004-01-19$89,900 224-char remark
Show marketing remark (224 chars)
One hour notice required - Owner always home. Sweet home for investor, 1st home owner or retiree. Kitchen open to Living room. Large master w/ tub. Oversized 2 car garage w/ opener. Super seal roof. Pier and post foundation.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 33 unhealthy d/yr today · 34 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,856
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,674
- − Property taxes
- −$2,055
- − Insurance
- −$685
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,428
- − Management
- −$1,428
- − Depreciation
- −$3,985
- Taxable income
- $599
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$144
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,601/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Phoenix-Talent SD 4
- NCES district ID
- 4109630
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,625
- Composite
- 19.24/100
- National rank
- #8809
- State rank
- #58 of 58 in OR
Livability — Talent
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #95
- US rank
- #4794
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Talent, OR
- County
- Jackson County · 159,661 people
- City population
- 8,323
- Metro
- Medford, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,323
- Household income
- $65,762
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 357.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 234,433 people
- By 2030
- 243,834 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 259,717 · +10.8%
- By 2050
- 273,269 · +16.6%
- By 2075
- 300,624 · +28.2%
- By 2100
- 305,256 · +30.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Portuguese 5% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.4) · D 45.5% · R 51.9% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.5pp toward R · 2008: 0.1pp · 2024: -6.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.4 2020: R+3.5 2016: R+9.2 2012: R+5.0 2008: D+0.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.82%
- Current HPI
- 308.1302
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Medford, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+52.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Relisted — MLSCO
- 2026-04-20 Pending — MLSCO
- 2026-04-09 Relisted — MLSCO
- 2026-03-25 Pending — MLSCO
- 2026-03-24 Listed $137,000 MLSCO
- 2004-02-03 Sold (MLS) $82,000 MLSCO
- 2004-01-19 Listed $89,900 MLSCO
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…