110 Crestmont Ct · Warner Robins, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 72.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Excellent investment opportunity! This spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home comes with a tenant already in place paying $1,200 per month, providing immediate rental income. The home features a large floor plan with vinyl flooring throughout, a cozy fireplace, dishwasher, and a spacious walk-in closet. Enjoy outdoor living with both a covered front porch and back porch. The current tenant is on a month-to-month lease, offering flexibility for future plans. Conveniently located just minutes from I-75 and the Galleria Mall, with easy access to shopping, dining, and major employers. Please do not disturb the tenant. Showings are by appointment only.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Vinyl flooring
- Large floor plan
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property located in Richmond Hill subdivision; Lot approximately 0.3 acres
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available
- Home design: Manufactured single-family residence; Built in 2002; Resale property
- Construction: Manufactured house construction; Vinyl siding exterior; Composition roof; Built in 2002
- Exterior features: Composition roof; Vinyl siding; Located on a cul-de-sac
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator included
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: High ceilings; One-level living; Family room; Fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $638 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 4.9% in Warner Robins — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#227 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Houston County (urban): math 43% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #23 of 174 in GA (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Eagle Springs Elementary (math 45% / reading 47%, grade D-, #316 of 1,228 statewide, top 26%, 704 students, 66% FRL); Thomson Middle School (math 29% / reading 34%, grade F, #234 of 470 statewide, top 50%, 736 students, 84% FRL); Northside High School (math 5% / reading 21%, grade F, #331 of 424 statewide, top 78%, 1,959 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 46% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 205 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,545 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (336 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Houston County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $16k; list at $125k implies a 681% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.86%
- DSCR
- 1.97
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $20,319
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 23.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.00×
- Total profit
- $69,841
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31008
- Home prices YoY
- -18.1%
- Active inventory
- 205
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,773 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $665/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$372
- Net cashflow
- $638
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $708 | -5% $673 | +0% $638 | +5% $602 | +10% $567 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $498 | -5% $568 | +0% $638 | +5% $708 | +10% $778 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $701 | -0.5pp $669 | base $638 | +0.5pp $605 | +1.0pp $572 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 415 Covington Cv Byron, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1472 | $1,820 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 420 Madison Place Pkwy Byron, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1341 | $2,000 | $1.49 | 14d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 213 Merlot Dr Byron, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1632 | $1,500 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 302 Timberwind Dr Byron, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1449 | $1,500 | $1.04 | 14d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 307 Timberwind Dr Byron, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1908 | $1,850 | $0.97 | 14d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 206 Beau Claire Cir Byron, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2145 | $1,950 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 800 Gunn Rd Centerville, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1100 | $1,715 | $1.56 | 14d | 2 | 0.51mi |
| 104 Village Walk Centerville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1887 | $1,950 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3415 US Highway 41 N Byron, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,490 | $1.27 | 14d | 15 | 0.71mi |
| 111 Brighton Dr Byron, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1782 | $1,400 | $0.79 | 21d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 111 Brighton Dr Byron, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1782 | $1,500 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 115 Tom Chapman Blvd Warner Robins, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1066 | $1,632 | $1.53 | 14d | 10 | 1.04mi |
| 100 Place Dr Byron, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1099 | $1,925 | $1.75 | 14d | 41 | 1.08mi |
| 807 Citrona Dr Byron, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2164 | $2,020 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 807 Citrona Dr Byron, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2164 | $2,020 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 114 Tahoe Ln Warner Robins, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1349 | $1,800 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 156 Amelia Dr Byron, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2200 | $2,300 | $1.05 | 14d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 110 Sea Oaks Ct Byron, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2055 | $2,050 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $125,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-15statusdays on market $125,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $125,000 New 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 New 12 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $125,000 New 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 New 9 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 New 8 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 New 7 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $125,000 New 4 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 New 3 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 New 2 DOM
-
2026-06-01remarks 655-char remark
-
2026-06-01$125,000 New 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $665 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,150 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- +$485/yr (+$40/mo · 72.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,275
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$665
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,702
- − Management
- −$1,702
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $5,943
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,426
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,225/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston County
- NCES district ID
- 1302880
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,823
- Composite
- 38.68/100
- National rank
- #4144
- State rank
- #23 of 174 in GA
Livability — Warner Robins
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #227
- US rank
- #13290
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Warner Robins, GA
- City population
- 92,102
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,882
Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 169,502 people
- By 2030
- 178,486 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 194,642 · +14.8%
- By 2050
- 207,119 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 231,480 · +36.6%
- By 2100
- 235,034 · +38.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Black 27% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Houston
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.3) · D 44.0% · R 55.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.9pp toward D · 2008: -20.2pp · 2024: -11.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.3 2020: R+12.4 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+20.7 2008: R+20.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -45.93%
- Current HPI
- 208.0889
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+681.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listed $125,000 GAMLS
- 2024-11-15 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2024-05-15 Listed $120,000 GAMLS
- 2002-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2025): $665 · +17.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…