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10 Carriage Ln
B Composite 70.1
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

10 Carriage Ln · Lewes, DE 19971
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,220 sqft · Manufactured · 143 Days on market
Built 1982 42 ac lot $143/sqft · 53% above area ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 10 Carriage Lane in the highly desirable community of Colonial East — an amenity-rich neighborhood offering a pool, clubhouse, dog park, playground, picnic area, gazebo, and even boat and RV storage options. Perfectly located, this home is within walking distance to restaurants, shopping, a movie theater, waterpark, and more, making everyday convenience and entertainment easily accessible. This beautifully renovated home has been completely updated from top to bottom and is truly move-in ready. Inside, you’ll find a stunning new kitchen featuring quartz countertops, tile backsplash, stainless steel appliances, updated baths, and new flooring throughout. Major exterior improvements include new decking, windows, roof, and HVAC, offering peace of mind for years to come. Whether you’re searching for a year-round residence, vacation getaway, or investment opportunity, this turnkey home is ideally situated just a short drive from downtown Rehoboth Beach, where you can enjoy the beaches, boardwalk, dining, and coastal attractions. Immediate occupancy available!

Key facts

  • Dog park
  • Picnic area
  • Clubhouse

Tags

POOLCLUBHOUSEDOG PARKPLAYGROUNDPICNIC AREAGAZEBO

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $891 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $175k).
  • Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 1.7% in Lewes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#40 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, cost of living F.
  • Cape Henlopen School District (town): math 42% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #5 of 26 in DE (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 331 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($102k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $154,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.52%
Cap rate
12.40%
Cash-on-cash
21.81%
DSCR
1.97
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$114,580
List price
$175,000
Delta
52.73%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1 Candlelight Ln #2542 0.21mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,100 (-10%) 6mo $114,000 $104 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.5%
Equity multiple
1.58×
Total profit
$28,401
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
23.2%
Equity multiple
3.00×
Total profit
$97,928
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
70 Landlord-Friendly
State Delaware
70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Court of Common Pleas hears L&T; moderate-paced. No state rent control.

ZIP-level market 19971

Active inventory
331
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,658 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax est. 1.5%
$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$558
Net cashflow
$891

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,531
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,011 -5% $951 +0% $891 +5% $830 +10% $770
Rent -10% $681 -5% $786 +0% $891 +5% $996 +10% $1,101
Rate -1.0pp $979 -0.5pp $935 base $891 +0.5pp $845 +1.0pp $799

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15 Colgate Dr Rehoboth Beach, DE 3.0 2.0 1120 $2,275 $2.03 22d 1 0.74mi
32015 Azure Ave Rehoboth Beach, DE 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1054 $2,375 $2.25 45d 1 0.74mi
16 Colgate Dr Rehoboth Beach, DE 2.0 2.0 1192 $2,400 $2.01 14d 1 0.77mi
300 Pebble Dr #318 Rehoboth Beach, DE 2.0 2.0 940 $1,800 $1.91 22d 1 0.84mi
35948 Haven Dr #201 Rehoboth Beach, DE 2.0 2.0 858 $1,800 $2.10 22d 1 0.91mi
17829 Callaway Dr #37 Lewes, DE 3.0 2.0 1000 $2,000 $2.00 45d 1 0.91mi
36916 Crooked Hammock Way Lewes, DE 2.0–3.0 2.0 1172 $2,250 $1.92 45d 1 1.07mi
10150 Rockland St Lewes, DE 1.0–3.0 1.5–2.5 1217 $3,850 $3.16 45d 1 1.30mi
107 Strawberry Way Rehoboth Beach, DE 3.0 2.0 1025 $2,750 $2.68 45d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $175,000 Active 143 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $175,000 Active 142 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $175,000 Active 141 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $175,000 Active 140 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $175,000 Active 138 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $175,000 Active 137 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $175,000 Active 135 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $175,000 Active 134 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 133 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $175,000 Active 132 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $175,000 Active 129 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $175,000 Active 128 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $175,000 Active 127 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $175,000 Active 126 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 125 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $175,000 Active 124 DOM
  17. 2026-04-21
    price $190,000 1099-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1099 chars)

    Welcome to 10 Carriage Lane in the highly desirable community of Colonial East — an amenity-rich neighborhood offering a pool, clubhouse, dog park, playground, picnic area, gazebo, and even boat and RV storage options. Perfectly located, this home is within walking distance to restaurants, shopping, a movie theater, waterpark, and more, making everyday convenience and entertainment easily accessible. This beautifully renovated home has been completely updated from top to bottom and is truly move-in ready. Inside, you’ll find a stunning new kitchen featuring quartz countertops, tile backsplash, stainless steel appliances, updated baths, and new flooring throughout. Major exterior improvements include new decking, windows, roof, and HVAC, offering peace of mind for years to come. Whether you’re searching for a year-round residence, vacation getaway, or investment opportunity, this turnkey home is ideally situated just a short drive from downtown Rehoboth Beach, where you can enjoy the beaches, boardwalk, dining, and coastal attractions. Immediate occupancy available!

  18. 2026-03-25
    price $210,000 1099-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1099 chars)

    Welcome to 10 Carriage Lane in the highly desirable community of Colonial East — an amenity-rich neighborhood offering a pool, clubhouse, dog park, playground, picnic area, gazebo, and even boat and RV storage options. Perfectly located, this home is within walking distance to restaurants, shopping, a movie theater, waterpark, and more, making everyday convenience and entertainment easily accessible. This beautifully renovated home has been completely updated from top to bottom and is truly move-in ready. Inside, you’ll find a stunning new kitchen featuring quartz countertops, tile backsplash, stainless steel appliances, updated baths, and new flooring throughout. Major exterior improvements include new decking, windows, roof, and HVAC, offering peace of mind for years to come. Whether you’re searching for a year-round residence, vacation getaway, or investment opportunity, this turnkey home is ideally situated just a short drive from downtown Rehoboth Beach, where you can enjoy the beaches, boardwalk, dining, and coastal attractions. Immediate occupancy available!

  19. 2026-01-27
    price $220,000 1099-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1099 chars)

    Welcome to 10 Carriage Lane in the highly desirable community of Colonial East — an amenity-rich neighborhood offering a pool, clubhouse, dog park, playground, picnic area, gazebo, and even boat and RV storage options. Perfectly located, this home is within walking distance to restaurants, shopping, a movie theater, waterpark, and more, making everyday convenience and entertainment easily accessible. This beautifully renovated home has been completely updated from top to bottom and is truly move-in ready. Inside, you’ll find a stunning new kitchen featuring quartz countertops, tile backsplash, stainless steel appliances, updated baths, and new flooring throughout. Major exterior improvements include new decking, windows, roof, and HVAC, offering peace of mind for years to come. Whether you’re searching for a year-round residence, vacation getaway, or investment opportunity, this turnkey home is ideally situated just a short drive from downtown Rehoboth Beach, where you can enjoy the beaches, boardwalk, dining, and coastal attractions. Immediate occupancy available!

  20. 2026-01-26
    listed $215,000 Active 1099-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1099 chars)

    Welcome to 10 Carriage Lane in the highly desirable community of Colonial East — an amenity-rich neighborhood offering a pool, clubhouse, dog park, playground, picnic area, gazebo, and even boat and RV storage options. Perfectly located, this home is within walking distance to restaurants, shopping, a movie theater, waterpark, and more, making everyday convenience and entertainment easily accessible. This beautifully renovated home has been completely updated from top to bottom and is truly move-in ready. Inside, you’ll find a stunning new kitchen featuring quartz countertops, tile backsplash, stainless steel appliances, updated baths, and new flooring throughout. Major exterior improvements include new decking, windows, roof, and HVAC, offering peace of mind for years to come. Whether you’re searching for a year-round residence, vacation getaway, or investment opportunity, this turnkey home is ideally situated just a short drive from downtown Rehoboth Beach, where you can enjoy the beaches, boardwalk, dining, and coastal attractions. Immediate occupancy available!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,897
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$2,625
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,552
− Management
−$2,552
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable income
$8,400
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,016
After-tax cash flow
$8,670/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cape Henlopen School District
NCES district ID
1000170
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$60,196
Composite
42.47/100
National rank
#3214
State rank
#5 of 26 in DE

Livability — Lewes

Score
67/100
State rank
#40
US rank
#11077

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing C+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Sussex County · 82,708 people
City population
31,938
Metro
Salisbury, MD-DE
Population (ZIP)
14,886
Household income
$102,146
Rent vs Own
13.2% rent · 86.8% own
Severe rent burden
317.0

Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,853 people
By 2030
264,464 · +6.3%
By 2040
290,980 · +16.9%
By 2050
311,259 · +25.1%
By 2075
352,488 · +41.6%
By 2100
367,406 · +47.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Black 4% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Slovak 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sussex

2024 margin
R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -220.39%
Current HPI
353.3977
Rent YoY
Metro
Salisbury, MD-DE
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-11.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $190,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $210,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-27 Price Changed $220,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-26 Listed $215,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

-7.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $157 · -54.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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