10 Carriage Ln · Lewes, DE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 10 Carriage Lane in the highly desirable community of Colonial East — an amenity-rich neighborhood offering a pool, clubhouse, dog park, playground, picnic area, gazebo, and even boat and RV storage options. Perfectly located, this home is within walking distance to restaurants, shopping, a movie theater, waterpark, and more, making everyday convenience and entertainment easily accessible. This beautifully renovated home has been completely updated from top to bottom and is truly move-in ready. Inside, you’ll find a stunning new kitchen featuring quartz countertops, tile backsplash, stainless steel appliances, updated baths, and new flooring throughout. Major exterior improvements include new decking, windows, roof, and HVAC, offering peace of mind for years to come. Whether you’re searching for a year-round residence, vacation getaway, or investment opportunity, this turnkey home is ideally situated just a short drive from downtown Rehoboth Beach, where you can enjoy the beaches, boardwalk, dining, and coastal attractions. Immediate occupancy available!
Key facts
- Dog park
- Picnic area
- Clubhouse
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $891 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 1.7% in Lewes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#40 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, cost of living F.
- Cape Henlopen School District (town): math 42% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #5 of 26 in DE (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 331 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($102k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.81%
- DSCR
- 1.97
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $114,580
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- 52.73%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Candlelight Ln #2542 | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,100 (-10%) | 6mo | $114,000 | $104 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $28,401
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 23.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.00×
- Total profit
- $97,928
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19971
- Active inventory
- 331
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,658 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$558
- Net cashflow
- $891
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,011 | -5% $951 | +0% $891 | +5% $830 | +10% $770 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $681 | -5% $786 | +0% $891 | +5% $996 | +10% $1,101 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $979 | -0.5pp $935 | base $891 | +0.5pp $845 | +1.0pp $799 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Colgate Dr Rehoboth Beach, DE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $2,275 | $2.03 | 22d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 32015 Azure Ave Rehoboth Beach, DE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1054 | $2,375 | $2.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 16 Colgate Dr Rehoboth Beach, DE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $2,400 | $2.01 | 14d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 300 Pebble Dr #318 Rehoboth Beach, DE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $1,800 | $1.91 | 22d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 35948 Haven Dr #201 Rehoboth Beach, DE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 858 | $1,800 | $2.10 | 22d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 17829 Callaway Dr #37 Lewes, DE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 36916 Crooked Hammock Way Lewes, DE | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1172 | $2,250 | $1.92 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 10150 Rockland St Lewes, DE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.5 | 1217 | $3,850 | $3.16 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 107 Strawberry Way Rehoboth Beach, DE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $2,750 | $2.68 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $175,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $175,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $175,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $175,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $175,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-04-21price $190,000 1099-char remark
Show marketing remark (1099 chars)
Welcome to 10 Carriage Lane in the highly desirable community of Colonial East — an amenity-rich neighborhood offering a pool, clubhouse, dog park, playground, picnic area, gazebo, and even boat and RV storage options. Perfectly located, this home is within walking distance to restaurants, shopping, a movie theater, waterpark, and more, making everyday convenience and entertainment easily accessible. This beautifully renovated home has been completely updated from top to bottom and is truly move-in ready. Inside, you’ll find a stunning new kitchen featuring quartz countertops, tile backsplash, stainless steel appliances, updated baths, and new flooring throughout. Major exterior improvements include new decking, windows, roof, and HVAC, offering peace of mind for years to come. Whether you’re searching for a year-round residence, vacation getaway, or investment opportunity, this turnkey home is ideally situated just a short drive from downtown Rehoboth Beach, where you can enjoy the beaches, boardwalk, dining, and coastal attractions. Immediate occupancy available!
-
2026-03-25price $210,000 1099-char remark
Show marketing remark (1099 chars)
Welcome to 10 Carriage Lane in the highly desirable community of Colonial East — an amenity-rich neighborhood offering a pool, clubhouse, dog park, playground, picnic area, gazebo, and even boat and RV storage options. Perfectly located, this home is within walking distance to restaurants, shopping, a movie theater, waterpark, and more, making everyday convenience and entertainment easily accessible. This beautifully renovated home has been completely updated from top to bottom and is truly move-in ready. Inside, you’ll find a stunning new kitchen featuring quartz countertops, tile backsplash, stainless steel appliances, updated baths, and new flooring throughout. Major exterior improvements include new decking, windows, roof, and HVAC, offering peace of mind for years to come. Whether you’re searching for a year-round residence, vacation getaway, or investment opportunity, this turnkey home is ideally situated just a short drive from downtown Rehoboth Beach, where you can enjoy the beaches, boardwalk, dining, and coastal attractions. Immediate occupancy available!
-
2026-01-27price $220,000 1099-char remark
Show marketing remark (1099 chars)
Welcome to 10 Carriage Lane in the highly desirable community of Colonial East — an amenity-rich neighborhood offering a pool, clubhouse, dog park, playground, picnic area, gazebo, and even boat and RV storage options. Perfectly located, this home is within walking distance to restaurants, shopping, a movie theater, waterpark, and more, making everyday convenience and entertainment easily accessible. This beautifully renovated home has been completely updated from top to bottom and is truly move-in ready. Inside, you’ll find a stunning new kitchen featuring quartz countertops, tile backsplash, stainless steel appliances, updated baths, and new flooring throughout. Major exterior improvements include new decking, windows, roof, and HVAC, offering peace of mind for years to come. Whether you’re searching for a year-round residence, vacation getaway, or investment opportunity, this turnkey home is ideally situated just a short drive from downtown Rehoboth Beach, where you can enjoy the beaches, boardwalk, dining, and coastal attractions. Immediate occupancy available!
-
2026-01-26$215,000 Active 1099-char remark
Show marketing remark (1099 chars)
Welcome to 10 Carriage Lane in the highly desirable community of Colonial East — an amenity-rich neighborhood offering a pool, clubhouse, dog park, playground, picnic area, gazebo, and even boat and RV storage options. Perfectly located, this home is within walking distance to restaurants, shopping, a movie theater, waterpark, and more, making everyday convenience and entertainment easily accessible. This beautifully renovated home has been completely updated from top to bottom and is truly move-in ready. Inside, you’ll find a stunning new kitchen featuring quartz countertops, tile backsplash, stainless steel appliances, updated baths, and new flooring throughout. Major exterior improvements include new decking, windows, roof, and HVAC, offering peace of mind for years to come. Whether you’re searching for a year-round residence, vacation getaway, or investment opportunity, this turnkey home is ideally situated just a short drive from downtown Rehoboth Beach, where you can enjoy the beaches, boardwalk, dining, and coastal attractions. Immediate occupancy available!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,897
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,625
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,552
- − Management
- −$2,552
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $8,400
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,016
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,670/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cape Henlopen School District
- NCES district ID
- 1000170
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,196
- Composite
- 42.47/100
- National rank
- #3214
- State rank
- #5 of 26 in DE
Livability — Lewes
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #40
- US rank
- #11077
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Sussex County · 82,708 people
- City population
- 31,938
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,886
- Household income
- $102,146
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 317.0
Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,853 people
- By 2030
- 264,464 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 290,980 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 311,259 · +25.1%
- By 2075
- 352,488 · +41.6%
- By 2100
- 367,406 · +47.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Black 4% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sussex
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -220.39%
- Current HPI
- 353.3977
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-11.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $190,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $210,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-27 Price Changed $220,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-26 Listed $215,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
-7.5%/yrLatest (2025): $157 · -54.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…