10055 N 142nd St #2250 · Scottsdale, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.8/30.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.1/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$549,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Experience Scottsdale resort-style living in the gated community of Villas Verona, with panoramic views and bright natural light throughout this expansive 3-bed, 2-bath townhome. Elegance and refinement of the modern kitchen shines with new quartz countertops and stainless-steel appliances to create a luxury living experience. The soaring 10-foot ceilings and a perfectly laid out split floor-plan offers fully remodeled bathrooms and each bedroom has direct access to a private patio with striking mountain views. Residents of Villas Verona can enjoy community amenities like a pool, spa, and BBQ areas surrounded by lush landscaping. Directly attached 2-car garage with extra built-in storage, v
Key facts
- Gated community
- Quartz countertops
- Panoramic views
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $350; Association covers roof repair/replacement, insurance, sewer, pest control, grounds maintenance, street maintenance, front yard maintenance, trash, water, and exterior maintenance; Community pool and heated community spa; Association rules prohibit visible truck/trailer/RV/boat
Exterior
- Parking: Covered parking for 2; 2-car garage with garage door opener and direct access; Attached garage cabinets
- Security: Gated community
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer
- Home design: Attached townhouse; Fee simple ownership; Mountain views
- Construction: Stucco and wood frame construction with painted and stone accents; Tile roof
- Exterior features: Balcony; Desert-front lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Kitchen island; Pantry; Breakfast bar; Granite counters
- Bedrooms: 3 possible bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: High-speed internet; Granite counters; Double vanity; Breakfast bar; 9+ foot flat ceilings; Kitchen island; Pantry; Master bath with 3/4 bath configuration; Dual-pane windows
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $549k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $349 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $496k (9.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $496k (9.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 2.5% in Scottsdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#4 in AZ, #1,756 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living F.
- Scottsdale Unified District (4240) (urban): math 53% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #30 of 249 in AZ (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Anasazi Elementary (math 67% / reading 62%, grade B, #104 of 1,109 statewide, top 10%, 442 students, 13% FRL); Mountainside Middle School (math 54% / reading 58%, grade B-, #10 of 218 statewide, top 4%, 550 students, 11% FRL); Desert Mountain High School (math 49% / reading 47%, grade D, #46 of 381 statewide, top 12%, 1,880 students, 8% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 195 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($138k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $303k; list at $549k implies a 81% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.72%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $471,502
- List price
- $549,000
- Delta
- 18.56%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10055 N 142nd St #2340 | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,548 (0%) | 1mo | $460,000 | $297 | 94 |
| 10055 N 142nd St #2260 | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 | 1,548 (0%) | 6mo | $583,800 | $377 | 91 |
| 10055 N 142nd St #2180 | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,548 (0%) | 18mo | $526,500 | $340 | 80 |
| 10055 N 142nd St #2020 | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,548 (0%) | 21mo | $560,000 | $362 | 77 |
| 10055 N 142nd St #2060 | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,548 (0%) | 22mo | $540,000 | $349 | 75 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.18% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-65,920
- Equity at exit
- $81,858
- IRR
- -2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-25,368
- Equity at exit
- $47,467
Cash invested: $153,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85259
- Home prices YoY
- -28.7%
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 195
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,956 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,879
- Tax from tax record
- −$108 /mo · $1,301/yr
- Insurance
- −$229
- HOA
- −$350
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,041
- Net cashflow
- $349
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $659 | -5% $504 | +0% $349 | +5% $193 | +10% $38 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-43 | -5% $153 | +0% $349 | +5% $544 | +10% $740 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $625 | -0.5pp $488 | base $349 | +0.5pp $206 | +1.0pp $62 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $137,250
- Closing costs
- $16,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11420 N 141st St Scottsdale, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1997 | $10,000 | $5.01 | 0d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 14046 E Geronimo Rd Scottsdale, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2221 | $5,800 | $2.61 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 11747 N 135th Pl Scottsdale, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1945 | $3,150 | $1.62 | 26d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 13450 E Via Linda #1017 Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $3,500 | $2.26 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $350 · $4,200/yr
- Likely covers
- landscapingpoolsecurity
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $549,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $549,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $549,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $549,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $549,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $549,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13pricestatusdays on market $549,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-03-21price $559,000 425-char remark
-
2026-02-28$569,000 Active 425-char remark
-
2026-02-20historical
-
2017-06-16soldstatus $303,000
-
2017-06-15soldstatus $309,000 Closed
-
2017-05-05historical Under Contract Accepting Backups
-
2017-05-05status Active
-
2017-04-26status Pending
-
2017-04-15$319,000 Active
-
2007-04-02soldstatus $419,900
-
2007-04-02soldstatus $419,900
-
2007-03-02historical
-
2007-02-23$419,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,301 · $108/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,623 · $302/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,322/yr (+$194/mo · 178.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $59,467
- − Mortgage interest
- −$30,753
- − Property taxes
- −$1,301
- − Insurance
- −$2,745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,757
- − Management
- −$4,757
- − HOA
- −$4,200
- − Depreciation
- −$15,971
- Taxable loss
- −$5,018
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,204
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,388/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Scottsdale Unified District (4240)
- NCES district ID
- 0407570
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,139
- Composite
- 48.02/100
- National rank
- #2196
- State rank
- #30 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Scottsdale
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #1756
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Scottsdale, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 290,846
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,670
- Household income
- $137,895
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 586.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Asian 11% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -123.60%
- Current HPI
- 307.0145
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.18%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+30.7% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $549,000 ARMLS
- 2026-05-21 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2026-03-21 Price Changed $559,000 ARMLS
- 2026-02-28 Listed $569,000 ARMLS
- 2026-02-20 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2017-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $303,000 Public Records
- 2017-06-15 Sold (MLS) $309,000 ARMLS
- 2017-05-05 Contingent — ARMLS
- 2017-05-05 Relisted — ARMLS
- 2017-04-26 Pending — ARMLS
- 2017-04-15 Listed $319,000 ARMLS
- 2007-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $419,900 Public Records
- 2007-04-02 Sold (MLS) $419,900 ARMLS
- 2007-03-02 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2007-02-23 Listed $419,900 ARMLS
Property tax history
-1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,301 · -18.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…