172 Boston Rd · Pennsville, NJ
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Price reduced!! This one-story home offers a wonderful opportunity to create a cozy and inviting space with your personal touch. Featuring 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom, the layout includes a comfortable living room, a dedicated dining room, a functional kitchen, and a convenient mudroom—providing a practical and flexible floor plan. The property also boasts a private yard, perfect for outdoor enjoyment, gardening, or entertaining, along with the added benefit of a carport for covered parking. While the home does require some updates and improvements, it presents excellent potential for customization and value enhancement. With a little vision and care, this property can truly shine as a
Key facts
- Carport
- Private yard
- 0.23 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $204 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Cap rate 21.4% vs local median 3.7% in Pennsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#225 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Pennsville Public School District (suburban): math 12% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #356 of 472 in NJ (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Valley Park Elementary School (362 students, 38% FRL); Pennsville Middle School (math 11% / reading 50%, grade F, #303 of 431 statewide, top 72%, 440 students, 39% FRL); Pennsville Memorial High School (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #290 of 399 statewide, top 74%, 462 students, 29% FRL).
- Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 95 units permitted in Salem County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Salem County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $49k (49%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 54.01%
- DSCR
- 3.40
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $158,508
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Castle Dr | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 704 (+6%) | 17mo | $205,000 | $291 | 61 |
| 110 Highland Ave | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 690 (+4%) | 24mo | $140,000 | $203 | 58 |
| 103 Dunn Ln | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 749 (+12%) | 12mo | $200,000 | $267 | 54 |
| 15 Glen Dr | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 630 (-5%) | 18mo | $150,000 | $238 | 52 |
| 62 Cornell Rd | 0.59mi | 1/1.0 | 752 (+13%) | 22mo | $149,777 | $199 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $5,144
- Equity at exit
- $7,455
- IRR
- 18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.59×
- Total profit
- $22,315
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08070
- Home prices YoY
- -23.7%
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,235 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $750/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$259
- Net cashflow
- $204
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $238 | -5% $221 | +0% $204 | +5% $186 | +10% $169 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $106 | -5% $155 | +0% $204 | +5% $252 | +10% $301 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $229 | -0.5pp $216 | base $204 | +0.5pp $191 | +1.0pp $177 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Fort Sumpter Rd Pennsville, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,235 | $1.72 | 0d | 2 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-04-12status Pending
-
2026-04-02price $50,000
-
2026-03-31$99,000 Active
-
2026-03-27historical
-
2026-03-10price $99,000
-
2026-02-18price $116,000
-
2026-01-15price $130,500
-
2025-11-26$145,000 Active
-
1999-10-22soldstatus $49,000
-
1980-12-06soldstatus $16,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,820
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$750
- − Insurance
- −$5,368
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,186
- − Management
- −$1,186
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $2,075
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$498
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,945/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pennsville Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 3409120
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,237
- Composite
- 25.61/100
- National rank
- #7411
- State rank
- #356 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Pennsville
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #225
- US rank
- #6134
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pennsville, NJ
- City population
- 12,766
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,477
Population outlook (Salem County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 59,905 people
- By 2030
- 57,351 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 51,837 · -13.5%
- By 2050
- 46,356 · -22.6%
- By 2075
- 36,452 · -39.2%
- By 2100
- 28,907 · -51.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Salem
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 39.6% · R 58.8% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.1pp toward R · 2008: 3.9pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+12.8 2016: R+15.4 2012: D+0.8 2008: D+3.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -85.34%
- Current HPI
- 275.2185
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
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Price history
+203.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-12 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $50,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $99,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-27 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $99,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $116,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $130,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-26 Listed $145,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1999-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
- 1980-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $16,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $4,715 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…