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172 Boston Rd
B- Composite 68.66
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$50,000

172 Boston Rd · Pennsville, NJ 08070
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 666 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1930 10,001 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Price reduced!! This one-story home offers a wonderful opportunity to create a cozy and inviting space with your personal touch. Featuring 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom, the layout includes a comfortable living room, a dedicated dining room, a functional kitchen, and a convenient mudroom—providing a practical and flexible floor plan. The property also boasts a private yard, perfect for outdoor enjoyment, gardening, or entertaining, along with the added benefit of a carport for covered parking. While the home does require some updates and improvements, it presents excellent potential for customization and value enhancement. With a little vision and care, this property can truly shine as a

Key facts

  • Carport
  • Private yard
  • 0.23 acre lot

Tags

PRIVATE YARDCARPORT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $204 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Cap rate 21.4% vs local median 3.7% in Pennsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#225 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Pennsville Public School District (suburban): math 12% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #356 of 472 in NJ (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Valley Park Elementary School (362 students, 38% FRL); Pennsville Middle School (math 11% / reading 50%, grade F, #303 of 431 statewide, top 72%, 440 students, 39% FRL); Pennsville Memorial High School (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #290 of 399 statewide, top 74%, 462 students, 29% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 95 units permitted in Salem County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Salem County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $49k (49%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $50,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.47%
Cap rate
21.42%
Cash-on-cash
54.01%
DSCR
3.40
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$158,508
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12 Castle Dr 0.22mi 2/1.0 (+1) 704 (+6%) 17mo $205,000 $291 61
110 Highland Ave 0.23mi 2/1.0 (+1) 690 (+4%) 24mo $140,000 $203 58
103 Dunn Ln 0.23mi 2/1.0 (+1) 749 (+12%) 12mo $200,000 $267 54
15 Glen Dr 0.40mi 2/1.0 (+1) 630 (-5%) 18mo $150,000 $238 52
62 Cornell Rd 0.59mi 1/1.0 752 (+13%) 22mo $149,777 $199 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.3%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$5,144
Equity at exit
$7,455
10-year hold
IRR
18.8%
Equity multiple
2.59×
Total profit
$22,315
Equity at exit
$4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08070

Home prices YoY
-23.7%
Active inventory
90
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,235 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $750/yr
Insurance
$21
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$259
Net cashflow
$204

Break-even live

Break-even rent $977
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $238 -5% $221 +0% $204 +5% $186 +10% $169
Rent -10% $106 -5% $155 +0% $204 +5% $252 +10% $301
Rate -1.0pp $229 -0.5pp $216 base $204 +0.5pp $191 +1.0pp $177

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
20 Fort Sumpter Rd Pennsville, NJ 1.0 1.0 720 $1,235 $1.72 0d 2 1.40mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-04-12
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-02
    price $50,000
  3. 2026-03-31
    listed $99,000 Active
  4. 2026-03-27
    historical
  5. 2026-03-10
    price $99,000
  6. 2026-02-18
    price $116,000
  7. 2026-01-15
    price $130,500
  8. 2025-11-26
    listed $145,000 Active
  9. 1999-10-22
    soldstatus $49,000
  10. 1980-12-06
    soldstatus $16,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,820
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$750
− Insurance
−$5,368
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,186
− Management
−$1,186
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$2,075
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$498
After-tax cash flow
$1,945/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pennsville Public School District
NCES district ID
3409120
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$58,237
Composite
25.61/100
National rank
#7411
State rank
#356 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Pennsville

Score
72/100
State rank
#225
US rank
#6134

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime C+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pennsville, NJ
City population
12,766
Population (ZIP)
12,477

Population outlook (Salem County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,905 people
By 2030
57,351 · -4.3%
By 2040
51,837 · -13.5%
By 2050
46,356 · -22.6%
By 2075
36,452 · -39.2%
By 2100
28,907 · -51.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Salem

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 39.6% · R 58.8% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-23.1pp toward R · 2008: 3.9pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+12.8 2016: R+15.4 2012: D+0.8 2008: D+3.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -85.34%
Current HPI
275.2185
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+203.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-12 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $50,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $99,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-27 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $99,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-18 Price Changed $116,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-15 Price Changed $130,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-26 Listed $145,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1999-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
  • 1980-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $16,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,715 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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