Aurora Plan · West Vero Corridor, FL 32966

$164,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,393 sqft · Manufactured · 261 Days on market

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +8.6/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.7/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

55+ age qualified community. NO RENT UNTIL FEBRUARY! Welcome to Heron Cay a 55+ age-qualified active and vibrant community, where you can find yourself in your dream home. We have a stunning, 2023, 3 bed, 2 bath Palm Harbor Aurora home for sale or rent featuring 1393.60 sq ft of beautifully designed living space. Located in Vero Beach, this property offers the perfect blend of modern amenities and timeless charm. Step inside to find an open-concept floor plan, luxury vinyl floors, high ceilings, natural light. The beautiful open kitchen boasts stainless steel appliances, soft close drawers, and lots of cabinetry, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The spacious primary suite

Key facts

• Fitness center
• Resort style pool
• Covered front patio

Tags

• OPEN CONCEPT FLOOR PLAN
• STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES
• COVERED FRONT PATIO
• LOW MAINTENANCE LANDSCAPING
• RESORT STYLE POOL
• FITNESS CENTER

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Virtual tour available
• Financial info: List price $164,900

Exterior

• Home design: New construction plan (Aurora)
• Construction: Living area approximately 1,393; Located at 1400 90th Ave, Vero Beach, FL 32966
• Exterior features: Property listed as the Aurora plan

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Interior features: Open living area

🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $165k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $638 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
• Recommended offer: $145k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 4.0% in West Vero Corridor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#273 in FL, #4,421 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, health & safety D-.
• Indian River (other): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #35 of 73 in FL (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 380 active listings in the ZIP; 564 units permitted in Indian River County in 2024 (281 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Indian River County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 261 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $145,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 261 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.36% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.93%
• Cash-on-cash: 16.58%
• DSCR: 1.74
• GRM: 6.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 5.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.19×
• Total profit: $8,634
• Equity at exit: $24,587

10-year hold

• IRR: 12.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.85×
• Total profit: $39,220
• Equity at exit: $14,258

Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32966

• Home prices YoY: -26.7%
• Rents YoY: 0.6%
• Active inventory: 380
• Price-to-rent: 6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,250 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$865
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$206 /mo · $2,474/yr
• Insurance: −$69
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$472
• Net cashflow: $638

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,443

Max offer price $164,900

Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $752	-5% $695	+0% $638	+5% $581	+10% $524
Rent	-10% $460	-5% $549	+0% $638	+5% $727	+10% $816
Rate	-1.0pp $721	-0.5pp $680	base $638	+0.5pp $595	+1.0pp $552

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $41,225
• Closing costs: $4,947
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $164,900 Active 261 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $164,900 Active 260 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $164,900 Active 259 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $164,900 Active 258 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $164,900 Active 257 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $164,900 Active 255 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $164,900 Active 254 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $164,900 Active 252 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $164,900 Active 251 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $164,900 Active 250 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $164,900 Active 249 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $164,900 Active 246 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $164,900 Active 244 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $164,900 Active 243 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $164,900 Active 242 DOM
16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $164,900 Active 241 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $27,000
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,237
• − Property taxes: −$2,474
• − Insurance: −$824
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,160
• − Management: −$2,160
• − Depreciation: −$4,797
• Taxable income: $5,348
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,283
• After-tax cash flow: $6,371/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Indian River
• NCES district ID: 1200930
• Math proficiency: 48% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 52% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $46,597
• Composite: 42.45/100
• National rank: #3218
• State rank: #35 of 73 in FL

Livability — West Vero Corridor

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #273
• US rank: #4421

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Indian River County · 143,738 people
• Metro: Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
• Population (ZIP): 20,686
• Household income: $66,771
• Rent vs Own: 25.1% rent · 74.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 766.0

Population outlook (Indian River County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 165,104 people
• By 2030: 172,869 · +4.7%
• By 2040: 185,640 · +12.4%
• By 2050: 194,465 · +17.8%
• By 2075: 211,115 · +27.9%
• By 2100: 211,781 · +28.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (83%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 83% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Black 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Indian River

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+27.4) · D 36.0% · R 63.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -12.5pp toward R · 2008: -14.8pp · 2024: -27.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+21.6 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+14.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -102.01%
• Current HPI: 280.669
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.60%
• Metro: Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B