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146 Old Route 940
B Composite 73.62
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$179,900

146 Old Route 940 · Pocono Pines, PA 18347
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 129 Days on market
Built 1950 0.45 ac lot ↓ 18% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* * * Back on Market with Repairs made * * * Upgraded and with no HOA in Pocono Lake! Welcome to this 3-bedroom detached home that has been thoughtfully updated throughout. Improvements within the last three years include a new kitchen featuring modern cabinetry, countertops, a tile backsplash, and stainless steel appliances. Enjoy new vinyl flooring, fresh paint throughout, and new exterior doors and first-floor windows. Additional upgrades include a newer tankless water heater, and a brand-new covered back deck, all set on nearly half an acre of land.

Key facts

  • New kitchen
  • New exterior doors
  • Modern cabinetry

Tags

NEW KITCHENMODERN CABINETRYTILE BACKSPLASHSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESLUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORINGNEW EXTERIOR DOORS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $738 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $180k).
  • Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 4.1% in Pocono Pines — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#532 in PA, #4,925 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 251 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.5%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $158,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
11.22%
Cash-on-cash
17.59%
DSCR
1.78
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.47% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.4%
Equity multiple
1.59×
Total profit
$29,739
Equity at exit
$39,383
10-year hold
IRR
20.0%
Equity multiple
2.94×
Total profit
$97,507
Equity at exit
$38,002

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18347

Home prices YoY
-0.7%
Active inventory
251
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,549 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax from tax record
$257 /mo · $3,085/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$535
Net cashflow
$738

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,615
Max offer price $179,900
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $840 -5% $789 +0% $738 +5% $687 +10% $637
Rent -10% $537 -5% $638 +0% $738 +5% $839 +10% $940
Rate -1.0pp $829 -0.5pp $784 base $738 +0.5pp $692 +1.0pp $644

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-04-28
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-11
    status Active
  3. 2026-04-11
    price $179,900
  4. 2026-04-02
    status Pending
  5. 2026-03-23
    price $189,900
  6. 2026-03-21
    price $199,700
  7. 2026-03-10
    price $199,800
  8. 2026-03-06
    status Active
  9. 2026-03-06
    price $199,900
  10. 2026-01-28
    status Pending
  11. 2026-01-15
    price $204,800
  12. 2026-01-10
    price $204,900
  13. 2026-01-09
    price $209,800
  14. 2026-01-05
    price $209,900
  15. 2025-12-22
    price $214,800
  16. 2025-12-15
    price $214,900
  17. 2025-12-02
    price $219,600
  18. 2025-11-19
    price $219,700
  19. 2025-11-11
    price $219,800
  20. 2025-11-04
    listed $219,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,085 · $257/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,085 · $257/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,590
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$3,085
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,447
− Management
−$2,447
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable income
$6,400
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,536
After-tax cash flow
$7,324/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pocono Mountain SD
NCES district ID
4219500
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,317
Composite
39.91/100
National rank
#3856
State rank
#245 of 539 in PA

Livability — Pocono Pines

Score
74/100
State rank
#532
US rank
#4925

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment A+ Housing A Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pocono Pines, PA
City population
595
Population (ZIP)
3,535

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 2% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 16% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.47%
Current HPI
202.3693
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-18.2% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Pending PMAR
  • 2026-04-11 Relisted PMAR
  • 2026-04-11 Price Changed $179,900 PMAR
  • 2026-04-02 Pending PMAR
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $189,900 PMAR
  • 2026-03-21 Price Changed $199,700 PMAR
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $199,800 PMAR
  • 2026-03-06 Relisted PMAR
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $199,900 PMAR
  • 2026-01-28 Pending PMAR
  • 2026-01-15 Price Changed $204,800 PMAR
  • 2026-01-10 Price Changed $204,900 PMAR
  • 2026-01-09 Price Changed $209,800 PMAR
  • 2026-01-05 Price Changed $209,900 PMAR
  • 2025-12-22 Price Changed $214,800 PMAR
  • 2025-12-15 Price Changed $214,900 PMAR
  • 2025-12-02 Price Changed $219,600 PMAR
  • 2025-11-19 Price Changed $219,700 PMAR
  • 2025-11-11 Price Changed $219,800 PMAR
  • 2025-11-04 Listed $219,900 PMAR

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,085 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…