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29 W New York Ave
C- Composite 50.24
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.6/15.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$127,000

29 W New York Ave · Pontiac, MI 48340
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 795 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1930 5,227 sqft lot $160/sqft · at area comps Est $130k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

CHARMING BUNGALOW LOCATED IN NORTHERN'S FINEST AREA. 2 BR BSMT AND GARAGE PLUS KNOTTY PINE. FAMILY RM OR ADDITIONAL BEDROOM. DESIGNER * * * * * * * * THRU-OUT & EASY SHOWING WITH IMMED OCCUPANCY.

Key facts

  • Designer thru-out
  • Additional bedroom
  • Immed occupancy

Tags

CHARMING BUNGALOWKNOTTY PINEADDITIONAL BEDROOMDESIGNER THRU-OUTEASY SHOWINGIMMED OCCUPANCY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 130 (0.12 acre); Subdivision: MARIMONT; Cross street: Baldwin

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Other water source
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding construction
  • Construction: Asphalt roof; Home warranty included
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Paved road access

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; 6 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $127k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $161 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (4.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (4.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#499 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
  • Pontiac City School District (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #514 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 83 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $878 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($125k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $10k; list at $127k implies a 1170% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $121,459 (4.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
7.82%
Cash-on-cash
5.44%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$130,272
List price
$127,000
Delta
-0.29%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
64 W Colgate Ave 0.07mi 2/1.0 804 (+1%) 3mo $55,000 $68 92
8304 Arlis St 0.01mi 3/1.0 (+1) 840 (+6%) 3mo $183,900 $219 83
74 E Colgate Ave 0.20mi 2/1.0 753 (-5%) 1mo $105,000 $139 81
104 W Brooklyn Ave 0.21mi 3/1.0 (+1) 762 (-4%) 7mo $100,000 $131 72
18 E Hopkins Ave 0.37mi 3/1.0 (+1) 815 (+2%) 6mo $115,000 $141 68
228 W Columbia Ave 0.66mi 2/1.0 800 (+1%) 1mo $85,000 $106 67
205 W Sheffield Ave 0.40mi 2/1.0 733 (-8%) 9mo $85,000 $116 61
224 W Princeton Ave 0.45mi 2/1.0 874 (+10%) 2mo $75,000 $86 60
240 W Longfellow Ave 0.73mi 2/1.0 812 (+2%) 8mo $150,000 $185 56
200 W Chicago Ave 0.33mi 3/1.0 (+1) 880 (+11%) 8mo $140,000 $159 55
192 W Hopkins Ave 0.44mi 2/1.0 900 (+13%) 10mo $180,000 $200 49
184 W Strathmore Ave 0.73mi 2/1.0 888 (+12%) 3mo $105,000 $118 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.73% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.1%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-8,191
Equity at exit
$18,936
10-year hold
IRR
5.4%
Equity multiple
1.42×
Total profit
$15,107
Equity at exit
$10,981

Cash invested: $35,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48340

Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
83
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,215 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$666
Tax from tax record
$79 /mo · $953/yr
Insurance
$53
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$255
Net cashflow
$161

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,011
Max offer price $127,000
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $233 -5% $197 +0% $161 +5% $125 +10% $89
Rent -10% $65 -5% $113 +0% $161 +5% $209 +10% $257
Rate -1.0pp $225 -0.5pp $194 base $161 +0.5pp $128 +1.0pp $95

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,750
Closing costs
$3,810
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
136 W Princeton Ave Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,395 $1.33 20d 1 0.36mi
370 W Hopkins Ave Pontiac, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 700 $1,100 $1.57 44d 39 0.73mi
126 W Cornell Ave Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 891 $1,125 $1.26 22d 1 0.92mi
126 W Cornell Ave Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 891 $1,325 $1.49 44d 1 0.92mi
85 E Beverly Ave Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,250 $1.25 5d 1 1.00mi
191 W Kennett Rd Unit 304 Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $875 $1.03 44d 1 1.13mi
195 W Kennett Rd Unit 202 Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $875 $0.92 44d 1 1.14mi
76 N Merrimac St Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 633 $1,450 $2.29 44d 1 1.31mi
105 S Merrimac St Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 625 $825 $1.32 22d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $127,000 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $127,000 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $127,000 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $127,000 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $127,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $127,000 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $127,000 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $127,000 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $127,000 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $127,000 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $127,000 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on marketlisting id $127,000 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    listing id $127,000 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $127,000 Active 6 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $127,000 Active 5 DOM
  16. 2026-04-13
    price $129,900 210-char remark
  17. 2026-04-13
    price $129,900 210-char remark
  18. 2026-03-07
    price $134,900 210-char remark
  19. 2026-03-06
    price $134,900 210-char remark
  20. 2026-02-24
    price $139,900 210-char remark
  21. 2026-02-23
    price $139,900 210-char remark
  22. 2026-02-23
    listed $135,000 Active 210-char remark
  23. 2026-02-23
    listed $135,000 Active 210-char remark
  24. 2005-01-27
    historical
  25. 2004-12-10
    listed $94,900
  26. 2001-06-27
    soldstatus $10,000
  27. 1999-08-31
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$953 · $79/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,454 · $121/mo
Expected delta
+$502/yr (+$42/mo · 52.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,575
− Mortgage interest
−$7,114
− Property taxes
−$953
− Insurance
−$635
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,166
− Management
−$1,166
− Depreciation
−$3,695
Taxable loss
−$153
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$37
After-tax cash flow
$1,971/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pontiac City School District
NCES district ID
2628740
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$33,888
Composite
10.12/100
National rank
#9802
State rank
#514 of 540 in MI

Livability — Pontiac

Score
64/100
State rank
#499
US rank
#14703

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pontiac, MI
County
Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
City population
44,593
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
25,669
Household income
$47,891
Rent vs Own
54.3% rent · 45.7% own
Severe rent burden
1460.0

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,335,747 people
By 2030
1,375,100 · +2.9%
By 2040
1,435,385 · +7.5%
By 2050
1,469,250 · +10.0%
By 2075
1,531,946 · +14.7%
By 2100
1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
Race & ethnicity
Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 31% White 29% Two or more races 22% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 7%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China
Languages at home
74% English-only · Spanish 23% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

2024 margin
D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -295.80%
Current HPI
177.961
Rent YoY
▲ 4.73%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1170.0% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $127,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $127,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-24 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-24 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $129,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-07 Price Changed $134,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $134,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-23 Price Changed $139,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-23 Listed $135,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-23 Listed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-01-27 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2004-12-10 Listed $94,900 REALCOMP
  • 2001-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
  • 1999-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $953 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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