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2628 W Auer Ave #2630 Duplex
A- Composite 81.03
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$140,000

2628 W Auer Ave #2630 · Milwaukee, WI 53206
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,260 sqft · MultiFamily · 93 Days on market
Built 1916 Good condition 6,098 sqft lot $62/sqft · 56% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Step into a blend of timeless character and modern convenience in this charming two-family bungalow. This property radiates warmth, featuring gorgeous original woodwork and classic leaded glass cabinets that preserve its historic soul. $2500.00 monthly income. Both the upper and lower units offer a comfortable 2-bedroom layout, each with its own private entrance--perfect for a savvy investor or an owner-occupant looking to have their mortgage paid by a tenant. You'll find fresh paint throughout and durable, brand-new luxury vinyl flooring that stands up to daily life while looking sleek and modern. New Windows!

Key facts

  • Fenced-in side yard
  • Private entrance
  • Original woodwork

Tags

ORIGINAL WOODWORKLEADED GLASS CABINETSPRIVATE ENTRANCELUXURY VINYL FLOORINGNEW WINDOWSFENCED-IN SIDE YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $140k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $742 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $371/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $127k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.3%/yr); 160 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,164/mo this rent would consume 89% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 2061% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $15k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $127,400 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.55%
Cap rate
12.65%
Cash-on-cash
22.72%
DSCR
2.01
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$89,742
List price
$140,000
Delta
56.00%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3382 N 23rd St #3384 0.39mi 4/2.0 2,266 (+0%) 0mo $152,435 $67 81
3202 N 24th St #3204 0.25mi 4/2.0 2,169 (-4%) 2mo $165,000 $76 80
3218 N 26th St 0.06mi 4/2.0 1,986 (-12%) 3mo $165,000 $83 74
2463 W Chambers St #2465 0.31mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,318 (+3%) 2mo $50,000 $22 74
3381 N 21st St #3383 0.48mi 4/2.0 2,364 (+5%) 2mo $71,000 $30 69
2931 W Chambers St #2933 0.34mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,080 (-8%) 3mo $116,000 $56 64
2020 W Hopkins St 0.47mi 4/2.0 2,050 (-9%) 0mo $105,000 $51 62
3381 N 22nd St 0.43mi 4/2.0 2,043 (-10%) 3mo $49,900 $24 62
3068 N 34th St Unit 3068A 0.48mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,087 (-8%) 0mo $110,000 $53 60
3607 N 20th St 0.65mi 4/2.0 2,046 (-10%) 2mo $115,000 $56 52
3166 N 39th St #3168 0.75mi 4/2.0 2,064 (-9%) 2mo $145,000 $70 49
3148 N 39th St #3150 0.75mi 4/2.0 2,044 (-10%) 2mo $128,888 $63 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
44.1%
Equity multiple
4.44×
Total profit
$134,978
Equity at exit
$126,123
10-year hold
IRR
40.3%
Equity multiple
10.92×
Total profit
$388,719
Equity at exit
$271,989

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 53206

Rents YoY
8.3%
Active inventory
160
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,164 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax est. 1.5%
$175 /mo · $2,100/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$454
Net cashflow
$742

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,225
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $839 -5% $790 +0% $742 +5% $694 +10% $645
Rent -10% $571 -5% $657 +0% $742 +5% $828 +10% $913
Rate -1.0pp $813 -0.5pp $778 base $742 +0.5pp $706 +1.0pp $669

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,164

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2704 W Concordia Ave Unit Na Milwaukee, WI 5.0 2.0 1856 $2,500 $1.35 25d 1 0.16mi
2432 N 28th St Milwaukee, WI 5.0 1.5 1876 $1,600 $0.85 45d 1 0.96mi
2116 W Atkinson Ave Unit A Milwaukee, WI 4.0 1.0 1707 $2,000 $1.17 3d 1 1.10mi
2976 N 49th St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1700 $1,300 $0.76 19d 1 1.42mi
2119 W Brown St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1754 $995 $0.57 5d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $140,000 Active 93 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $140,000 Active 90 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $140,000 Active 89 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $140,000 Active 88 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $140,000 Active 87 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $140,000 Active 85 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $140,000 Active 84 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $140,000 Active 81 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $140,000 Active 80 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $140,000 Active 79 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $140,000 Active 76 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $140,000 Active 75 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $140,000 Active 74 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $140,000 Active 73 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $140,000 Active 72 DOM
  16. 2026-04-17
    status Active 618-char remark
    Show marketing remark (618 chars)

    Step into a blend of timeless character and modern convenience in this charming two-family bungalow. This property radiates warmth, featuring gorgeous original woodwork and classic leaded glass cabinets that preserve its historic soul. $2500.00 monthly income. Both the upper and lower units offer a comfortable 2-bedroom layout, each with its own private entrance--perfect for a savvy investor or an owner-occupant looking to have their mortgage paid by a tenant. You'll find fresh paint throughout and durable, brand-new luxury vinyl flooring that stands up to daily life while looking sleek and modern. New Windows!

  17. 2026-04-08
    historical Contingent 618-char remark
    Show marketing remark (618 chars)

    Step into a blend of timeless character and modern convenience in this charming two-family bungalow. This property radiates warmth, featuring gorgeous original woodwork and classic leaded glass cabinets that preserve its historic soul. $2500.00 monthly income. Both the upper and lower units offer a comfortable 2-bedroom layout, each with its own private entrance--perfect for a savvy investor or an owner-occupant looking to have their mortgage paid by a tenant. You'll find fresh paint throughout and durable, brand-new luxury vinyl flooring that stands up to daily life while looking sleek and modern. New Windows!

  18. 2026-03-20
    listed $140,000 Active 618-char remark
    Show marketing remark (618 chars)

    Step into a blend of timeless character and modern convenience in this charming two-family bungalow. This property radiates warmth, featuring gorgeous original woodwork and classic leaded glass cabinets that preserve its historic soul. $2500.00 monthly income. Both the upper and lower units offer a comfortable 2-bedroom layout, each with its own private entrance--perfect for a savvy investor or an owner-occupant looking to have their mortgage paid by a tenant. You'll find fresh paint throughout and durable, brand-new luxury vinyl flooring that stands up to daily life while looking sleek and modern. New Windows!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,968
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$2,100
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,077
− Management
−$2,077
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable income
$7,098
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,704
After-tax cash flow
$7,201/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This two-family bungalow is in good condition with fresh updates, making it a great investment opportunity for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping the yard — Improves curb appeal and adds value to the property.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping the yard — Improves curb appeal and adds value to the property.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Milwaukee School District
NCES district ID
5509600
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$36,339
Composite
11.61/100
National rank
#9696
State rank
#337 of 342 in WI

Livability — Milwaukee

Score
81/100
State rank
#55
US rank
#1534

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Milwaukee, WI
County
Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
City population
573,768
Metro
Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
Population (ZIP)
19,887
Household income
$29,336
Rent vs Own
67.8% rent · 32.2% own
Severe rent burden
2061.0

Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
995,758 people
By 2030
1,009,124 · +1.3%
By 2040
1,028,128 · +3.3%
By 2050
1,040,066 · +4.4%
By 2075
1,057,849 · +6.2%
By 2100
1,039,774 · +4.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% Two or more races 3% White 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Norwegian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee

2024 margin
Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 133.03%
Current HPI
397.7151
Rent YoY
▲ 8.28%
Metro
Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Relisted METROMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Contingent METROMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $140,000 METROMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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