704 Shadow View Dr · Hernando, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.0/30.0
- ARV discount +9.3/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$410,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful one level home located in Laurelwood subdivison in Hernando. This home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, an office, and a separate laundry room. The kitchen is gorgeous with plenty of cabinets, a large pantry, a breakfast area, and a center cooking island. There is new carpet in the bedrooms, a new dishwasher, and a new water heater just to name a few of the upgrades. The exterior has been recently repainted. The home sits on .69 acre and is fully fenced. The home has a 2 car garage, and a detached garage for extra storage. The master bedroom is a great size. The master bedroom offers double sinks, and a separate shower and jacuzzi tub. Check this one out today. It wont be here long!
Key facts
- Electric sunshades
- Private office study
- Custom built home
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot is approximately 0.75 acre (158 x 206), city lot with front yard and front sprinklers
- HOA & community: Has association; Association covers accounting/legal and management
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Parking pad; Concrete parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single family house; One level; Move-in ready
- Construction: Brick construction; Architectural shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built (year from assessor)
- Exterior features: Patio; Side porch; Private yard; Rain gutters; Wood privacy fencing with gate in back yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; Water heater
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Gas cooling
- Interior features: Crown molding; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; Pantry; Double vanity; Living room fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room with sink on the main level; Interior laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $410k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-26 ($-313/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $405k (1.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $306k (25.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $306k (25.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.2% in Hernando — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#44 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Desoto County School District (suburban): math 48% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #20 of 130 in MS (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hernando Elem (779 students, 100% FRL); Hernando Middle School (math 75% / reading 57%, grade A-, #2 of 179 statewide, top 1%, 1,150 students, 100% FRL); Hernando High School (math 69% / reading 62%, grade B, #2 of 197 statewide, top 1%, 1,419 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 43% district-wide (56 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 66% at this address vs 45% district-wide (+21 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Desoto County School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 403 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,155 units permitted in DeSoto County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($94k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- DeSoto County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($398k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.27%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $426,777
- List price
- $410,000
- Delta
- -3.93%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 732 Shadow View Dr | 0.03mi | 4/3.0 | 2,685 (+3%) | 3mo | $449,900 | $168 | 87 |
| 608 Shadow View Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,833 (+9%) | 8mo | $420,000 | $148 | 67 |
| 470 Beacon Hill Dr | 0.46mi | 4/3.5 | 2,487 (-5%) | 3mo | $419,000 | $168 | 62 |
| 1207 Howell Way | 0.59mi | 4/3.0 | 2,462 (-6%) | 1mo | $388,000 | $158 | 58 |
| 159 Lindsey Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,760 (+6%) | 0mo | $399,500 | $145 | 58 |
| 1203 Lake View Dr | 0.64mi | 4/3.0 | 2,474 (-5%) | 1mo | $375,000 | $152 | 56 |
| 617 N Doe Creek Trl | 0.37mi | 4/3.0 | 2,300 (-12%) | 4mo | $367,900 | $160 | 55 |
| 1280 S Lake Dr | 0.73mi | 4/3.0 | 2,707 (+4%) | 1mo | $369,000 | $136 | 54 |
| 930 Clair Cv | 0.55mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,650 (+2%) | 10mo | $410,000 | $155 | 54 |
| 1106 Crosswinds Dr | 0.55mi | 4/3.0 | 2,811 (+8%) | 9mo | $445,000 | $158 | 50 |
| 430 Natchez Loop | 0.58mi | 4/3.0 | 2,862 (+10%) | 4mo | $400,000 | $140 | 49 |
| 890 Lindsey Cv | 0.41mi | 4/3.5 | 2,962 (+14%) | 10mo | $399,999 | $135 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-77,250
- Equity at exit
- $61,132
- IRR
- -19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.09×
- Total profit
- $-104,814
- Equity at exit
- $35,449
Cash invested: $114,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38632
- Home prices YoY
- -31.8%
- Rents YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 403
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,056 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,150
- Tax from tax record
- −$120 /mo · $1,437/yr
- Insurance
- −$171
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$642
- Net cashflow
- $-26
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $102,500
- Closing costs
- $12,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 237 US-51 Hernando, MS | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2986 | $3,400 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 89 Shady Lane Cv E Hernando, MS | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2500 | $2,650 | $1.06 | 11d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 52 Forked Creek Pkwy Hernando, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2300 | $2,340 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 814 Byhalia Rd Hernando, MS | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2531 | $2,400 | $0.95 | 2d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 2159 Timberlane St Hernando, MS | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2150 | $4,500 | $2.09 | 4d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $410,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $410,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $410,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $410,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $410,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $410,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $410,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $410,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $410,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $425,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $425,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $425,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $425,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-15$425,000 Active 2491-char remark
-
2021-10-11historical
-
2018-10-05soldstatus
Show marketing remark (700 chars)
Beautiful one level home located in Laurelwood subdivison in Hernando. This home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, an office, and a separate laundry room. The kitchen is gorgeous with plenty of cabinets, a large pantry, a breakfast area, and a center cooking island. There is new carpet in the bedrooms, a new dishwasher, and a new water heater just to name a few of the upgrades. The exterior has been recently repainted. The home sits on .69 acre and is fully fenced. The home has a 2 car garage, and a detached garage for extra storage. The master bedroom is a great size. The master bedroom offers double sinks, and a separate shower and jacuzzi tub. Check this one out today. It wont be here long!
-
2018-08-15$269,900
Show marketing remark (700 chars)
Beautiful one level home located in Laurelwood subdivison in Hernando. This home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, an office, and a separate laundry room. The kitchen is gorgeous with plenty of cabinets, a large pantry, a breakfast area, and a center cooking island. There is new carpet in the bedrooms, a new dishwasher, and a new water heater just to name a few of the upgrades. The exterior has been recently repainted. The home sits on .69 acre and is fully fenced. The home has a 2 car garage, and a detached garage for extra storage. The master bedroom is a great size. The master bedroom offers double sinks, and a separate shower and jacuzzi tub. Check this one out today. It wont be here long!
-
2011-06-17soldstatus
-
2011-06-15soldstatus
-
2011-06-15soldstatus $196,000
-
2011-05-21historical
-
2011-01-03$200,000
-
2011-01-03$200,000
-
2010-11-30historical
-
2010-06-07$224,995
-
2007-08-24historical
-
2006-10-26$59,900
-
2006-01-05soldstatus
-
2006-01-05soldstatus $251,000
-
2005-12-03historical
-
2005-10-14$255,800
-
2005-04-13$255,800
-
2005-04-13$255,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,437 · $120/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,239 · $270/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,802/yr (+$150/mo · 125.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,678
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,966
- − Property taxes
- −$1,437
- − Insurance
- −$2,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,934
- − Management
- −$2,934
- − Depreciation
- −$11,927
- Taxable loss
- −$7,571
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,817
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,504/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Desoto County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801320
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,272
- Composite
- 39.56/100
- National rank
- #3933
- State rank
- #20 of 130 in MS
Livability — Hernando
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #44
- US rank
- #8034
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hernando, MS
- County
- DeSoto County · 176,513 people
- City population
- 31,374
- Metro
- Memphis, TN-MS-AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,374
- Household income
- $93,583
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 24.0
Population outlook (DeSoto County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 203,338 people
- By 2030
- 217,692 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 245,320 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 270,133 · +32.8%
- By 2075
- 323,341 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 348,742 · +71.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Black 13% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · DeSoto
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 36.7% · R 60.8% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.2pp toward D · 2008: -38.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+23.9 2016: R+34.8 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+38.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -82.49%
- Current HPI
- 176.8843
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.43%
- Metro
- Memphis, TN-MS-AR
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+60.3% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Price Changed $410,000 MLSU
- 2026-05-15 Listed $425,000 MLSU
- 2021-10-11 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2018-10-05 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2018-08-15 Listed $269,900 MLSU
- 2011-06-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2011-06-15 Sold (MLS) — Memphis Area Association of Realtors(R) MLS
- 2011-06-15 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2011-05-21 Delisted — Memphis Area Association of Realtors(R) MLS
- 2011-01-03 Listed $200,000 Memphis Area Association of Realtors(R) MLS
- 2011-01-03 Listed $200,000 MLSU
- 2010-11-30 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2010-06-07 Listed $224,995 MLSU
- 2007-08-24 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2006-10-26 Listed $59,900 MLSU
- 2006-01-05 Sold (MLS) — Memphis Area Association of Realtors(R) MLS
- 2006-01-05 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2005-12-03 Delisted — Memphis Area Association of Realtors(R) MLS
- 2005-10-14 Listed $255,800 MLSU
- 2005-04-13 Listed $255,800 Memphis Area Association of Realtors(R) MLS
- 2005-04-13 Listed $255,800 MLSU
Property tax history
-1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,437 · -16.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…