4822 W Us Route 35 · Eaton, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.9/30.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
great investment/rental home. Close to Richmond and Eaton. Heated by 4 propane room heaters. Roof in June 2007
Key facts
- Complete renovation
- Rural setting
- 8,250 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Offered for sale
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Home design: Single-story home
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Residential lot approximately 0.19 acres (49 x 165)
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen (18 x 12)
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom (12 x 11)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Interior features: Basement: Other; Total of 5 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Main-level utility room (17 x 8)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $216 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($830 rent vs $70k).
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 2.2% in Eaton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#180 in OH, #2,768 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- National Trail Local (rural): math 53% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #352 of 656 in OH (top 54%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 88 active listings in the ZIP; 55 units permitted in Preble County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 14% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Preble County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $70k implies a 250% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.23%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $2,405
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.01×
- Total profit
- $19,736
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45320
- Home prices YoY
- -29.4%
- Active inventory
- 88
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $830 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$44 /mo · $531/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$174
- Net cashflow
- $216
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $255 | -5% $236 | +0% $216 | +5% $196 | +10% $176 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $150 | -5% $183 | +0% $216 | +5% $249 | +10% $281 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $251 | -0.5pp $234 | base $216 | +0.5pp $198 | +1.0pp $179 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $69,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-18price $69,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $75,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-12$75,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $531 · $44/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $810 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- +$280/yr (+$23/mo · 52.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,960
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$531
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$797
- − Management
- −$797
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $1,538
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$369
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,221/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- National Trail Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904927
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,311
- Composite
- 47.58/100
- National rank
- #2262
- State rank
- #352 of 656 in OH
Livability — Eaton
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #180
- US rank
- #2768
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Preble · 42,634 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,402
- Household income
- $68,740
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 16.4
Population outlook (Preble County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,711 people
- By 2030
- 38,511 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 35,783 · -9.9%
- By 2050
- 33,006 · -16.9%
- By 2075
- 27,067 · -31.8%
- By 2100
- 21,255 · -46.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Preble
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.1) · D 20.1% · R 79.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.9pp toward R · 2008: -31.2pp · 2024: -59.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.1 2020: R+57.5 2016: R+54.0 2012: R+36.7 2008: R+31.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.15%
- Current HPI
- 218.4233
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+200.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $75,000 Dayton MLS
- 2013-04-12 Sold (MLS) $20,000 Dayton MLS
- 2013-04-12 Sold (MLS) $20,000 Dayton MLS
- 2013-04-02 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2013-03-28 Listed $25,000 Dayton MLS
- 1993-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $531 · +133.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…