17258 Tchula Dr · Killian, LA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.6/30.0
- ARV discount +12.8/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spend your weekends relaxing by the water in this charming cottage-style home. A back porch overlooks a peaceful canal that connects to the Amite River, offering boat access all the way to Lake Maurepas and surrounding waterways. You'll also enjoy direct access to the porch from the primary bedroom--perfect for stepping out and taking in the view anytime. Inside, the home features granite countertops in both bathrooms and throughout the kitchen, along with stainless steel appliances. The open-concept living and dining areas create a warm, inviting space with plenty of room to gather and unwind. Recent updates include a new AC unit installed last year, giving you peace of mind for years to come. Residents also enjoy neighborhood amenities, including an in-ground pool and a convenient boat launch.
Key facts
- Boat access
- Back porch
- Granite countertops
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-20 ($-238/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $186k (1.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (16.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $158k (16.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.2% in Killian — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#333 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Livingston Parish (suburban): math 40% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #13 of 98 in LA (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 214 active listings in the ZIP; 794 units permitted in Livingston Parish in 2024 (99 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Livingston County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 24 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $145k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.05%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $215,000
- List price
- $189,900
- Delta
- -11.67%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17258 Tchula Dr | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 2,025 (0%) | 0mo | $189,900 | $94 | 100 |
| 17248 Tchula Dr | 0.02mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,150 (+6%) | 14mo | $285,000 | $133 | 70 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.92×
- Total profit
- $102,157
- Equity at exit
- $171,077
- IRR
- 21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.68×
- Total profit
- $301,825
- Equity at exit
- $368,934
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70462
- Active inventory
- 214
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,581 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$102 /mo · $1,225/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$25
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$332
- Net cashflow
- $-20
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $88 | -5% $34 | +0% $-20 | +5% $-74 | +10% $-127 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-145 | -5% $-82 | +0% $-20 | +5% $43 | +10% $105 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $76 | -0.5pp $28 | base $-20 | +0.5pp $-69 | +1.0pp $-119 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $25 · $300/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpool
Listing history 41 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (817 chars)
Spend your weekends relaxing by the water in this charming cottage-style home. A back porch overlooks a peaceful canal that connects to the Amite River, offering boat access all the way to Lake Maurepas and surrounding waterways. You’ll also enjoy direct access to the porch from the primary bedroom—perfect for stepping out and taking in the view anytime. Inside, the home features granite countertops in both bathrooms and throughout the kitchen, along with stainless steel appliances. The open-concept living and dining areas create a warm, inviting space with plenty of room to gather and unwind. Recent updates include a new AC unit installed last year, giving you peace of mind for years to come. Residents also enjoy neighborhood amenities, including an in-ground pool and a convenient boat launch.
-
2026-05-11status Pending 817-char remark
Show marketing remark (817 chars)
Spend your weekends relaxing by the water in this charming cottage-style home. A back porch overlooks a peaceful canal that connects to the Amite River, offering boat access all the way to Lake Maurepas and surrounding waterways. You’ll also enjoy direct access to the porch from the primary bedroom—perfect for stepping out and taking in the view anytime. Inside, the home features granite countertops in both bathrooms and throughout the kitchen, along with stainless steel appliances. The open-concept living and dining areas create a warm, inviting space with plenty of room to gather and unwind. Recent updates include a new AC unit installed last year, giving you peace of mind for years to come. Residents also enjoy neighborhood amenities, including an in-ground pool and a convenient boat launch.
-
2026-04-20status Active 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (817 chars)
Spend your weekends relaxing by the water in this charming cottage-style home. A back porch overlooks a peaceful canal that connects to the Amite River, offering boat access all the way to Lake Maurepas and surrounding waterways. You’ll also enjoy direct access to the porch from the primary bedroom—perfect for stepping out and taking in the view anytime. Inside, the home features granite countertops in both bathrooms and throughout the kitchen, along with stainless steel appliances. The open-concept living and dining areas create a warm, inviting space with plenty of room to gather and unwind. Recent updates include a new AC unit installed last year, giving you peace of mind for years to come. Residents also enjoy neighborhood amenities, including an in-ground pool and a convenient boat launch.
-
2026-04-20status Active 817-char remark
Show marketing remark (817 chars)
Spend your weekends relaxing by the water in this charming cottage-style home. A back porch overlooks a peaceful canal that connects to the Amite River, offering boat access all the way to Lake Maurepas and surrounding waterways. You’ll also enjoy direct access to the porch from the primary bedroom—perfect for stepping out and taking in the view anytime. Inside, the home features granite countertops in both bathrooms and throughout the kitchen, along with stainless steel appliances. The open-concept living and dining areas create a warm, inviting space with plenty of room to gather and unwind. Recent updates include a new AC unit installed last year, giving you peace of mind for years to come. Residents also enjoy neighborhood amenities, including an in-ground pool and a convenient boat launch.
-
2026-04-17status Pending 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (817 chars)
Spend your weekends relaxing by the water in this charming cottage-style home. A back porch overlooks a peaceful canal that connects to the Amite River, offering boat access all the way to Lake Maurepas and surrounding waterways. You’ll also enjoy direct access to the porch from the primary bedroom—perfect for stepping out and taking in the view anytime. Inside, the home features granite countertops in both bathrooms and throughout the kitchen, along with stainless steel appliances. The open-concept living and dining areas create a warm, inviting space with plenty of room to gather and unwind. Recent updates include a new AC unit installed last year, giving you peace of mind for years to come. Residents also enjoy neighborhood amenities, including an in-ground pool and a convenient boat launch.
-
2026-04-17status Pending 817-char remark
Show marketing remark (817 chars)
Spend your weekends relaxing by the water in this charming cottage-style home. A back porch overlooks a peaceful canal that connects to the Amite River, offering boat access all the way to Lake Maurepas and surrounding waterways. You’ll also enjoy direct access to the porch from the primary bedroom—perfect for stepping out and taking in the view anytime. Inside, the home features granite countertops in both bathrooms and throughout the kitchen, along with stainless steel appliances. The open-concept living and dining areas create a warm, inviting space with plenty of room to gather and unwind. Recent updates include a new AC unit installed last year, giving you peace of mind for years to come. Residents also enjoy neighborhood amenities, including an in-ground pool and a convenient boat launch.
-
2026-04-07$189,900 Active 817-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
Spend your weekends relaxing by the water in this charming cottage-style home. A back porch overlooks a peaceful canal that connects to the Amite River, offering boat access all the way to Lake Maurepas and surrounding waterways. You'll also enjoy direct access to the porch from the primary bedroom--perfect for stepping out and taking in the view anytime. Inside, the home features granite countertops in both bathrooms and throughout the kitchen, along with stainless steel appliances. The open-concept living and dining areas create a warm, inviting space with plenty of room to gather and unwind. Recent updates include a new AC unit installed last year, giving you peace of mind for years to come. Residents also enjoy neighborhood amenities, including an in-ground pool and a convenient boat launch.
-
2026-04-07$189,900 Active 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
Spend your weekends relaxing by the water in this charming cottage-style home. A back porch overlooks a peaceful canal that connects to the Amite River, offering boat access all the way to Lake Maurepas and surrounding waterways. You'll also enjoy direct access to the porch from the primary bedroom--perfect for stepping out and taking in the view anytime. Inside, the home features granite countertops in both bathrooms and throughout the kitchen, along with stainless steel appliances. The open-concept living and dining areas create a warm, inviting space with plenty of room to gather and unwind. Recent updates include a new AC unit installed last year, giving you peace of mind for years to come. Residents also enjoy neighborhood amenities, including an in-ground pool and a convenient boat launch.
-
2017-05-02soldstatus $145,000
-
2017-04-28soldstatus Sold
-
2017-04-28soldstatus $145,000 Sold
-
2017-03-22status Under Contract
-
2017-03-22status Pending
-
2017-03-07price $147,500
-
2017-03-07price $147,500
-
2017-01-31price $147,700
-
2017-01-30price $147,700
-
2016-12-29$147,900 Active
-
2016-12-29$147,900 Active
-
2016-12-29$147,500
-
2016-12-29$147,500
-
2016-12-05historical
-
2016-12-05historical
-
2016-10-03$148,000 Active
-
2016-09-26$148,000 Active
-
2016-09-25$148,000
-
2016-09-25$148,000
-
2015-03-10$139,900
-
2015-03-10$139,900
-
2015-03-10$139,900
-
2015-03-10$139,900
-
2012-07-17soldstatus $122,000
-
2012-07-13soldstatus $122,000
-
2011-11-29$124,900
-
2011-11-29$124,900
-
2005-11-10$14,000
-
2005-11-10$14,000
-
2004-08-16$25,000
-
2004-08-16$25,000
-
2002-05-20$28,500
-
2002-05-20$28,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,225 · $102/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,225 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,967
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$1,225
- − Insurance
- −$1,747
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,517
- − Management
- −$1,517
- − HOA
- −$300
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable loss
- −$3,501
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$840
- After-tax cash flow
- $602/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Livingston Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201020
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,755
- Composite
- 40.07/100
- National rank
- #3811
- State rank
- #13 of 98 in LA
Livability — Killian
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #333
- US rank
- #22333
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,428
Population outlook (Livingston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 158,511 people
- By 2030
- 168,241 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 186,252 · +17.5%
- By 2050
- 201,516 · +27.1%
- By 2075
- 231,217 · +45.9%
- By 2100
- 241,697 · +52.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Black 9% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Livingston
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+68.5) · D 15.1% · R 83.6% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.4pp toward D · 2008: -71.9pp · 2024: -68.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+68.5 2020: R+70.0 2016: R+72.5 2012: R+70.4 2008: R+71.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 115.93%
- Current HPI
- 389.85
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+566.3% since first listed41 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-11 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2026-04-20 Relisted — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-20 Relisted — GBRMLS
- 2026-04-17 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-17 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2026-04-07 Listed $189,900 GBRMLS
- 2026-04-07 Listed $189,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2017-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
- 2017-04-28 Sold (MLS) $145,000 GSREIN
- 2017-04-28 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2017-03-22 Pending — GSREIN
- 2017-03-22 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2017-03-07 Price Changed $147,500 GBRMLS
- 2017-03-07 Price Changed $147,500 GSREIN
- 2017-01-31 Price Changed $147,700 GBRMLS
- 2017-01-30 Price Changed $147,700 GSREIN
- 2016-12-29 Listed $147,900 GBRMLS
- 2016-12-29 Listed $147,900 GSREIN
- 2016-12-29 Listed $147,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2016-12-29 Listed $147,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2016-12-05 Delisted — GBRMLS
- 2016-12-05 Listing Removed — GSREIN
- 2016-10-03 Listed $148,000 GSREIN
- 2016-09-26 Listed $148,000 GBRMLS
- 2016-09-25 Listed $148,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2016-09-25 Listed $148,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2015-03-10 Listed $139,900 GSREIN
- 2015-03-10 Listed $139,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2015-03-10 Listed $139,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2015-03-10 Listed $139,900 GBRMLS
- 2012-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $122,000 Public Records
- 2012-07-13 Sold (MLS) $122,000 GSREIN
- 2011-11-29 Listed $124,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2011-11-29 Listed $124,900 GSREIN
- 2005-11-10 Listed $14,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2005-11-10 Listed $14,000 GBRMLS
- 2004-08-16 Listed $25,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2004-08-16 Listed $25,000 GBRMLS
- 2002-05-20 Listed $28,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2002-05-20 Listed $28,500 GBRMLS
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2024): $1,225 · +23.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…