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612 Mississippi St
D+ Composite 46.85
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0

$19,900

612 Mississippi St · Gould, AR 71643
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured public records · 53 Days on market
Built 2000 0.34 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

16x80 mobile home is being sold "AS IS". Own your first home or an investment home today. This home sits on a lot that is . 34 acres. Call today to view this home.

Key facts

  • 0.34 acre lot
  • Built 2000
  • Listed 52 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Municipal electric service (Entergy)
  • Home design: Single-family property; Approx. 1,280 total area
  • Construction: Metal/Vinyl siding exterior; Metal roof; Crawl space foundation; Built on a 100 x 150 (approx. 0.34 acre) lot
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access; Inside city limits

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator stays
  • Flooring: Other flooring (see remarks)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Other flooring (see remarks)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $20k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $290 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
  • Recommended offer: $19k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#400 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Dumas School District (town): math 16% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #215 of 238 in AR (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $735 of equity ($138 loan paydown + $597 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($19k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $19,303 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.43%
Cap rate
49.51%
Cash-on-cash
154.33%
DSCR
7.87
GRM
1.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
67.8%
Equity multiple
4.80×
Total profit
$21,151
Equity at exit
$8,948
10-year hold
IRR
67.5%
Equity multiple
9.94×
Total profit
$49,789
Equity at exit
$13,790

Cash invested: $5,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 71643

Active inventory
5
Price-to-rent
1.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,081 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$104
Tax est. 1.5%
$25 /mo · $298/yr
Insurance
$8
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$227
Net cashflow
$290

Break-even live

Break-even rent $714
Max offer price $19,900
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$4,975
Closing costs
$597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $19,900 Active 53 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $19,900 Active 52 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $19,900 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $19,900 Active 50 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $19,900 Active 49 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $19,900 Active 47 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $19,900 Active 46 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $19,900 Active 43 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $19,900 Active 42 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $19,900 Active 41 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $19,900 Active 39 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $19,900 Active 37 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $19,900 Active 36 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $19,900 Active 35 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $19,900 Active 34 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $19,900 Active 33 DOM
  17. 2026-04-23
    listed $19,900 New Listing 173-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,974
− Mortgage interest
−$1,115
− Property taxes
−$298
− Insurance
−$5,218
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,038
− Management
−$1,038
− Depreciation
−$579
Taxable income
$3,688
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$885
After-tax cash flow
$2,596/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dumas School District
NCES district ID
0505500
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$29,945
Composite
15.97/100
National rank
#9245
State rank
#215 of 238 in AR

Livability — Gould

Score
55/100
State rank
#400
US rank
#23105

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gould, AR
Population (ZIP)
5,241

Population outlook (Lincoln County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,516 people
By 2030
13,354 · -1.2%
By 2040
13,200 · -2.3%
By 2050
13,170 · -2.6%
By 2075
12,581 · -6.9%
By 2100
10,008 · -26.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% White 39% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Lincoln

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.1) · D 24.1% · R 74.2% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-31.9pp toward R · 2008: -18.2pp · 2024: -50.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.1 2020: R+43.8 2016: R+31.5 2012: R+20.8 2008: R+18.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $19,900 CARMLS

Property tax history

-0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $21 · -87.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…