612 Mississippi St · Gould, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
$19,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
16x80 mobile home is being sold "AS IS". Own your first home or an investment home today. This home sits on a lot that is . 34 acres. Call today to view this home.
Key facts
- 0.34 acre lot
- Built 2000
- Listed 52 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Municipal electric service (Entergy)
- Home design: Single-family property; Approx. 1,280 total area
- Construction: Metal/Vinyl siding exterior; Metal roof; Crawl space foundation; Built on a 100 x 150 (approx. 0.34 acre) lot
- Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access; Inside city limits
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator stays
- Flooring: Other flooring (see remarks)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Other flooring (see remarks)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $20k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $290 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
- Recommended offer: $19k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#400 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Dumas School District (town): math 16% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #215 of 238 in AR (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $735 of equity ($138 loan paydown + $597 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($19k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 49.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 154.33%
- DSCR
- 7.87
- GRM
- 1.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 67.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.80×
- Total profit
- $21,151
- Equity at exit
- $8,948
- IRR
- 67.5%
- Equity multiple
- 9.94×
- Total profit
- $49,789
- Equity at exit
- $13,790
Cash invested: $5,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71643
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 1.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,081 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$104
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$25 /mo · $298/yr
- Insurance
- −$8
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$227
- Net cashflow
- $290
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $4,975
- Closing costs
- $597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $19,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $19,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $19,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $19,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $19,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $19,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $19,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $19,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $19,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $19,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $19,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $19,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $19,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $19,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $19,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $19,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-04-23$19,900 New Listing 173-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,974
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,115
- − Property taxes
- −$298
- − Insurance
- −$5,218
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,038
- − Management
- −$1,038
- − Depreciation
- −$579
- Taxable income
- $3,688
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$885
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,596/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dumas School District
- NCES district ID
- 0505500
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,945
- Composite
- 15.97/100
- National rank
- #9245
- State rank
- #215 of 238 in AR
Livability — Gould
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #400
- US rank
- #23105
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gould, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,241
Population outlook (Lincoln County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,516 people
- By 2030
- 13,354 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 13,200 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 13,170 · -2.6%
- By 2075
- 12,581 · -6.9%
- By 2100
- 10,008 · -26.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 39% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Lincoln
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.1) · D 24.1% · R 74.2% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.9pp toward R · 2008: -18.2pp · 2024: -50.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.1 2020: R+43.8 2016: R+31.5 2012: R+20.8 2008: R+18.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Listed $19,900 CARMLS
Property tax history
-0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $21 · -87.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…