3910 Harlingen · Dallas, TX 75212

$579,963

4 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,996 sqft · Land · 91 Days on market

Built 2026 6,819 sqft lot $194/sqft · 32% above area Est $440k · 32% over ↓ 3% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• Cash flow +5.4/30.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Schools +2.8/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +1.4/5.0
• 1% rule +0.0/10.0
• DSCR +0.0/10.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0

Listing remarks MLS

Just completed in 2026, this stunning new construction home blends elevated design with everyday functionality. Featuring 4 spacious bedrooms, one perfectly suited as a private study, this home offers a versatile layout to fit your lifestyle. Step inside to soaring ceilings, an abundance of natural light, and a seamless open concept design ideal for both entertaining and daily living. The gourmet kitchen is a true centerpiece with custom cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, gas range, and an oversized walk-in pantry, all flowing effortlessly into the main living and dining areas. A second living space adds flexibility and charm, complete with a stylish wet bar or coffee bar perfect for hosting or unwinding. Thoughtful touches like extra storage throughout and walk-in closets in multiple bedrooms ensure everything has its place. The primary suite feels like a private retreat, featuring spa inspired finishes and an oversized closet designed with exceptional storage in mind. Enjoy outdoor living on the covered patio, complete with a gas line ready for grilling. With luxury finishes throughout and intentional design at every turn, this home offers the perfect blend of comfort, style, and modern living.

Key facts

• Stylish wet bar
• New construction
• Gourmet kitchen

Tags

• NEW CONSTRUCTION
• GOURMET KITCHEN
• OVERSIZED WALK-IN PANTRY
• STYLISH WET BAR
• COVERED PATIO
• GAS LINE READY FOR GRILLING

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath land listed at $580k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-15k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $356k (38.6% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $278k (52.0% below list).
• Recommended offer: $278k (52.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 3.7% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
• Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.2%/yr); 249 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $2,785/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 892% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $62k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $58k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$100k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($528k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $278,458 (52.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 52% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.48% ✗
• Cap rate: 3.67%
• Cash-on-cash: -9.38%
• DSCR: 0.58
• GRM: 17.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $439,900
• List price: $579,963
• Delta: 31.84%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 17 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 17.1%
• Equity multiple: 2.40×
• Total profit: $226,604
• Equity at exit: $522,477

10-year hold

• IRR: 15.8%
• Equity multiple: 5.41×
• Total profit: $715,672
• Equity at exit: $1,126,741

Cash invested: $162,390 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 75212

• Rents YoY: -4.2%
• Active inventory: 249
• Price-to-rent: 17.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,785 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$3,041
• Tax from tax record: −$186 /mo · $2,227/yr
• Insurance: −$242
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$585
• Net cashflow: $-1,269

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,391

Max offer price $355,827

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $144,991
• Closing costs: $17,399
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
4120 Tram Dr Unit 1019501P Dallas, TX	5.0	2.5	2475	$7,484	$3.02	43d	1	0.85mi
4124 Tram Dr Dallas, TX	5.0	2.5	2478	$8,250	$3.33	21d	1	0.86mi
3618 McBroom St Dallas, TX	5.0	2.5	2449	$8,700	$3.55	1d	1	1.46mi

Listing history 17 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $579,963 Active 91 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $579,963 Active 90 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $579,963 Active 89 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $579,963 Active 88 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $579,963 Active 86 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $579,963 Active 82 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $579,963 Active 81 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $579,963 Active 80 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $579,963 Active 77 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $579,963 Active 76 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $579,963 Active 75 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $579,963 Active 74 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $599,333 Active 73 DOM
14. 2026-05-06
    price $599,333 1231-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1231 chars)

    Just completed in 2026, this stunning new construction home blends elevated design with everyday functionality. Featuring 4 spacious bedrooms, one perfectly suited as a private study, this home offers a versatile layout to fit your lifestyle. Step inside to soaring ceilings, an abundance of natural light, and a seamless open concept design ideal for both entertaining and daily living. The gourmet kitchen is a true centerpiece with custom cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, gas range, and an oversized walk-in pantry, all flowing effortlessly into the main living and dining areas. A second living space adds flexibility and charm, complete with a stylish wet bar or coffee bar perfect for hosting or unwinding. Thoughtful touches like extra storage throughout and walk-in closets in multiple bedrooms ensure everything has its place. The primary suite feels like a private retreat, featuring spa inspired finishes and an oversized closet designed with exceptional storage in mind. Enjoy outdoor living on the covered patio, complete with a gas line ready for grilling. With luxury finishes throughout and intentional design at every turn, this home offers the perfect blend of comfort, style, and modern living.

15. 2026-03-19
    listed $619,999 Active 1231-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1231 chars)

    Just completed in 2026, this stunning new construction home blends elevated design with everyday functionality. Featuring 4 spacious bedrooms, one perfectly suited as a private study, this home offers a versatile layout to fit your lifestyle. Step inside to soaring ceilings, an abundance of natural light, and a seamless open concept design ideal for both entertaining and daily living. The gourmet kitchen is a true centerpiece with custom cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, gas range, and an oversized walk-in pantry, all flowing effortlessly into the main living and dining areas. A second living space adds flexibility and charm, complete with a stylish wet bar or coffee bar perfect for hosting or unwinding. Thoughtful touches like extra storage throughout and walk-in closets in multiple bedrooms ensure everything has its place. The primary suite feels like a private retreat, featuring spa inspired finishes and an oversized closet designed with exceptional storage in mind. Enjoy outdoor living on the covered patio, complete with a gas line ready for grilling. With luxury finishes throughout and intentional design at every turn, this home offers the perfect blend of comfort, style, and modern living.

16. 2025-09-17
    soldstatus
17. 2025-09-17
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,227 · $186/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $10,613 · $884/mo
• Expected delta: +$8,387/yr (+$699/mo · 376.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $33,415
• − Mortgage interest: −$32,487
• − Property taxes: −$2,227
• − Insurance: −$2,900
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,673
• − Management: −$2,673
• − Depreciation: −$16,872
• Taxable loss: −$26,417
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$6,340
• After-tax cash flow: $-8,885/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Dallas ISD
• NCES district ID: 4816230
• Math proficiency: 31% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 36% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $42,881
• Composite: 28.41/100
• National rank: #6763
• State rank: #559 of 826 in TX

Livability — Dallas

• Score: 81/100
• State rank: #24
• US rank: #1380

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Dallas, TX
• County: Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
• City population: 1,168,437
• Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
• Population (ZIP): 28,259
• Household income: $59,750
• Rent vs Own: 43.6% rent · 56.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 892.0

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,979,839 people
• By 2030: 3,191,823 · +7.1%
• By 2040: 3,619,611 · +21.5%
• By 2050: 4,026,915 · +35.1%
• By 2075: 4,957,073 · +66.4%
• By 2100: 5,508,725 · +84.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (67%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 67% Two or more races 26% Black 23% White 6% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 55%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 27% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 42% English-only · Spanish 52% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: +6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 138.69%
• Current HPI: 477.2035
• Rent YoY: ▼ -4.21%
• Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-3.3% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-06 Price Changed $599,333 NTREIS
• 2026-03-19 Listed $619,999 NTREIS
• 2025-09-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2025-09-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+13.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,227 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.