CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
12716 Wilshire Dr
C Composite 59.08
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

12716 Wilshire Dr · Detroit, MI 48213
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,566 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 43 Days on market
Built 1927 5,663 sqft lot $67/sqft · 40% above area Est $75k · 40% over ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this 1,566sf brick Cape Cod featuring a 4bedroom layout with two full bathrooms. This home boasts a first floor primary suite, a spacious living room, and a large 1,052sf basement offering ample storage or future finishing potential. Located just blocks from East Outer Drive, this home is a fantastic opportunity for an owner occupant or a savvy investor looking for a high occupancy rental.

Key facts

  • Large basement
  • Brick cape cod
  • Spacious living room

Tags

BRICK CAPE CODFIRST FLOOR PRIMARY SUITESPACIOUS LIVING ROOMLARGE BASEMENTAMPLE STORAGEFUTURE FINISHING POTENTIAL

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Water available; Sewer available
  • Home design: Single-family residential; Two stories; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick exterior
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.13 acres (39 x 150)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating with natural gas; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Eight total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $398 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 192 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,483/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1202% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $101,850 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
10.85%
Cash-on-cash
16.27%
DSCR
1.72
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$74,837
List price
$105,000
Delta
40.30%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12737 Promenade St 0.10mi 4/2.0 1,440 (-8%) 7mo $50,000 $35 74
13310 Wilshire Dr 0.31mi 4/1.0 1,600 (+2%) 7mo $55,000 $34 74
12816 Rosemary St 0.23mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,659 (+6%) 4mo $131,000 $79 68
12328 Longview St 0.25mi 4/1.0 1,400 (-11%) 1mo $85,000 $61 67
12304 Rosemary St 0.31mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,480 (-6%) 6mo $22,000 $15 67
12151 Corbett St 0.43mi 5/1.5 (+1) 1,614 (+3%) 5mo $100,000 $62 65
12646 Longview St 0.15mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,750 (+12%) 7mo $73,750 $42 63
13406 Elmdale St 0.45mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,460 (-7%) 2mo $32,500 $22 59
14756 Rosemary St 0.74mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,600 (+2%) 4mo $36,000 $23 53
13423 Kilbourne St 0.51mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,450 (-7%) 8mo $113,000 $78 52
13361 Maiden St 0.47mi 4/3.0 1,786 (+14%) 4mo $165,000 $92 45
11833 Wilfred St 0.74mi 4/1.5 1,340 (-14%) 8mo $100,000 $75 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.3%
Equity multiple
1.29×
Total profit
$8,417
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
16.7%
Equity multiple
2.37×
Total profit
$40,220
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48213

Active inventory
192
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,483 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$179 /mo · $2,145/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$311
Net cashflow
$398

Break-even live

Break-even rent $979
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $458 -5% $428 +0% $398 +5% $369 +10% $339
Rent -10% $281 -5% $340 +0% $398 +5% $457 +10% $516
Rate -1.0pp $451 -0.5pp $425 base $398 +0.5pp $371 +1.0pp $344

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13137 Elmdale St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,400 $1.26 25d 1 0.31mi
12840 Kilbourne St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1136 $1,350 $1.19 19d 1 0.32mi
12051 Wilshire Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1224 $1,250 $1.02 18d 1 0.45mi
13395 Maiden St Detroit, MI 5.0 2.0 1750 $1,600 $0.91 25d 1 0.48mi
11806 Wilshire Dr Detroit, MI 4.0 3.0 2000 $1,600 $0.80 25d 1 0.56mi
8205 E Outer Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1874 $1,400 $0.75 18d 1 0.66mi
5966 Eastlawn St Unit NA Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1366 $1,500 $1.10 25d 1 0.84mi
11171 Charlemagne Ave Unit A Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1598 $1,200 $0.75 45d 1 0.89mi
5856 Barrett St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,000 $0.93 0d 1 0.90mi
14201 Mayfield St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1296 $1,250 $0.96 45d 1 0.94mi
9755 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1498 $1,400 $0.93 5d 1 1.04mi
9168 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1274 $1,300 $1.02 21d 1 1.07mi
15000 Mayfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1146 $970 $0.85 18d 1 1.12mi
10724 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 3.0 1425 $1,550 $1.09 19d 1 1.12mi
9400 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,150 $0.88 6d 1 1.13mi
10813 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1392 $1,350 $0.97 18d 1 1.14mi
11760 Nashville St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 18d 1 1.16mi
11785 Nashville St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1360 $1,450 $1.07 5d 1 1.17mi
10141 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,000 $0.90 45d 1 1.20mi
11018 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1146 $1,450 $1.27 12d 1 1.26mi
5747 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1316 $1,473 $1.12 45d 1 1.31mi
9984 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1222 $1,575 $1.29 45d 1 1.34mi
13218 Greiner St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1162 $1,195 $1.03 19d 1 1.34mi
9409 Balfour Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1195 $1,200 $1.00 45d 1 1.39mi
5911 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 0d 1 1.42mi
5751 Nottingham Rd Unit 5/21/26 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,225 $1.11 0d 1 1.42mi
5791 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1660 $1,400 $0.84 18d 1 1.44mi
15238 Seymour St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,300 $1.22 0d 1 1.48mi
18080 Westphalia St Detroit, MI 5.0 3.0 2131 $2,500 $1.17 45d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $105,000 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 40 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 39 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 37 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 35 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 34 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 31 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 30 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $105,000 Active 29 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $115,000 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $115,000 Active 25 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 24 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 23 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 22 DOM
  15. 2026-05-09
    listed $115,000 Active 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Welcome to this 1,566sf brick Cape Cod featuring a 4bedroom layout with two full bathrooms. This home boasts a first floor primary suite, a spacious living room, and a large 1,052sf basement offering ample storage or future finishing potential. Located just blocks from East Outer Drive, this home is a fantastic opportunity for an owner occupant or a savvy investor looking for a high occupancy rental.

  16. 2026-05-09
    listed $115,000 Active 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Welcome to this 1,566sf brick Cape Cod featuring a 4bedroom layout with two full bathrooms. This home boasts a first floor primary suite, a spacious living room, and a large 1,052sf basement offering ample storage or future finishing potential. Located just blocks from East Outer Drive, this home is a fantastic opportunity for an owner occupant or a savvy investor looking for a high occupancy rental.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,145 · $179/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,145 · $179/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,796
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$2,145
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,424
− Management
−$1,424
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$3,343
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$802
After-tax cash flow
$3,980/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,075
Household income
$34,003
Rent vs Own
41.6% rent · 58.4% own
Severe rent burden
1202.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (92%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 92% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Arabic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.86%
Current HPI
217.2037
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-04 Price Changed $105,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-09 Listed $115,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-09 Listed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,145 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…