730 Warren Ave · Clyde, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 17.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor Opportunity! Versatile investment property in Clyde, TX offering multiple exit strategies. Whether you’re looking to renovate and resell, add to a rental portfolio, or pursue a long term value add, this property presents solid potential. Situated on a generous lot in an established area with no HOA and convenient access to I 20 and Abilene. Property requires updates and is being sold as is, making it ideal for investors ready to add value. Great opportunity to bring vision and maximize returns.
Key facts
- Established area
- Generous lot
- Investment property
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listing is active and offered with exclusive agency agreement; Possession at closing/funding
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash; Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: No covered spaces; No carport spaces; No designated parking features
- Security: No smart home or security features listed
- Utilities: Septic system; Private well; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One story
- Construction: Built in 1920
- Exterior features: Lot about 0.5 acre; Half-acre lot (0.50 acres)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on level 1 (approx. 14 x 16); Appliances: Other
- Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms total; Primary bedroom on level 1 (approx. 11 x 11)
- Flooring: No flooring details listed
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: No heating or cooling details listed
- Interior features: 3 total rooms; One-level layout; One living area; One dining area; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: No specific laundry details listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $846 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $49k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 27.0% vs local median 3.2% in Clyde — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#498 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
- Clyde CISD (town): math 42% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #341 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Clyde El (366 students, 58% FRL); Clyde J H (math 42% / reading 35%, grade F, #704 of 1,662 statewide, top 43%, 326 students, 45% FRL); Clyde H S (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B-, #237 of 1,632 statewide, top 16%, 441 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools at 48% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Callahan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $339 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Callahan County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 73.96%
- DSCR
- 4.29
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $226,316
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 801 Whispering Oaks | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,917 (-2%) | 1mo | $398,900 | $208 | 74 |
| 805 Whispering Oaks | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,955 (+0%) | 9mo | $398,900 | $204 | 70 |
| 628 Clear Creek Ct | 0.31mi | 5/3.0 | 1,804 (-8%) | 3mo | $209,088 | $116 | 67 |
| 640 Clear Creek Ct | 0.36mi | 5/3.0 | 1,804 (-8%) | 0mo | $238,877 | $132 | 67 |
| 633 Clear Creek Ct | 0.35mi | 5/3.0 | 1,804 (-8%) | 1mo | $242,211 | $134 | 66 |
| 621 Clear Creek Ct | 0.32mi | 5/3.0 | 1,804 (-8%) | 5mo | $204,736 | $113 | 64 |
| 1004 Northbrook Ct | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,904 (-2%) | 10mo | $393,900 | $207 | 62 |
| 604 Clear Creek Ct | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,804 (-8%) | 5mo | $199,996 | $111 | 58 |
| 605 Clear Crk | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,804 (-8%) | 8mo | $199,994 | $111 | 57 |
| 620 Clear Creek Ct | 0.31mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,203 (+13%) | 4mo | $219,990 | $100 | 54 |
| 623 Clear Creek Ct | 0.32mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,203 (+13%) | 6mo | $222,987 | $101 | 52 |
| 606 Clear Creek Ct | 0.43mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,203 (+13%) | 9mo | $217,490 | $99 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 73.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.35×
- Total profit
- $45,979
- Equity at exit
- $7,306
- IRR
- 77.6%
- Equity multiple
- 8.99×
- Total profit
- $109,648
- Equity at exit
- $4,237
Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79510
- Home prices YoY
- -21.6%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,584 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$257
- Tax from tax record
- −$128 /mo · $1,542/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$333
- Net cashflow
- $846
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $873 | -5% $859 | +0% $846 | +5% $832 | +10% $818 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $720 | -5% $783 | +0% $846 | +5% $908 | +10% $971 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $870 | -0.5pp $858 | base $846 | +0.5pp $833 | +1.0pp $820 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,250
- Closing costs
- $1,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $49,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-18$49,000 Active
-
2026-04-30historical
-
2026-04-23price $55,000
-
2026-04-09price $64,900
-
2026-04-01$79,000 Active
-
2026-03-30soldstatus
-
2025-04-30soldstatus
-
2019-01-28soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,542 · $128/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,542 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,009
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,745
- − Property taxes
- −$1,542
- − Insurance
- −$245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,521
- − Management
- −$1,521
- − Depreciation
- −$1,425
- Taxable income
- $10,010
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,402
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,744/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clyde CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4814450
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,614
- Composite
- 35.84/100
- National rank
- #4824
- State rank
- #341 of 826 in TX
Livability — Clyde
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #498
- US rank
- #9935
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clyde, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,135
Population outlook (Callahan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,664 people
- By 2030
- 13,578 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 13,283 · -2.8%
- By 2050
- 13,008 · -4.8%
- By 2075
- 12,354 · -9.6%
- By 2100
- 11,326 · -17.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 12% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 8% Slovak 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Callahan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+77.6) · D 10.9% · R 88.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.9pp toward R · 2008: -61.7pp · 2024: -77.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+77.6 2020: R+77.3 2016: R+77.2 2012: R+69.8 2008: R+61.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.42%
- Current HPI
- 186.6326
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-38.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $49,000 NTREIS
- 2026-04-30 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $55,000 NTREIS
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $64,900 NTREIS
- 2026-04-01 Listed $79,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-04-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-01-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,542 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…