3320 N Holiday Dr · Crystal River, FL 34428

$59,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 672 sqft · Manufactured public records · 9 Days on market

Built 1982 0.57 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.1/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

1982 single-wide mobile home featuring 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and 672 sq. ft. of living space. Interior includes tile and vinyl plank flooring, painted wood-paneled walls, and a bathroom remodeled 3 years ago. Metal roof replaced in 2011 with permit pulled. Kitchen needs remodeling but includes a refrigerator approximately 3 years old. Small fenced portion in the backyard, plus well and septic. Great opportunity for investment or affordable living!

Key facts

• Well and septic
• Metal roof replaced
• Bathroom remodeled

Tags

• TILE AND VINYL PLANK FLOORING
• PAINTED WOOD-PANELED WALLS
• BATHROOM REMODELED
• METAL ROOF REPLACED
• SMALL FENCED PORTION
• WELL AND SEPTIC

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Lot size approximately 0.57 acres; Zoning: RURMH; Subdivision: Holiday Acres

Exterior

• Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer
• Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); Residential property
• Construction: Metal and shingle roof
• Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access; No pool

Interior

• Flooring: Vinyl flooring
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Wall/window air conditioning units
• Interior features: Vinyl flooring; No built-in appliances listed

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $59k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $774 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $59k).
• Cap rate 23.4% vs local median 2.5% in Crystal River — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#603 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Crystal River Primary School (math 45% / reading 55%, grade D+, #1,070 of 2,144 statewide, top 51%, 654 students, 70% FRL); Crystal River Middle School (math 49% / reading 47%, grade C-, #286 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 900 students, 64% FRL); Crystal River High School (math 31% / reading 44%, grade F, #336 of 667 statewide, top 51%, 1,249 students, 56% FRL).
• Market conditions: 322 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $28k; list at $59k implies a 111% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $59,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.57% ✓
• Cap rate: 23.39%
• Cash-on-cash: 61.06%
• DSCR: 3.72
• GRM: 3.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 54.6%
• Equity multiple: 3.41×
• Total profit: $39,774
• Equity at exit: $8,797

10-year hold

• IRR: 59.7%
• Equity multiple: 6.95×
• Total profit: $98,248
• Equity at exit: $5,101

Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34428

• Home prices YoY: -15.3%
• Active inventory: 322
• Price-to-rent: 3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,514 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$309
• Tax from tax record: −$21 /mo · $256/yr
• Insurance: −$25
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$318
• Net cashflow: $774

Break-even live

Break-even rent $534

Max offer price $59,000

Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $808	-5% $791	+0% $774	+5% $757	+10% $741
Rent	-10% $655	-5% $714	+0% $774	+5% $834	+10% $894
Rate	-1.0pp $804	-0.5pp $789	base $774	+0.5pp $759	+1.0pp $743

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $14,750
• Closing costs: $1,770
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
509 NE 11th St Unit B Crystal River, FL	1.0	1.0	468	$1,000	$2.14	22d	1	1.21mi

Listing history 10 events

1. 2026-06-07
   statusdays on market $59,000 Pending 9 DOM
2. 2026-06-03
   days on market $59,000 Active 8 DOM
3. 2026-06-02
   pricedays on market $59,000 Active 7 DOM
4. 2026-06-01
   days on market $69,000 Active 6 DOM
5. 2026-05-31
   days on market $69,000 Active 5 DOM
6. 2026-05-30
   days on market $69,000 Active 4 DOM
7. 2026-05-21
   listed $69,000 Active
8. 2003-07-01
   soldstatus $28,000
9. 2001-05-22
   soldstatus $29,900
10. 1984-04-01
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $256 · $21/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $490 · $41/mo
• Expected delta: +$233/yr (+$19/mo · 91.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,166
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,305
• − Property taxes: −$256
• − Insurance: −$1,092
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,453
• − Management: −$1,453
• − Depreciation: −$1,716
• Taxable income: $8,889
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,133
• After-tax cash flow: $7,156/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Citrus
• NCES district ID: 1200270
• Math proficiency: 49% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $38,618
• Composite: 41.28/100
• National rank: #3519
• State rank: #44 of 73 in FL

Livability — Crystal River

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #603
• US rank: #11564

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B- Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Citrus County · 111,314 people
• City population: 10,163
• Metro: Homosassa Springs, FL
• Population (ZIP): 10,163
• Household income: $50,779
• Rent vs Own: 22.8% rent · 77.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 264.0

Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 138,622 people
• By 2030: 136,886 · -1.3%
• By 2040: 132,009 · -4.8%
• By 2050: 125,196 · -9.7%
• By 2075: 108,570 · -21.7%
• By 2100: 84,454 · -39.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (88%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 88% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Citrus

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -57.32%
• Current HPI: 317.7637
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Homosassa Springs, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+590.0% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-21 Listed $69,000 RACC
• 2003-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
• 2001-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $29,900 Public Records
• 1984-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $256 · +31.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.