9901 Kadler Ave NE · Otsego, MN 55362

$210,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,586 sqft · SingleFamily public records

Built 1998 2.00 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +19.3/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +6.1/10.0
• 1% rule +5.1/10.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.7/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Sold before print.

Key facts

• 2 acre lot
• 6 garage spots
• Built 1998

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $230 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
• Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.0% in Otsego — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#367 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Monticello Public School District (town): math 54% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #52 of 301 in MN (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 171 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,260 units permitted in Wright County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Wright County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $149k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Recommended offer $210,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.01% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.61%
• Cash-on-cash: 4.70%
• DSCR: 1.21
• GRM: 8.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -11.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.59×
• Total profit: $-24,208
• Equity at exit: $31,312

10-year hold

• IRR: -6.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.64×
• Total profit: $-21,170
• Equity at exit: $18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 46 Balanced
• State Minnesota: 46 Balanced · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 55362

• Home prices YoY: -27.7%
• Rents YoY: 0.7%
• Active inventory: 171
• Price-to-rent: 8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,130 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,101
• Tax from tax record: −$264 /mo · $3,164/yr
• Insurance: −$88
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$447
• Net cashflow: $230

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,839

Max offer price $210,000

Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $52,500
• Closing costs: $6,300
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-04-14
   listed $210,000
2. 2026-04-14
   historical
3. 1998-04-23
   soldstatus $149,000
4. 1998-03-18
   historical
5. 1998-03-04
   listed $149,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $3,164 · $264/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,164 · $264/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,561
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,763
• − Property taxes: −$3,164
• − Insurance: −$1,050
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,045
• − Management: −$2,045
• − Depreciation: −$6,109
• Taxable loss: −$615
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$148
• After-tax cash flow: $2,911/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Monticello Public School District
• NCES district ID: 2721390
• Math proficiency: 54% ▼ -13.00%
• Reading proficiency: 58% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $72,678
• Composite: 49.92/100
• National rank: #1936
• State rank: #52 of 301 in MN

Livability — Otsego

• Score: 69/100
• State rank: #367
• US rank: #8641

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C- Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Otsego, MN
• County: Wright County · 79,164 people
• Metro: Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
• Population (ZIP): 20,663
• Household income: $91,832
• Rent vs Own: 26.2% rent · 73.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 456.0

Population outlook (Wright County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 142,526 people
• By 2030: 146,915 · +3.1%
• By 2040: 153,625 · +7.8%
• By 2050: 155,416 · +9.0%
• By 2075: 150,352 · +5.5%
• By 2100: 130,631 · -8.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (86%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 86% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 3% Black 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 13% Lithuanian 5% Scottish 3%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wright

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+29.4) · D 34.4% · R 63.8% · Other 1.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -11.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.4pp · 2024: -29.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+29.4 2020: R+28.6 2016: R+33.2 2012: R+21.4 2008: R+17.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -92.54%
• Current HPI: 241.5101
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.67%
• Metro: Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.41%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$407B
▸Retail	2	$150B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$32B
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$6B
▸Agriculture	1	$40B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$32B

Price history

+40.1% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-14 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-14 Listed $210,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 1998-04-23 Sold (MLS) $149,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 1998-03-18 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 1998-03-04 Listed $149,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,164 · -4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.