14221 S Emerald Ave · Riverdale, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.7/30.0
- ARV discount +13.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This charming brick ranch has 2 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, and just over 1,000 sq ft of living space. You will walk into a spacious living room with a large front window that lets in natural light. It has an eat-in kitchen and a full basement offering endless potential for additional living space, storage, or recreation. Perfect for owner-occupants or investors. Currently tenant-occupied with a lease in place through 07/31/2026. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- 3,750 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1955
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: Halsted to 142nd, east one block to Emerald
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (2 garage spaces, 2 total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Water source: Lake Michigan; Sewer: Storm sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Property currently being leased
- Construction: Brick construction; Built approximately 71–80 years ago; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 25 x 125; Lot is less than 0.25 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with eating area/table space (15 x 12)
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (15 x 11); Two additional bedrooms (one on main level, 11 x 11; another listed as bedroom); Bedrooms possible: 2
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; Basement has bathroom access
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Finished daylight basement with exterior entry; 5 total rooms; Hardwood flooring
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on lower level (20 x 20)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $237 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#434 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 76 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $38k; list at $125k implies a 229% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.13%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $144,144
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14528 S Eggleston Ave | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 968 (-4%) | 5mo | $123,649 | $128 | 64 |
| 14301 Parnell Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,008 (0%) | 5mo | $217,000 | $215 | 63 |
| 14414 Parnell Ave | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 891 (-12%) | 5mo | $127,000 | $143 | 62 |
| 14430 S Lowe Ave | 0.29mi | 2/1.5 | 1,128 (+12%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $151 | 61 |
| 14220 S Eggleston Ave | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 | 912 (-10%) | 3mo | $138,000 | $151 | 61 |
| 319 E 145th St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (-5%) | 2mo | $49,900 | $52 | 59 |
| 14514 S Parnell Ave | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 890 (-12%) | 2mo | $123,000 | $138 | 59 |
| 14455 Des Plaines St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,035 (+3%) | 4mo | $155,000 | $150 | 57 |
| 14322 S Wentworth Ave | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 1,078 (+7%) | 5mo | $136,000 | $126 | 53 |
| 14201 S Wentworth Ave | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 | 1,058 (+5%) | 4mo | $72,000 | $68 | 52 |
| 302 W 145th St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,087 (+8%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $230 | 48 |
| 14320 Parnell Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 912 (-10%) | 5mo | $127,000 | $139 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $1,958
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.53×
- Total profit
- $53,376
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60827
- Home prices YoY
- -31.8%
- Rents YoY
- 7.8%
- Active inventory
- 76
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,394 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$293
- Net cashflow
- $237
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $324 | -5% $280 | +0% $237 | +5% $194 | +10% $151 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $127 | -5% $182 | +0% $237 | +5% $292 | +10% $347 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $300 | -0.5pp $269 | base $237 | +0.5pp $205 | +1.0pp $172 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 455 W 144th St Unit 2W Riverdale, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,150 | $1.53 | 5d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 14015 S Stewart Ave Unit 2W Riverdale, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,400 | $1.75 | 25d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 724 W 138th St Unit 3 Riverdale, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 19d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 14132 S Atlantic Ave Riverdale, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 25d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 14101 S Atlantic Ave Riverdale, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $1,140 | $1.44 | 8d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 13810 S La Salle St #1 Riverdale, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,550 | $1.94 | 3d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 13708 S Wentworth Ave Riverdale, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 22d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 13604 S Wentworth Ave Riverdale, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 14844 Wabash Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1277 | $2,320 | $1.82 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 14124 Manor Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $2,390 | $1.66 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $125,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-02-27$125,000 Active
-
2026-02-27historical
-
2025-07-18Active
-
2025-07-17historical
-
2025-01-10Active
-
2025-01-10historical
-
2025-01-10Active
-
2019-01-16soldstatus $38,000 Closed Sale
-
2018-11-07historical Contingent
-
2018-10-17$39,900 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,724
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,875
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,338
- − Management
- −$1,338
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $910
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$218
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,628/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Riverdale
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #434
- US rank
- #8867
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Riverdale, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 24,713
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,713
- Household income
- $37,217
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1868.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.39%
- Current HPI
- 163.7725
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.82%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+213.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-27 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-27 Listed $125,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-18 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-17 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-10 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-10 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-10 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-01-16 Sold (MLS) $38,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-11-07 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-10-17 Listed $39,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+26.5%/yrLatest (2023): $7,012 · +16.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…