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685 Heather Ln
B Composite 70.55
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$219,900

685 Heather Ln · Marysville, MI 48040
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,416 sqft · Condo · 31 Days on market
Built 1993 $50/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

CHARMING RANCH HOME IN MARYSVILLE. THIS COZY 3 BEDROOM, 1 BATH HOME IS SITUATED ON A SPACIOUS CORNER LOT. CONVENIENTLY LOCATED CLOSE TO SCHOOLS, SHOPPING AND EVERYDAY AMENITIES, THIS HOME OFFERS BOTH COMFORT AND CONVENIENCE. STEP INSIDE TO FIND A FUNCTIONAL LAYOUT WITH PLENTY OF POTENTIAIL. ALL APPLIENCES TO STAY. THIS HOME OFFERS A FINISHED BASEMENT, GREAT FOR EXTRA LIVING SPACE, PLAY AREA, OR ENTERTAINING GUESTS. OUTSIDE, ENJOY AMPLE YARD SPACE AND A DETACHED 2 CAR GARAGE. THIS HOME NEEDS A LITTLE TLC, MAKING IT A PERFECT OPPORTUNITY TO ADD YOUR PERSONAL TOUCHES. GREAT HOME FOR A FIRST TIME HOME BUYER. SCHEDULE YOUR SHOWING TODAY!!

Key facts

  • Finished basement
  • Ample yard space
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTFINISHED BASEMENTAMPLE YARD SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Residential property listed by Hanging Gardens Real Estate LLC
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $150 quarterly fee (about $50/month); Subdivision: ORCHARD VIEW CONDO

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Vinyl siding exterior
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof; One level
  • Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 83.95 x 130 (0.2 acres); Ground-level entry with steps

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Finished basement; Total of 6 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $220k).
  • Recommended offer: $213k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 4.7% in Marysville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#114 in MI, #2,700 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D+, health & safety D.
  • Marysville Public Schools (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #115 of 540 in MI (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 232 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $143k; list at $220k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $213,303 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.64%
Cap rate
13.14%
Cash-on-cash
24.45%
DSCR
2.09
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.8%
Equity multiple
1.72×
Total profit
$44,374
Equity at exit
$32,788
10-year hold
IRR
26.3%
Equity multiple
3.31×
Total profit
$141,940
Equity at exit
$19,013

Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48040

Home prices YoY
-34.4%
Active inventory
84
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,607 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,153
Tax from tax record
$300 /mo · $3,600/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$50
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$757
Net cashflow
$1,255

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,019
Max offer price $219,900
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,379 -5% $1,317 +0% $1,255 +5% $1,192 +10% $1,130
Rent -10% $970 -5% $1,112 +0% $1,255 +5% $1,397 +10% $1,540
Rate -1.0pp $1,365 -0.5pp $1,311 base $1,255 +0.5pp $1,198 +1.0pp $1,140

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,975
Closing costs
$6,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3991 Brookstone Pl Port Huron, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 980 $1,560 $1.59 0d 10 1.38mi
45 Gratiot Blvd Unit 1550273P Marysville, MI 2.0 1.5 1323 $5,151 $3.89 0d 1 1.41mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$50 · $600/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $219,900 Active 31 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $219,900 Active 30 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $219,900 Active 29 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $219,900 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $219,900 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $219,900 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $219,900 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $219,900 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $219,900 Active 17 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $219,900 Active 16 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $219,900 Active 15 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $219,900 Active 14 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $219,900 Active 13 DOM
  14. 2026-05-18
    listed $219,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (641 chars)

    CHARMING RANCH HOME IN MARYSVILLE. THIS COZY 3 BEDROOM, 1 BATH HOME IS SITUATED ON A SPACIOUS CORNER LOT. CONVENIENTLY LOCATED CLOSE TO SCHOOLS, SHOPPING AND EVERYDAY AMENITIES, THIS HOME OFFERS BOTH COMFORT AND CONVENIENCE. STEP INSIDE TO FIND A FUNCTIONAL LAYOUT WITH PLENTY OF POTENTIAIL. ALL APPLIENCES TO STAY. THIS HOME OFFERS A FINISHED BASEMENT, GREAT FOR EXTRA LIVING SPACE, PLAY AREA, OR ENTERTAINING GUESTS. OUTSIDE, ENJOY AMPLE YARD SPACE AND A DETACHED 2 CAR GARAGE. THIS HOME NEEDS A LITTLE TLC, MAKING IT A PERFECT OPPORTUNITY TO ADD YOUR PERSONAL TOUCHES. GREAT HOME FOR A FIRST TIME HOME BUYER. SCHEDULE YOUR SHOWING TODAY!!

  15. 2026-05-18
    listed $219,900 Active 641-char remark
    Show marketing remark (641 chars)

    CHARMING RANCH HOME IN MARYSVILLE. THIS COZY 3 BEDROOM, 1 BATH HOME IS SITUATED ON A SPACIOUS CORNER LOT. CONVENIENTLY LOCATED CLOSE TO SCHOOLS, SHOPPING AND EVERYDAY AMENITIES, THIS HOME OFFERS BOTH COMFORT AND CONVENIENCE. STEP INSIDE TO FIND A FUNCTIONAL LAYOUT WITH PLENTY OF POTENTIAIL. ALL APPLIENCES TO STAY. THIS HOME OFFERS A FINISHED BASEMENT, GREAT FOR EXTRA LIVING SPACE, PLAY AREA, OR ENTERTAINING GUESTS. OUTSIDE, ENJOY AMPLE YARD SPACE AND A DETACHED 2 CAR GARAGE. THIS HOME NEEDS A LITTLE TLC, MAKING IT A PERFECT OPPORTUNITY TO ADD YOUR PERSONAL TOUCHES. GREAT HOME FOR A FIRST TIME HOME BUYER. SCHEDULE YOUR SHOWING TODAY!!

  16. 2006-03-10
    soldstatus $142,700
  17. 2006-03-07
    soldstatus $142,700 176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (176 chars)

    3 BEDROOM RANCH IN GREAT FAMILY NEIGHBORHOOD. NICELY LANDSCAPED W/ FRENCH DOORS LEADING TO STAMPED PATIO. 2.5 DETACHED GARAGE, TASTEFUL DECOR, FINISHED BASEMENT AND CORNER LOT!

  18. 2006-03-07
    soldstatus $142,700
    Show marketing remark (176 chars)

    3 BEDROOM RANCH IN GREAT FAMILY NEIGHBORHOOD. NICELY LANDSCAPED W/ FRENCH DOORS LEADING TO STAMPED PATIO. 2.5 DETACHED GARAGE, TASTEFUL DECOR, FINISHED BASEMENT AND CORNER LOT!

  19. 2006-01-30
    historical
  20. 2006-01-30
    historical
  21. 2005-12-28
    listed $139,900 176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (176 chars)

    3 BEDROOM RANCH IN GREAT FAMILY NEIGHBORHOOD. NICELY LANDSCAPED W/ FRENCH DOORS LEADING TO STAMPED PATIO. 2.5 DETACHED GARAGE, TASTEFUL DECOR, FINISHED BASEMENT AND CORNER LOT!

  22. 2005-12-28
    listed $139,900
    Show marketing remark (176 chars)

    3 BEDROOM RANCH IN GREAT FAMILY NEIGHBORHOOD. NICELY LANDSCAPED W/ FRENCH DOORS LEADING TO STAMPED PATIO. 2.5 DETACHED GARAGE, TASTEFUL DECOR, FINISHED BASEMENT AND CORNER LOT!

  23. 2005-12-28
    listed $139,900
    Show marketing remark (176 chars)

    3 BEDROOM RANCH IN GREAT FAMILY NEIGHBORHOOD. NICELY LANDSCAPED W/ FRENCH DOORS LEADING TO STAMPED PATIO. 2.5 DETACHED GARAGE, TASTEFUL DECOR, FINISHED BASEMENT AND CORNER LOT!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,600 · $300/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,600 · $300/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$43,282
− Mortgage interest
−$12,318
− Property taxes
−$3,600
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,463
− Management
−$3,463
− HOA
−$600
− Depreciation
−$6,397
Taxable income
$12,343
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,962
After-tax cash flow
$12,093/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marysville Public Schools
NCES district ID
2623040
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$58,817
Composite
41.51/100
National rank
#3454
State rank
#115 of 540 in MI

Livability — Marysville

Score
78/100
State rank
#114
US rank
#2700

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Marysville, MI
City population
9,942
Population (ZIP)
9,942

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
154,587 people
By 2030
150,031 · -2.9%
By 2040
138,177 · -10.6%
By 2050
124,390 · -19.5%
By 2075
95,825 · -38.0%
By 2100
68,672 · -55.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1% Asian 1% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Iranian 6% Lithuanian 5%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.6) · D 32.0% · R 66.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-37.3pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -34.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.6 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+7.1 2008: D+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -98.64%
Current HPI
188.3932
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+57.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $219,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $219,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $142,700 Public Records
  • 2006-03-07 Sold (MLS) $142,700 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-03-07 Sold (MLS) $142,700 REALCOMP
  • 2006-01-30 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-01-30 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-12-28 Listed $139,900 REALCOMP
  • 2005-12-28 Listed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-12-28 Listed $139,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+6.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,600 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…