Fourplex
10559 Liberty Ext · Meadville, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Unique investment opportunity as a fourplex but in 4 different buildings, which consists of a house, 3 cottages, 1 car garage and a 2-car garage. There is plenty of parking space and a nice back yard that everyone can share. Currently 3 units are rented with 1 cottage vacant. House and 1 cottage have laundry hookups in the basement. Annual Gross income is currently $20,280 but could be $27,480. Great West Mead location.
Key facts
- Fourplex
- 3 cottages
- 1 car garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 7-bed/5.0-bath units multifamily listed at $170k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($30k/yr) — positive. Per door: $630/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $170k).
- Recommended offer: $160k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.1% vs local median 4.9% in Meadville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#72 in PA, #502 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment F.
- Crawford Central SD (town): math 28% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #367 of 539 in PA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 83 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,678/mo this rent would consume 97% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 953% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Crawford County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 63.55%
- DSCR
- 3.83
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $115,307
- List price
- $170,000
- Delta
- 47.43%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 12 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 62.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.80×
- Total profit
- $133,074
- Equity at exit
- $25,348
- IRR
- 67.1%
- Equity multiple
- 7.78×
- Total profit
- $322,899
- Equity at exit
- $14,698
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16335
- Home prices YoY
- -9.0%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 12.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,678 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$212 /mo · $2,550/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$982
- Net cashflow
- $2,521
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 7 | 5 | $4,676 |
| #1 | 7 | 5 | $1,169 |
| #2 | 7 | 5 | $1,169 |
| #3 | 7 | 5 | $1,169 |
| #4 | 7 | 5 | $1,169 |
| Total (4 units) | $4,678 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-03-11$170,000 Active 423-char remark
Show marketing remark (423 chars)
Unique investment opportunity as a fourplex but in 4 different buildings, which consists of a house, 3 cottages, 1 car garage and a 2-car garage. There is plenty of parking space and a nice back yard that everyone can share. Currently 3 units are rented with 1 cottage vacant. House and 1 cottage have laundry hookups in the basement. Annual Gross income is currently $20,280 but could be $27,480. Great West Mead location.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $56,136
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$2,550
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,491
- − Management
- −$4,491
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable income
- $29,286
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$7,029
- After-tax cash flow
- $23,221/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This fourplex property presents a moderate rehab opportunity with average condition in most areas. The kitchen and bathrooms require significant updates to improve the overall value and appeal.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of replacement
- Moderate kitchen countertops — dated and in need of replacement
- Moderate kitchen appliances — dated and in need of replacement
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — dated and in need of replacement
- Moderate bathroom tiles — possibly old and in need of replacement
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — improves curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
- Both replace carpeting — improves living space and can increase both resale and rental value
- Both replace kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizes the kitchen and can increase both resale and rental value
- Both replace kitchen appliances — modernizes the kitchen and can increase both resale and rental value
- Both replace bathroom fixtures and tiles — modernizes the bathrooms and can increase both resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| kitchen countertops · dated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| kitchen appliances · dated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom tiles · possibly old and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $15,000–75,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint exterior — improves curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both replace carpeting — improves living space and can increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both replace kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizes the kitchen and can increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both replace kitchen appliances — modernizes the kitchen and can increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both replace bathroom fixtures and tiles — modernizes the bathrooms and can increase both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crawford Central SD
- NCES district ID
- 4207080
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,837
- Composite
- 33.21/100
- National rank
- #5530
- State rank
- #367 of 539 in PA
Livability — Meadville
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #72
- US rank
- #502
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Crawford County · 27,175 people
- City population
- 27,175
- Metro
- Meadville, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,175
- Household income
- $57,591
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 953.0
Population outlook (Crawford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 81,399 people
- By 2030
- 77,977 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 70,659 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 63,841 · -21.6%
- By 2075
- 50,198 · -38.3%
- By 2100
- 37,898 · -53.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Crawford
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.2) · D 30.0% · R 69.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -39.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.2 2020: R+37.2 2016: R+38.5 2012: R+19.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -26.80%
- Current HPI
- 272.4095
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Meadville, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-11 Listed $170,000 GEBOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…