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316 Center Hill Rd
B+ Composite 75.15
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,500

316 Center Hill Rd · Childersburg, AL 35150
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured public records · 43 Days on market
Built 1977 $55/sqft · 47% below area Est $150k · 47% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Checkout this 3 bedroom 2 bath doublewide mobile home on a nice lot with a garage and shop! Enjoy your coffee on one of the two relaxing porches. CHA, public water, paved road, corner lot. A few repairs needed; includes roof, ceilings in kitchen and living room. Great investment home.

Key facts

  • Paved road
  • Two relaxing porches
  • Corner lot

Tags

DOUBLEWIDE MOBILE HOMETWO RELAXING PORCHESPUBLIC WATERPAVED ROADCORNER LOT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Square footage reported per tax report
  • Financial info: No investor/multifamily financial details listed
  • HOA & community: No association/HOA fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Electric water heater; Internet service available
  • Home design: Existing construction; Siding: Vinyl
  • Construction: Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered deck; No pool; No patio; Not waterfront; No notable lot view listed; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Pantry; Convection oven; Refrigerator; Solid surface countertops
  • Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Tub/shower combo
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Ceilings: Other (see remarks); No additional built-in interior features listed
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $398 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $77k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 3.1% in Childersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#457 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Talladega County (rural): math 15% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #75 of 129 in AL (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 189 units permitted in Talladega County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $550 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Talladega County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $80k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $77,115 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.51%
Cap rate
12.30%
Cash-on-cash
21.44%
DSCR
1.95
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$149,869
List price
$79,500
Delta
-46.95%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.0%
Equity multiple
1.56×
Total profit
$12,472
Equity at exit
$11,854
10-year hold
IRR
22.8%
Equity multiple
2.96×
Total profit
$43,558
Equity at exit
$6,874

Cash invested: $22,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35150

Home prices YoY
-7.9%
Active inventory
134
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,199 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$417
Tax est. 1.5%
$99 /mo · $1,192/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$398

Break-even live

Break-even rent $695
Max offer price $79,500
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,875
Closing costs
$2,385
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
305 W Coosa St Sylacauga, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1115 $1,199 $1.08 21d 1 0.20mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $79,500 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,500 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,500 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,500 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,500 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $79,500 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,500 Active 36 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $79,500 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,500 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,500 Active 32 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,500 Active 31 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $79,500 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,500 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,500 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,500 Active 25 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,500 Active 24 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $79,500 Active 23 DOM
  18. 2026-05-06
    listed $79,500 Active 285-char remark
  19. 2011-06-08
    soldstatus $40,000
  20. 2006-04-18
    soldstatus $9,450

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,388
− Mortgage interest
−$4,453
− Property taxes
−$1,192
− Insurance
−$398
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,151
− Management
−$1,151
− Depreciation
−$2,313
Taxable income
$3,730
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$895
After-tax cash flow
$3,878/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Talladega County
NCES district ID
0103180
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$37,715
Composite
24.5/100
National rank
#7650
State rank
#75 of 129 in AL

Livability — Childersburg

Score
54/100
State rank
#457
US rank
#23818

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
8,225
Population (ZIP)
17,118

Population outlook (Talladega County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
78,905 people
By 2030
77,160 · -2.2%
By 2040
72,937 · -7.6%
By 2050
68,279 · -13.5%
By 2075
57,884 · -26.6%
By 2100
47,220 · -40.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (62%)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 32% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Hispanic 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Talladega

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.8) · D 32.9% · R 66.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.3pp toward R · 2008: -18.5pp · 2024: -33.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.8 2020: R+25.5 2016: R+25.6 2012: R+16.0 2008: R+18.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -20.65%
Current HPI
240.527
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+741.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $79,500 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2011-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 2006-04-18 Sold (Public Records) $9,450 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…