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35 W Smith St
D- Composite 39.62
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$150,000

35 W Smith St · Corry, PA 16407
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,764 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 89 Days on market
Built 1900 0.34 ac lot $85/sqft · 23% above area Est $122k · 23% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 35 W. Smith Street! This spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers over 1,700 square feet of living space and is conveniently located close to downtown Corry. The home features a functional layout with first-floor laundry for added convenience and plenty of room for everyday living and entertaining. Situated on a desirable double lot, the property provides extra outdoor space with endless possibilities for recreation, gardening, or future improvements. A great opportunity for buyers looking for space, value, and a convenient location!

Key facts

  • Double lot
  • Outdoor space
  • Convenient location

Tags

FIRST-FLOOR LAUNDRYDOUBLE LOTOUTDOOR SPACECONVENIENT LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-66 ($-790/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $138k (7.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (16.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $125k (16.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.0% in Corry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#573 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, health & safety A; Watch: amenities D+, commute F, employment F.
  • Corry Area SD (town): math 33% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #332 of 539 in PA (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 364 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Erie County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $21k; list at $150k implies a 614% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $125,275 (16.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
5.77%
Cash-on-cash
-1.88%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$122,330
List price
$150,000
Delta
22.62%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
629 Mead Ave 0.24mi 3/1.5 1,680 (-5%) 3mo $151,000 $90 76
603 N Center St 0.14mi 3/3.0 1,861 (+6%) 11mo $196,000 $105 67
511 W Washington St 0.49mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,732 (-2%) 6mo $165,000 $95 60
130 Wright St 0.26mi 3/1.5 1,499 (-15%) 7mo $125,000 $83 55
503 W Washington St 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,571 (-11%) 2mo $50,100 $32 54
311 S Center St 0.57mi 3/1.5 1,628 (-8%) 8mo $30,000 $18 52
30 Elk St 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,500 (-15%) 6mo $180,000 $120 50
160 Wright St 0.24mi 3/1.5 1,512 (-14%) 16mo $150,000 $99 50
122 4th Ave 0.52mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,552 (-12%) 4mo $100,000 $64 44
978 Mead Ave 0.53mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,953 (+11%) 5mo $285,000 $146 42
58 Brook St 0.66mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,902 (+8%) 14mo $85,000 $45 36
517 W Pleasant St 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,536 (-13%) 17mo $70,000 $46 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.9%
Equity multiple
2.85×
Total profit
$77,533
Equity at exit
$135,132
10-year hold
IRR
20.5%
Equity multiple
6.52×
Total profit
$231,678
Equity at exit
$291,417

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16407

Home prices YoY
11.0%
Active inventory
41
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,253 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$206 /mo · $2,476/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$263
Net cashflow
$-66

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,336
Max offer price $138,373
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 89 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 88 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 87 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 86 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 84 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $150,000 Active 83 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 80 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 79 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 78 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 77 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $150,000 Active 74 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 73 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 72 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 71 DOM
  15. 2026-05-13
    price $150,000 548-char remark
    Show marketing remark (548 chars)

    Welcome to 35 W. Smith Street! This spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers over 1,700 square feet of living space and is conveniently located close to downtown Corry. The home features a functional layout with first-floor laundry for added convenience and plenty of room for everyday living and entertaining. Situated on a desirable double lot, the property provides extra outdoor space with endless possibilities for recreation, gardening, or future improvements. A great opportunity for buyers looking for space, value, and a convenient location!

  16. 2026-03-21
    listed $165,000 Active 548-char remark
    Show marketing remark (548 chars)

    Welcome to 35 W. Smith Street! This spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers over 1,700 square feet of living space and is conveniently located close to downtown Corry. The home features a functional layout with first-floor laundry for added convenience and plenty of room for everyday living and entertaining. Situated on a desirable double lot, the property provides extra outdoor space with endless possibilities for recreation, gardening, or future improvements. A great opportunity for buyers looking for space, value, and a convenient location!

  17. 1978-07-27
    soldstatus $21,000
  18. 1978-07-27
    soldstatus $21,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,476 · $206/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,476 · $206/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥90°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,033
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,476
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,203
− Management
−$1,203
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$3,365
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$808
After-tax cash flow
$18/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Corry Area SD
NCES district ID
4206860
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$40,206
Composite
35.56/100
National rank
#4904
State rank
#332 of 539 in PA

Livability — Corry

Score
73/100
State rank
#573
US rank
#5430

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Corry, PA
Population (ZIP)
10,555

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
272,159 people
By 2030
266,299 · -2.2%
By 2040
250,987 · -7.8%
By 2050
234,925 · -13.7%
By 2075
199,164 · -26.8%
By 2100
162,985 · -40.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Iranian 7% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.0% · R 50.0%
2008→2024 swing
-20.9pp toward R · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: -1.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.0 2020: D+1.0 2016: R+2.0 2012: D+16.9 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 21.19%
Current HPI
213.9657
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+614.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $150,000 GEBOR
  • 2026-03-21 Listed $165,000 GEBOR
  • 1978-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
  • 1978-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,476 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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