🏷️ Likely Rental
491 5th St · Struthers, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Appreciation +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This long term rental property in Struthers is ready for a new investor. This 4 bedroom 2 story has 2 bathrooms, living room, dining room and the current tenant has adjusted the layout of the first floor to accommodate a 5th bedroom. The current tenant is month to month but would like to stay.
Key facts
- 7,230 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1917
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $948 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.8% vs local median 6.4% in Struthers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#418 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: commute C-, amenities F, employment F.
- Struthers City (suburban): math 45% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #475 of 656 in OH (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $65k implies a 117% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.73% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 62.53%
- DSCR
- 3.78
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $134,799
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- -51.78%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 127 William St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,716 (-3%) | 10mo | $140,000 | $82 | 68 |
| 2539 Mount Vernon Ave | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,794 (+2%) | 7mo | $85,000 | $47 | 68 |
| 595 Elm St | 0.48mi | 3/2.5 | 1,752 (-1%) | 11mo | $230,000 | $131 | 67 |
| 726 5th St | 0.44mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,692 (-4%) | 10mo | $185,000 | $109 | 55 |
| 309 Sexton St | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,576 (-11%) | 10mo | $116,000 | $74 | 53 |
| 486 W Wilson St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,774 (+0%) | 18mo | $206,000 | $116 | 53 |
| 129 Sexton St | 0.48mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,932 (+9%) | 5mo | $160,000 | $83 | 49 |
| 284 Sexton St | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 | 1,566 (-11%) | 20mo | $128,000 | $82 | 45 |
| 3803 Loveland Rd | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,520 (-14%) | 3mo | $56,000 | $37 | 37 |
| 29 Stewart St | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,536 (-13%) | 22mo | $88,000 | $57 | 28 |
| 2020 Wakefield Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,608 (-9%) | 18mo | $127,000 | $79 | 24 |
| 491 W Wilson St | 0.61mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,530 (-13%) | 19mo | $195,000 | $127 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 61.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.74×
- Total profit
- $49,898
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 66.1%
- Equity multiple
- 7.67×
- Total profit
- $121,347
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44471
- Home prices YoY
- -1.5%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,775 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,032/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$373
- Net cashflow
- $948
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $985 | -5% $967 | +0% $948 | +5% $930 | +10% $912 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $808 | -5% $878 | +0% $948 | +5% $1,018 | +10% $1,089 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $981 | -0.5pp $965 | base $948 | +0.5pp $932 | +1.0pp $914 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 465 W Omar St Struthers, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1544 | $1,800 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4807 Sheridan Rd Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1586 | $1,750 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $65,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $65,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-18status $65,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $65,000 Pending 49 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $65,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-04-16$65,000 Active 294-char remark
Show marketing remark (294 chars)
This long term rental property in Struthers is ready for a new investor. This 4 bedroom 2 story has 2 bathrooms, living room, dining room and the current tenant has adjusted the layout of the first floor to accommodate a 5th bedroom. The current tenant is month to month but would like to stay.
-
1993-01-29soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,032 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,032 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,300
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$1,032
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,704
- − Management
- −$1,704
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $11,004
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,641
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,739/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Struthers City
- NCES district ID
- 3904485
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,753
- Composite
- 40.35/100
- National rank
- #3742
- State rank
- #475 of 656 in OH
Livability — Struthers
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #418
- US rank
- #6867
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Struthers, OH
- County
- Mahoning · 224,175 people
- City population
- 10,296
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,296
- Household income
- $52,811
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12.2
Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 223,932 people
- By 2030
- 218,387 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 205,367 · -8.3%
- By 2050
- 193,606 · -13.5%
- By 2075
- 173,694 · -22.4%
- By 2100
- 151,147 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -4.12%
- Current HPI
- 274.6394
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+116.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Listed $65,000 MLSNOW
- 1993-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,032 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…