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491 5th St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 73.03
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$65,000

491 5th St · Struthers, OH 44471
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,766 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 53 Days on market
Built 1917 7,230 sqft lot $37/sqft · 52% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This long term rental property in Struthers is ready for a new investor. This 4 bedroom 2 story has 2 bathrooms, living room, dining room and the current tenant has adjusted the layout of the first floor to accommodate a 5th bedroom. The current tenant is month to month but would like to stay.

Key facts

  • 7,230 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1917

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $65,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$134,799) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $948 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 23.8% vs local median 6.4% in Struthers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#418 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: commute C-, amenities F, employment F.
  • Struthers City (suburban): math 45% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #475 of 656 in OH (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $65k implies a 117% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $63,050 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.73%
Cap rate
23.80%
Cash-on-cash
62.53%
DSCR
3.78
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$134,799
List price
$65,000
Delta
-51.78%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
127 William St 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,716 (-3%) 10mo $140,000 $82 68
2539 Mount Vernon Ave 0.37mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,794 (+2%) 7mo $85,000 $47 68
595 Elm St 0.48mi 3/2.5 1,752 (-1%) 11mo $230,000 $131 67
726 5th St 0.44mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,692 (-4%) 10mo $185,000 $109 55
309 Sexton St 0.29mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,576 (-11%) 10mo $116,000 $74 53
486 W Wilson St 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,774 (+0%) 18mo $206,000 $116 53
129 Sexton St 0.48mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,932 (+9%) 5mo $160,000 $83 49
284 Sexton St 0.32mi 3/1.5 1,566 (-11%) 20mo $128,000 $82 45
3803 Loveland Rd 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,520 (-14%) 3mo $56,000 $37 37
29 Stewart St 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,536 (-13%) 22mo $88,000 $57 28
2020 Wakefield Ave 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,608 (-9%) 18mo $127,000 $79 24
491 W Wilson St 0.61mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,530 (-13%) 19mo $195,000 $127 22

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
61.5%
Equity multiple
3.74×
Total profit
$49,898
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
66.1%
Equity multiple
7.67×
Total profit
$121,347
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44471

Home prices YoY
-1.5%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,775 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$86 /mo · $1,032/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$373
Net cashflow
$948

Break-even live

Break-even rent $575
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 42%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $985 -5% $967 +0% $948 +5% $930 +10% $912
Rent -10% $808 -5% $878 +0% $948 +5% $1,018 +10% $1,089
Rate -1.0pp $981 -0.5pp $965 base $948 +0.5pp $932 +1.0pp $914

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
465 W Omar St Struthers, OH 3.0 2.0 1544 $1,800 $1.17 14d 1 0.96mi
4807 Sheridan Rd Youngstown, OH 3.0 1.5 1586 $1,750 $1.10 14d 1 0.99mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $65,000 Active 53 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $65,000 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    status $65,000 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $65,000 Pending 49 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,000 Active 48 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 47 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 46 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 45 DOM
  10. 2026-05-30
    days on market $65,000 Active 44 DOM
  11. 2026-04-16
    listed $65,000 Active 294-char remark
    Show marketing remark (294 chars)

    This long term rental property in Struthers is ready for a new investor. This 4 bedroom 2 story has 2 bathrooms, living room, dining room and the current tenant has adjusted the layout of the first floor to accommodate a 5th bedroom. The current tenant is month to month but would like to stay.

  12. 1993-01-29
    soldstatus $30,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,032 · $86/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,032 · $86/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,300
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$1,032
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,704
− Management
−$1,704
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$11,004
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,641
After-tax cash flow
$8,739/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Struthers City
NCES district ID
3904485
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$37,753
Composite
40.35/100
National rank
#3742
State rank
#475 of 656 in OH

Livability — Struthers

Score
71/100
State rank
#418
US rank
#6867

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C- Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Struthers, OH
County
Mahoning · 224,175 people
City population
10,296
Metro
Youngstown-Warren, OH
Population (ZIP)
10,296
Household income
$52,811
Rent vs Own
31.2% rent · 68.8% own
Severe rent burden
12.2

Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
223,932 people
By 2030
218,387 · -2.5%
By 2040
205,367 · -8.3%
By 2050
193,606 · -13.5%
By 2075
173,694 · -22.4%
By 2100
151,147 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
2008→2024 swing
-36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -4.12%
Current HPI
274.6394
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+116.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $65,000 MLSNOW
  • 1993-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,032 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…