304 E Sycamore St · Nevada, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.8/30.0
- ARV discount +14.9/15.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great chance for a good house for the money, don't miss it. Cute house, central heat & air & vinyl siding, you're off to a good start! Centrally located so it's quick access to city & school events. 2 bedroom, 1 1/2 bath, basement, nice sized lot. Currently rented.
Key facts
- Central heat
- Centrally located
- Quick access
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $232 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($960 rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 5.0% in Nevada — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#519 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Nevada R-V (town): math 33% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #180 of 324 in MO (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 104 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 57 units permitted in Vernon County in 2024 (38 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Vernon County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.69%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $101,837
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- -16.53%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 311 S Lynn St | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,370 (+6%) | 5mo | $149,900 | $109 | 78 |
| 524 W Cherry St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 1,260 (-2%) | 0mo | $144,999 | $115 | 69 |
| 528 S Cedar St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 1,168 (-10%) | 6mo | $104,900 | $90 | 69 |
| 419 W Cherry St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,224 (-5%) | 0mo | $149,900 | $122 | 64 |
| 229 S Main St | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 1,479 (+14%) | 2mo | $24,900 | $17 | 63 |
| 505 E Lee St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,288 (-0%) | 3mo | $169,900 | $132 | 58 |
| 520 W Hunter St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,265 (-2%) | 3mo | $199,000 | $157 | 56 |
| 503 E Locust St | 0.44mi | 2/1.5 | 1,418 (+10%) | 6mo | $129,900 | $92 | 56 |
| 600 W Hunter St | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,339 (+4%) | 4mo | $100,000 | $75 | 53 |
| 627 W Cherry St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 1,142 (-12%) | 1mo | $89,900 | $79 | 51 |
| 1020 S Adams St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,217 (-6%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $156 | 48 |
| 718 N Main St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 1,098 (-15%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $96 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $975
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $19,776
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64772
- Active inventory
- 104
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $960 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $539/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$202
- Net cashflow
- $232
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $280 | -5% $256 | +0% $232 | +5% $208 | +10% $184 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $156 | -5% $194 | +0% $232 | +5% $270 | +10% $308 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $275 | -0.5pp $254 | base $232 | +0.5pp $210 | +1.0pp $187 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 317 E Hickory St Nevada, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $1,050 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 404 E Ashland St Nevada, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1041 | $875 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 926 W Sycamore St Nevada, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $850 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 515 N Tower St Nevada, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1305 | $1,025 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $85,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $85,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-07status $85,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-05-04status Pending 283-char remark
Show marketing remark (283 chars)
Great chance for a good house for the money, don't miss it. Cute house, central heat & air & vinyl siding, you're off to a good start! Centrally located so it's quick access to city & school events. 2 bedroom, 1 1/2 bath, basement, nice sized lot. Currently rented.
-
2026-02-26status Active 283-char remark
Show marketing remark (283 chars)
Great chance for a good house for the money, don't miss it. Cute house, central heat & air & vinyl siding, you're off to a good start! Centrally located so it's quick access to city & school events. 2 bedroom, 1 1/2 bath, basement, nice sized lot. Currently rented.
-
2026-02-24historical 283-char remark
Show marketing remark (283 chars)
Great chance for a good house for the money, don't miss it. Cute house, central heat & air & vinyl siding, you're off to a good start! Centrally located so it's quick access to city & school events. 2 bedroom, 1 1/2 bath, basement, nice sized lot. Currently rented.
-
2026-02-18$85,000 Active 283-char remark
Show marketing remark (283 chars)
Great chance for a good house for the money, don't miss it. Cute house, central heat & air & vinyl siding, you're off to a good start! Centrally located so it's quick access to city & school events. 2 bedroom, 1 1/2 bath, basement, nice sized lot. Currently rented.
-
1999-03-11soldstatus
-
1992-12-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $539 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $824 · $69/mo
- Expected delta
- +$285/yr (+$24/mo · 52.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,515
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$539
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$921
- − Management
- −$921
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $1,474
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$354
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,429/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nevada R-V
- NCES district ID
- 2921840
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,804
- Composite
- 32.14/100
- National rank
- #5792
- State rank
- #180 of 324 in MO
Livability — Nevada
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #519
- US rank
- #19644
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Nevada, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,930
Population outlook (Vernon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,169 people
- By 2030
- 19,639 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 18,551 · -8.0%
- By 2050
- 17,549 · -13.0%
- By 2075
- 15,314 · -24.1%
- By 2100
- 13,132 · -34.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Portuguese 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Vernon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.5) · D 19.8% · R 79.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.5pp toward R · 2008: -22.0pp · 2024: -59.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.5 2020: R+57.2 2016: R+56.2 2012: R+37.3 2008: R+22.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -84.21%
- Current HPI
- 150.7283
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-26 Relisted — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-24 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-18 Listed $85,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-03-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1992-12-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $539 · +12.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…