1629 New York Ave · Flint, MI 48506

$8,500

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,533 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 231 Days on market

Built 1926 4,356 sqft lot Est $15k · 45% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.1/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.

Key facts

• 4,356 sq ft lot
• Built 1926
• Listed 231 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Subdivision: EASTERN ADD; Cross street / directions: Delaware Ave / New York Ave

Exterior

• Parking: No garage
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single-family residence; One-and-a-half story; Ground-level entry with steps
• Construction: Wood siding; Block foundation
• Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.1 acre (40 x 110)

Interior

• Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
• Interior features: Unfinished basement; Six total rooms

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $8k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $8k).
• Recommended offer: $7k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 149.6% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
• Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 202 active listings in the ZIP; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $59 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $255 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 231 days — a 12% lower offer ($7k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $1k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 4.4% of price; built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $7,480 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 231 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 16.30% ✓
• Cap rate: 149.61%
• Cash-on-cash: 511.85%
• DSCR: 23.77
• GRM: 0.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $15,330
• Comps found: 5

Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1546 Colorado Ave	0.37mi	3/1.0 (-1)	1,536 (+0%)	8mo	$15,550	$10	67
1519 E Hamilton Ave	0.31mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,652 (+8%)	10mo	$6,500	$4	60
1605 Kearsley Park Blvd	0.64mi	4/2.0	1,596 (+4%)	7mo	$96,900	$61	57
2117 Maryland Ave	0.35mi	3/1.5 (-1)	1,652 (+8%)	18mo	$16,000	$10	48
2317 Oklahoma Ave	0.48mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,316 (-14%)	17mo	$16,500	$13	35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 27.60×
• Total profit: $63,313
• Equity at exit: $1,267

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 59.20×
• Total profit: $138,523
• Equity at exit: $735

Cash invested: $2,380 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Michigan: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 48506

• Active inventory: 202
• Price-to-rent: 0.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,385 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$45
• Tax from tax record: −$31 /mo · $372/yr
• Insurance: −$4
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$291
• Net cashflow: $1,015

Break-even live

Break-even rent $100

Max offer price $8,500

Occupancy floor 22%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $1,020	-5% $1,018	+0% $1,015	+5% $1,013	+10% $1,010
Rent	-10% $906	-5% $960	+0% $1,015	+5% $1,070	+10% $1,125
Rate	-1.0pp $1,019	-0.5pp $1,017	base $1,015	+0.5pp $1,013	+1.0pp $1,011

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $2,125
• Closing costs: $255
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 24 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $8,500 Active 231 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $8,500 Active 230 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $8,500 Active 229 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $8,500 Active 228 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $8,500 Active 226 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $8,500 Active 225 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $8,500 Active 223 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $8,500 Active 222 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $8,500 Active 221 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $8,500 Active 220 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $8,500 Active 217 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $8,500 Active 216 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $8,500 Active 215 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $8,500 Active 214 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $8,500 Active 213 DOM
16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $8,500 Active 212 DOM
17. 2025-12-16
    price $8,500 231-char remark

    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.

18. 2025-12-15
    price $8,500
19. 2025-10-30
    listed $9,900 Active 231-char remark

    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.

20. 2025-10-30
    listed $9,900 Active

    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.

21. 2008-10-14
    historical 231-char remark

    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    Hud Home. Fha Case #262-126962. Ui . For Property Condition Report, Forms, Disclosures & Availability See Website In Agent Remarks. Available Beginning On 08/22/2008.Bids Due On Or Before 08/26/2008 @11:59pm Or Daily After. Lbp

22. 2008-08-01
    listed $3,500 231-char remark

    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    Hud Home. Fha Case #262-126962. Ui . For Property Condition Report, Forms, Disclosures & Availability See Website In Agent Remarks. Available Beginning On 08/22/2008.Bids Due On Or Before 08/26/2008 @11:59pm Or Daily After. Lbp

23. 1999-11-19
    soldstatus $29,900
24. 1999-10-15
    listed $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $372 · $31/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $372 · $31/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,622
• − Mortgage interest: −$476
• − Property taxes: −$372
• − Insurance: −$42
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,330
• − Management: −$1,330
• − Depreciation: −$247
• Taxable income: $12,825
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$3,078
• After-tax cash flow: $9,104/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Flint School District
• NCES district ID: 2614520
• Math proficiency: 7% ▬ 0.00%
• Reading proficiency: 13% ▲ 3.00%
• Median HH income: $25,954
• Composite: 10.97/100
• National rank: #14642
• State rank: #714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #196
• US rank: #4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Flint, MI
• County: Genesee County · 221,329 people
• City population: 93,814
• Metro: Flint, MI
• Population (ZIP): 24,712
• Household income: $47,929
• Rent vs Own: 31.4% rent · 68.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 954.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 381,312 people
• By 2030: 362,731 · -4.9%
• By 2040: 321,550 · -15.7%
• By 2050: 279,212 · -26.8%
• By 2075: 193,336 · -49.3%
• By 2100: 128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (76%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 76% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 6%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 6% Romanian 4% Slovak 3%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -173.31%
• Current HPI: 90.0494
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Flint, MI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.37%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Automotive Parts	3	$48B
▸Automotive	2	$372B
▸Chemicals	1	$45B
▸Automotive Retail	1	$29B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$23B
▸Automotive Technology	1	$20B

Price history

-75.7% since first listed

8 events — show timeline

• 2025-12-16 Price Changed $8,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2025-12-15 Price Changed $8,500 REALCOMP
• 2025-10-30 Listed $9,900 REALCOMP
• 2025-10-30 Listed $9,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2008-10-14 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2008-08-01 Listed $3,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 1999-11-19 Sold (MLS) $29,900 REALCOMP
• 1999-10-15 Listed $35,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-18.6%/yr

Latest (2018): $372 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.