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4019 Cedar Forest Dr
D- Composite 39.5
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +10.8/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • DSCR +1.1/10.0

$245,000

4019 Cedar Forest Dr · Houston, TX 77339
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,092 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 42 Days on market
Built 1978 8,280 sqft lot $117/sqft · 7% below area Est $264k · 7% under $33/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A rare find! Lovely and spacious one-story home with gorgeous yard and plenty of shade trees! Originally a Perry Homes model, this 3 bed/2 bath home comes equipped with a 20kw NATURAL GAS GENERATOR to power the entire house in case of an outage. The living room has a cathedral ceiling with elegant beams, and a wood-burning fireplace with gas log. Solar screens on west-facing windows allow lots of natural light, while reducing utility bills. Kitchen features a large walk-in pantry, double ovens, and refrigerator that will remain with the home (separate fridge in utility room also stays). The spacious owner’s retreat has an en-suite bath, double sinks, and separate closets. Outside is a 2-car detached garage, and a wood deck with beautiful pergola, perfect for barbeques or simply relaxing in the backyard. An absolute MUST-SEE, this hidden gem is located in peaceful Elm Grove Village with easy access to 59. NEVER FLOODED. This one won't last long...schedule your private tour today!

Key facts

  • Pex plumbing
  • Cathedral ceilings
  • Model home

Tags

CATHEDRAL CEILINGSPEX PLUMBINGNATURAL GAS GENERAC GENERATORMODEL HOMEELM GROVE SUBDIVISION

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Association: Sterling ASI; Annual association fee of $400

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Driveway; 2 garage spaces
  • Security: Prewired for security; Leased security system; Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Faces east; Built in 1978; Entry level: First floor
  • Construction: Brick and wood siding; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Fence (back yard); Concrete road surface; Subdivision lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Double oven; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator; Breakfast nook (First floor, 9x9)
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (First floor, 15x15); Bedroom (First floor, 13x11); Bedroom (First floor, 12x11)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Plank; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (Gas); Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: High ceilings; Dry bar; Pantry; Double vanity; Tub/shower combo; Gas log fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room (First floor, 8x7); Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-370 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $180k (26.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (19.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $180k (26.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Humble ISD (urban): math 38% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #262 of 826 in TX (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Kingwood Middle (math 39% / reading 44%, grade F, #595 of 1,662 statewide, top 37%, 1,002 students, 48% FRL); Kingwood Park H S (math 48% / reading 56%, grade D+, #447 of 1,632 statewide, top 29%, 1,950 students, 32% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 311 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $179,647 (26.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
4.48%
Cash-on-cash
-6.47%
DSCR
0.71
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$264,135
List price
$245,000
Delta
-7.24%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3126 Holly Green Dr 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,997 (-4%) 2mo $260,000 $130 82
3907 Holly Green Ct 0.31mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,035 (-3%) 0mo $269,786 $133 76
3626 Bear Lake Dr 0.42mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,052 (-2%) 1mo $345,000 $168 70
3618 Riverwood Park Dr 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,997 (-4%) 1mo $269,990 $135 69
3514 Appalachian Trl 0.51mi 3/2.5 2,155 (+3%) 1mo $250,000 $116 69
5122 Creek Shadows Dr 0.73mi 3/2.5 2,072 (-1%) 0mo $299,900 $145 62
3131 Beaver Glen Dr 0.56mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,968 (-6%) 1mo $299,900 $152 56
3747 Clear Falls Dr 0.57mi 3/3.0 2,251 (+8%) 1mo $240,000 $107 56
5011 Shady Maple Dr 0.67mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,178 (+4%) 1mo $298,000 $137 54
3211 Park Garden Dr 0.64mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,233 (+7%) 1mo $289,999 $130 53
3754 Glade Forest Dr 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,787 (-15%) 2mo $235,000 $132 46
3215 Park Garden Dr 0.64mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,376 (+14%) 2mo $319,900 $135 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.48% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.4%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-30,800
Equity at exit
$77,040
10-year hold
IRR
-5.5%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-40,293
Equity at exit
$97,455

Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77339

Home prices YoY
0.2%
Rents YoY
-0.6%
Active inventory
311
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,976 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,285
Tax from tax record
$511 /mo · $6,138/yr
Insurance
$102
HOA
$33
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$415
Net cashflow
$-370

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,445
Max offer price $179,647
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,250
Closing costs
$7,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4535 Echo Falls Dr Kingwood, TX 4.0 2.5 2184 $2,145 $0.98 2d 1 0.19mi
3122 Birch Creek Dr Kingwood, TX 3.0 2.0 1446 $1,624 $1.12 24d 1 0.30mi
3327 Sycamore Springs Dr Kingwood, TX 3.0 2.0 1619 $1,575 $0.97 18d 1 0.38mi
3327 Sycamore Springs Dr Kingwood, TX 3.0 2.0 1619 $1,683 $1.04 22d 1 0.38mi
3303 Sycamore Springs Dr Kingwood, TX 4.0 2.5 2010 $2,006 $1.00 5d 1 0.39mi
3007 Birch Creek Dr Humble, TX 3.0 2.0 1603 $1,795 $1.12 24d 1 0.39mi
3619 Maple Glen Dr Kingwood, TX 4.0 2.0 2332 $2,149 $0.92 17d 1 0.42mi
3714 Windy Haven Dr Kingwood, TX 3.0 2.0 1454 $1,799 $1.24 43d 1 0.71mi
5110 Shady Gardens Dr Kingwood, TX 3.0 3.0 1548 $1,800 $1.16 5d 1 0.76mi
4031 Sherwood St W Kingwood, TX 3.0 2.0 1541 $1,850 $1.20 43d 1 0.82mi
3514 Creek Manor Dr Kingwood, TX 4.0 2.5 2274 $1,995 $0.88 43d 1 0.83mi
3918 Forest Village Dr Kingwood, TX 4.0 2.5 2354 $2,350 $1.00 24d 1 0.91mi
4318 Pinewood Park Dr Kingwood, TX 2.0 2.0 1634 $2,100 $1.29 43d 1 0.94mi
3806 Village Oaks Dr Kingwood, TX 4.0 2.5 2465 $2,300 $0.93 22d 1 1.02mi
5706 Straight Way Kingwood, TX 4.0 2.5 2346 $2,095 $0.89 15d 1 1.04mi
5714 Straight Way Kingwood, TX 3.0 2.0 1788 $1,830 $1.02 19d 1 1.06mi
9323 Darby Knoll Way Porter, TX 4.0 2.5 2182 $2,595 $1.19 43d 1 1.13mi
2315 Shadbury Ct Kingwood, TX 3.0 2.0 1487 $1,725 $1.16 43d 1 1.21mi
2222 Riverford Dr Kingwood, TX 3.0 3.0 1908 $1,895 $0.99 24d 1 1.36mi
2215 Silver Falls Dr Kingwood, TX 4.0 2.0 2004 $2,075 $1.04 43d 1 1.43mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$33 · $396/yr
Likely covers
gas

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $245,000 Active 42 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $245,000 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $245,000 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $245,000 Active 39 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $245,000 Active 37 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $245,000 Active 36 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $245,000 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $245,000 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $245,000 Active 31 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $245,000 Active 28 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $245,000 Active 27 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $245,000 Active 26 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $245,000 Active 25 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $245,000 Active 24 DOM
  15. 2026-05-07
    listed $245,000 Active 524-char remark
  16. 2026-05-05
    historical
  17. 2026-04-23
    price $245,000
  18. 2026-04-01
    price $250,000
  19. 2026-03-12
    price $255,000
  20. 2026-01-29
    price $260,000
  21. 2025-12-17
    listed $270,000 Active
  22. 2022-01-03
    soldstatus
  23. 2022-01-03
    soldstatus
  24. 2021-12-28
    soldstatus Sold
    Show marketing remark (1029 chars)

    A rare find! Lovely and spacious one-story home with gorgeous yard and plenty of shade trees! Originally a Perry Homes model, this 3 bed/2 bath home comes equipped with a 20kw NATURAL GAS GENERATOR to power the entire house in case of an outage. The living room has a cathedral ceiling with elegant beams, and a wood-burning fireplace with gas log. Solar screens on west-facing windows allow lots of natural light, while reducing utility bills. Kitchen features a large walk-in pantry, double ovens, and refrigerator that will remain with the home (separate fridge in utility room also stays). The spacious owner’s retreat has an en-suite bath, double sinks, and separate closets. Outside is a 2-car detached garage, and a wood deck with beautiful pergola, perfect for barbeques or simply relaxing in the backyard. An absolute MUST-SEE, this hidden gem is located in peaceful Elm Grove Village with easy access to 59. NEVER FLOODED. This one won't last long...schedule your private tour today!

  25. 2021-12-05
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (1029 chars)

    A rare find! Lovely and spacious one-story home with gorgeous yard and plenty of shade trees! Originally a Perry Homes model, this 3 bed/2 bath home comes equipped with a 20kw NATURAL GAS GENERATOR to power the entire house in case of an outage. The living room has a cathedral ceiling with elegant beams, and a wood-burning fireplace with gas log. Solar screens on west-facing windows allow lots of natural light, while reducing utility bills. Kitchen features a large walk-in pantry, double ovens, and refrigerator that will remain with the home (separate fridge in utility room also stays). The spacious owner’s retreat has an en-suite bath, double sinks, and separate closets. Outside is a 2-car detached garage, and a wood deck with beautiful pergola, perfect for barbeques or simply relaxing in the backyard. An absolute MUST-SEE, this hidden gem is located in peaceful Elm Grove Village with easy access to 59. NEVER FLOODED. This one won't last long...schedule your private tour today!

  26. 2021-11-30
    status Option Pending
    Show marketing remark (1029 chars)

    A rare find! Lovely and spacious one-story home with gorgeous yard and plenty of shade trees! Originally a Perry Homes model, this 3 bed/2 bath home comes equipped with a 20kw NATURAL GAS GENERATOR to power the entire house in case of an outage. The living room has a cathedral ceiling with elegant beams, and a wood-burning fireplace with gas log. Solar screens on west-facing windows allow lots of natural light, while reducing utility bills. Kitchen features a large walk-in pantry, double ovens, and refrigerator that will remain with the home (separate fridge in utility room also stays). The spacious owner’s retreat has an en-suite bath, double sinks, and separate closets. Outside is a 2-car detached garage, and a wood deck with beautiful pergola, perfect for barbeques or simply relaxing in the backyard. An absolute MUST-SEE, this hidden gem is located in peaceful Elm Grove Village with easy access to 59. NEVER FLOODED. This one won't last long...schedule your private tour today!

  27. 2021-11-18
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (1029 chars)

    A rare find! Lovely and spacious one-story home with gorgeous yard and plenty of shade trees! Originally a Perry Homes model, this 3 bed/2 bath home comes equipped with a 20kw NATURAL GAS GENERATOR to power the entire house in case of an outage. The living room has a cathedral ceiling with elegant beams, and a wood-burning fireplace with gas log. Solar screens on west-facing windows allow lots of natural light, while reducing utility bills. Kitchen features a large walk-in pantry, double ovens, and refrigerator that will remain with the home (separate fridge in utility room also stays). The spacious owner’s retreat has an en-suite bath, double sinks, and separate closets. Outside is a 2-car detached garage, and a wood deck with beautiful pergola, perfect for barbeques or simply relaxing in the backyard. An absolute MUST-SEE, this hidden gem is located in peaceful Elm Grove Village with easy access to 59. NEVER FLOODED. This one won't last long...schedule your private tour today!

  28. 2021-11-18
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (1029 chars)

    A rare find! Lovely and spacious one-story home with gorgeous yard and plenty of shade trees! Originally a Perry Homes model, this 3 bed/2 bath home comes equipped with a 20kw NATURAL GAS GENERATOR to power the entire house in case of an outage. The living room has a cathedral ceiling with elegant beams, and a wood-burning fireplace with gas log. Solar screens on west-facing windows allow lots of natural light, while reducing utility bills. Kitchen features a large walk-in pantry, double ovens, and refrigerator that will remain with the home (separate fridge in utility room also stays). The spacious owner’s retreat has an en-suite bath, double sinks, and separate closets. Outside is a 2-car detached garage, and a wood deck with beautiful pergola, perfect for barbeques or simply relaxing in the backyard. An absolute MUST-SEE, this hidden gem is located in peaceful Elm Grove Village with easy access to 59. NEVER FLOODED. This one won't last long...schedule your private tour today!

  29. 2021-11-12
    status Option Pending
    Show marketing remark (1029 chars)

    A rare find! Lovely and spacious one-story home with gorgeous yard and plenty of shade trees! Originally a Perry Homes model, this 3 bed/2 bath home comes equipped with a 20kw NATURAL GAS GENERATOR to power the entire house in case of an outage. The living room has a cathedral ceiling with elegant beams, and a wood-burning fireplace with gas log. Solar screens on west-facing windows allow lots of natural light, while reducing utility bills. Kitchen features a large walk-in pantry, double ovens, and refrigerator that will remain with the home (separate fridge in utility room also stays). The spacious owner’s retreat has an en-suite bath, double sinks, and separate closets. Outside is a 2-car detached garage, and a wood deck with beautiful pergola, perfect for barbeques or simply relaxing in the backyard. An absolute MUST-SEE, this hidden gem is located in peaceful Elm Grove Village with easy access to 59. NEVER FLOODED. This one won't last long...schedule your private tour today!

  30. 2021-11-04
    listed $220,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (1029 chars)

    A rare find! Lovely and spacious one-story home with gorgeous yard and plenty of shade trees! Originally a Perry Homes model, this 3 bed/2 bath home comes equipped with a 20kw NATURAL GAS GENERATOR to power the entire house in case of an outage. The living room has a cathedral ceiling with elegant beams, and a wood-burning fireplace with gas log. Solar screens on west-facing windows allow lots of natural light, while reducing utility bills. Kitchen features a large walk-in pantry, double ovens, and refrigerator that will remain with the home (separate fridge in utility room also stays). The spacious owner’s retreat has an en-suite bath, double sinks, and separate closets. Outside is a 2-car detached garage, and a wood deck with beautiful pergola, perfect for barbeques or simply relaxing in the backyard. An absolute MUST-SEE, this hidden gem is located in peaceful Elm Grove Village with easy access to 59. NEVER FLOODED. This one won't last long...schedule your private tour today!

  31. 1988-06-09
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,138 · $511/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,138 · $511/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,718
− Mortgage interest
−$13,724
− Property taxes
−$6,138
− Insurance
−$1,225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,897
− Management
−$1,897
− HOA
−$396
− Depreciation
−$7,127
Taxable loss
−$8,687
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,085
After-tax cash flow
$-2,355/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Humble ISD
NCES district ID
4823910
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$83,946
Composite
38.55/100
National rank
#4171
State rank
#262 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
44,538
Household income
$84,102
Rent vs Own
44.1% rent · 55.9% own
Severe rent burden
2198.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 13% Black 5% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.48%
Current HPI
233.4147
Rent YoY
▼ -0.59%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+11.4% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $245,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $245,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $250,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $255,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-01-29 Price Changed $260,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-12-17 Listed $270,000 HARMLS
  • 2022-01-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-01-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-12-28 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2021-12-05 Pending HARMLS
  • 2021-11-30 Pending HARMLS
  • 2021-11-18 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2021-11-18 Pending HARMLS
  • 2021-11-12 Pending HARMLS
  • 2021-11-04 Listed $220,000 HARMLS
  • 1988-06-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,138 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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