78332 S 4760 Rd · Piney, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Livability +1.9/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
$119,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 Houses for the Price of One! Both set on . 95 acres in a country setting. One has 2 bedrooms, 1 Bath that has been well taken care of and the other has 1 Bedroom, 1 Bath with dine in kitchen. Both have newer roofs and siding.
Key facts
- Creek access
- Detached workshop
- 0.95 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with workshop, shelving and storage; 1 garage space
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Water available; Well water; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-story home; Faces north; Entry on main level
- Construction: Built (year per public records); Vinyl siding with wood frame construction; Metal roof; Crawlspace and slab foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Gravel driveway; Mature trees; Storage and a second residence on the property; Partial, privacy and barbed wire fencing; No safety shelter
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range/Stove; Gas range/oven connection
- Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Window unit(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Butcher block and laminate counters; Ceiling fan(s); Insulated doors and storm door(s); Aluminum frame, storm, vinyl, and insulated windows; Gas range/oven connection
- Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-21 ($-258/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $116k (2.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $102k (14.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $102k (14.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 37/100 on livability (#733 in OK) — a limited-amenity area; tenant pool skews transient or value-seeking. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Stilwell (town): math 6% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #258 of 270 in OK (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Adair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($826 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.1% local appreciation)).
- Adair County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $88k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.77%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.15% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $7,774
- Equity at exit
- $48,127
- IRR
- 7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.09×
- Total profit
- $36,420
- Equity at exit
- $70,075
Cash invested: $33,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74960
- Home prices YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 96
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,018 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$627
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$149 /mo · $1,792/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$214
- Net cashflow
- $-21
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,875
- Closing costs
- $3,585
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,500 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,500 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $119,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,500 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $119,500 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,500 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,500 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $119,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,500 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-06$119,500 Active
-
2026-02-25historical
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2025-11-17$120,000 Active
-
2021-10-08soldstatus $88,000 Closed 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
2 Houses for the Price of One! Both set on . 95 acres in a country setting. One has 2 bedrooms, 1 Bath that has been well taken care of and the other has 1 Bedroom, 1 Bath with dine in kitchen. Both have newer roofs and siding.
-
2021-08-30status Pending 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
2 Houses for the Price of One! Both set on . 95 acres in a country setting. One has 2 bedrooms, 1 Bath that has been well taken care of and the other has 1 Bedroom, 1 Bath with dine in kitchen. Both have newer roofs and siding.
-
2021-07-30status Active 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
2 Houses for the Price of One! Both set on . 95 acres in a country setting. One has 2 bedrooms, 1 Bath that has been well taken care of and the other has 1 Bedroom, 1 Bath with dine in kitchen. Both have newer roofs and siding.
-
2021-07-28status Pending 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
2 Houses for the Price of One! Both set on . 95 acres in a country setting. One has 2 bedrooms, 1 Bath that has been well taken care of and the other has 1 Bedroom, 1 Bath with dine in kitchen. Both have newer roofs and siding.
-
2021-05-18$99,500 Active 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
2 Houses for the Price of One! Both set on . 95 acres in a country setting. One has 2 bedrooms, 1 Bath that has been well taken care of and the other has 1 Bedroom, 1 Bath with dine in kitchen. Both have newer roofs and siding.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,218
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,694
- − Property taxes
- −$1,792
- − Insurance
- −$598
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$977
- − Management
- −$977
- − Depreciation
- −$3,476
- Taxable loss
- −$2,297
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$551
- After-tax cash flow
- $294/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
The home requires moderate renovations, including updating the kitchen and painting interior walls, to improve its condition and value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — dated cabinets
- Minor bathroom fixtures — standard fixtures
- Minor landscaping — lawn needs trimming
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint interior walls — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value
- Both update kitchen cabinets — Modernizing the kitchen can increase both resale and rental value
- Both landscaping — A well-maintained yard can enhance curb appeal and attract potential buyers
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated cabinets | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · standard fixtures | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| landscaping · lawn needs trimming | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint interior walls — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value ↑
- Both update kitchen cabinets — Modernizing the kitchen can increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both landscaping — A well-maintained yard can enhance curb appeal and attract potential buyers ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Stilwell
- NCES district ID
- 4028710
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,414
- Composite
- 6.71/100
- National rank
- #9985
- State rank
- #258 of 270 in OK
Livability — Piney
- Score
- 37/100
- State rank
- #733
- US rank
- #27608
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Piney, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,964
Population outlook (Adair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,805 people
- By 2030
- 20,073 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 18,496 · -11.1%
- By 2050
- 16,970 · -18.4%
- By 2075
- 14,011 · -32.7%
- By 2100
- 12,211 · -41.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.90)
- Race & ethnicity
- Native American 51% White 31% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Adair
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.0) · D 17.8% · R 80.8% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.3pp toward R · 2008: -38.7pp · 2024: -63.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.0 2020: R+59.1 2016: R+52.2 2012: R+34.8 2008: R+38.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.15%
- Current HPI
- 223.6773
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+20.1% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Listed $119,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-02-25 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-11-17 Listed $120,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2021-10-08 Sold (MLS) $88,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2021-08-30 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2021-07-30 Relisted — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2021-07-28 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2021-05-18 Listed $99,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…