111 Spring Hollow Rd · Troutville, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +6.8/10.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$121,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
MEDICAID SALE AT TAX ASSESSMENT. NEW ROOF IN 2025. TWO BEDROOM, ONE BATH ON 2 LOTS. ALUMINUM SIDING, FRONT PORCH, OIL FURNACE, PARTIAL BASEMENT/CRAWLSPACE WITH SUMP PUMP. INSPECTIONS WELCOMED BUT SOLD AS IS, WHERE IS. NO GOVERNMENT LOANS. SUBURBAN PROPANE TANK IS LEASED.
Key facts
- Crawlspace
- Front porch
- Partial basement
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Annual tax amount reported
Exterior
- Utilities: Has heating; Has cooling
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 1960
- Construction: Built in 1960
- Exterior features: 1.13-acre lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Flooring: Carpet flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air oil heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: Has fireplace; 4 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $121k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $97 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (10.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $108k (10.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#503 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A, housing B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Botetourt County Public School District (rural): math 76% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #6 of 131 in VA (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Troutville Elementary (math 62% / reading 77%, grade A-, #313 of 1,108 statewide, top 32%, 247 students, 32% FRL); Read Mountain Middle (math 75% / reading 82%, grade A+, #32 of 342 statewide, top 9%, 657 students, 35% FRL); Lord Botetourt High (math 83% / reading 92%, grade A, #15 of 319 statewide, top 4%, 980 students, 27% FRL).
- Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 116 units permitted in Botetourt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $837 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Botetourt County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.42%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $177,172
- List price
- $121,000
- Delta
- -31.70%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-13,486
- Equity at exit
- $18,041
- IRR
- -1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-3,954
- Equity at exit
- $10,462
Cash invested: $33,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24175
- Home prices YoY
- -24.6%
- Active inventory
- 80
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,079 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$635
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $847/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$227
- Net cashflow
- $97
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $165 | -5% $131 | +0% $97 | +5% $62 | +10% $28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $11 | -5% $54 | +0% $97 | +5% $139 | +10% $182 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $158 | -0.5pp $127 | base $97 | +0.5pp $65 | +1.0pp $33 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,250
- Closing costs
- $3,630
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $121,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $121,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $121,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $121,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $121,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $121,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $121,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $121,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $121,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $121,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $121,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $121,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $121,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $121,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $121,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $121,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-07$121,000 Active 271-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $847 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $992 · $83/mo
- Expected delta
- +$145/yr (+$12/mo · 17.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,944
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,778
- − Property taxes
- −$847
- − Insurance
- −$605
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,036
- − Management
- −$1,036
- − Depreciation
- −$3,520
- Taxable loss
- −$877
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$210
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,370/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Botetourt County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5100420
- Math proficiency
- 76% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 82% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,125
- Composite
- 68.07/100
- National rank
- #355
- State rank
- #6 of 131 in VA
Livability — Troutville
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #503
- US rank
- #22295
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,054
Population outlook (Botetourt County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,273 people
- By 2030
- 34,457 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 34,051 · -0.6%
- By 2050
- 32,841 · -4.2%
- By 2075
- 30,720 · -10.4%
- By 2100
- 26,395 · -23.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Botetourt
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.9pp toward R · 2008: -33.2pp · 2024: -45.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.1 2020: R+44.5 2016: R+47.6 2012: R+38.6 2008: R+33.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.50%
- Current HPI
- 151.591
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Listed $121,000 MLSRV
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $847 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…