2004 13th St SE · Decatur, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.9/30.0
- ARV discount +12.9/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Location in South East Decatur, currently Rented until April 30th, 2026. Showing by Appointment Only 48hr notice. This 3bdrm 2bath, with central/heat air, vinyl siding, covered carport and hardwood flooring.
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Covered carport
- Vinyl siding
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $107 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (13.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $143k (13.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.0% in Decatur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#28 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, crime F.
- Decatur City (urban): math 22% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #66 of 129 in AL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 231 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Morgan County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $46k; list at $165k implies a 261% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.79%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $187,429
- List price
- $165,000
- Delta
- -11.97%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1716 Pennylane SE | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,606 (-3%) | 7mo | $251,500 | $157 | 80 |
| 1606 12th St SE | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,564 (-5%) | 5mo | $181,500 | $116 | 73 |
| 1601 12th St SE | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (-9%) | 5mo | $204,000 | $136 | 65 |
| 1214 Elizabeth Ave SE | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,534 (-7%) | 2mo | $206,500 | $135 | 64 |
| 2308 13th St SE | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,595 (-3%) | 5mo | $220,000 | $138 | 64 |
| 1508 Summerlane SE | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 | 1,421 (-14%) | 2mo | $192,500 | $135 | 60 |
| 1210 Donna Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,831 (+11%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $128 | 58 |
| 1312 Count Mallard Dr SE | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (-12%) | 4mo | $215,000 | $148 | 55 |
| 1411 Magnolia St SE | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,849 (+12%) | 2mo | $204,000 | $110 | 54 |
| 1206 Elizabeth Ave SE | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,418 (-14%) | 2mo | $239,000 | $169 | 50 |
| 2003 Murphree Rd | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,798 (+9%) | 2mo | $181,000 | $101 | 50 |
| 2129 Park Place Dr SE | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,818 (+10%) | 3mo | $169,900 | $93 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-17,511
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $3,687
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35601
- Home prices YoY
- -26.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 223
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,426 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,017/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$299
- Net cashflow
- $107
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1314 Pennylane SE Decatur, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,198 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1205 Broadus Ave SE Decatur, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1306 | $1,195 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2136 Eastbrook SE Decatur, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,495 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1801 7th St SE Decatur, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1475 | $1,550 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2217 Yorkshire SE Decatur, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1978 | $2,000 | $1.01 | 14d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1707 Buena Vista Cir SE Decatur, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1756 | $1,350 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $165,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $165,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $165,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $165,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $165,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $165,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $165,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $165,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $165,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $165,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $165,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-03-06$165,000 Active 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Great Location in South East Decatur, currently Rented until April 30th, 2026. Showing by Appointment Only 48hr notice. This 3bdrm 2bath, with central/heat air, vinyl siding, covered carport and hardwood flooring.
-
2016-11-14soldstatus $45,750 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Great potential in well-established neighborhood. This 1842 sq. foot home has three bedrooms and two full baths. Enjoy the cool evenings with your wood burning fireplace, a blanket, and a book located in one of two living areas. Formal dining room and kitchen are centrally located in the heart of the home. There is a large covered patio with large fenced in backyard. Bring your paintbrush and put your own splash on this one.
-
2016-07-05$49,900 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Great potential in well-established neighborhood. This 1842 sq. foot home has three bedrooms and two full baths. Enjoy the cool evenings with your wood burning fireplace, a blanket, and a book located in one of two living areas. Formal dining room and kitchen are centrally located in the heart of the home. There is a large covered patio with large fenced in backyard. Bring your paintbrush and put your own splash on this one.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,017 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,017 · $85/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,107
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$1,017
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,369
- − Management
- −$1,369
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$1,514
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$363
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,653/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Decatur City
- NCES district ID
- 0101170
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,170
- Composite
- 26.21/100
- National rank
- #7261
- State rank
- #66 of 129 in AL
Livability — Decatur
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #28
- US rank
- #5989
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Decatur, AL
- County
- Morgan County · 67,628 people
- City population
- 67,628
- Metro
- Decatur, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,449
- Household income
- $51,429
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1386.0
Population outlook (Morgan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 118,775 people
- By 2030
- 116,979 · -1.5%
- By 2040
- 111,800 · -5.9%
- By 2050
- 105,181 · -11.4%
- By 2075
- 87,736 · -26.1%
- By 2100
- 67,624 · -43.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 24% Two or more races 10% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 18%
Political lean MEDSL · Morgan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.6) · D 23.2% · R 75.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: -43.8pp · 2024: -52.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.6 2020: R+49.2 2016: R+52.4 2012: R+44.5 2008: R+43.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -89.26%
- Current HPI
- 247.8437
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.67%
- Metro
- Decatur, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+230.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-06 Listed $165,000 VMLS
- 2016-11-14 Sold (MLS) $45,750 VMLS
- 2016-07-05 Listed $49,900 VMLS
Property tax history
+9.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,017 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…