39101 N Walnut St · Lake Villa, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.9/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$235,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
NEW MOUND SEPTIC BEING INSTALLED PRIOR TO CLOSING. Permits already pulled. Closing to be August 2nd or later. Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Lake Villa offering great space and value! The main level features an XL living room, kitchen, laundry area, and a convenient main-floor bedroom or office (no closet). Upstairs you'll find two very large bedrooms plus a spacious storage closet. Situated on an oversized lot with an 8x10 shed with electric-perfect for storage or hobbies. Recent updates include a remodeled bathroom with new subfloor, flooring, toilet, and shower surround, new flooring upstairs (2026), new vapor barrier in crawl space (2023), water heater (2025), siding (approx. 2007),
Key facts
- Remodeled bathroom
- Water heater
- New mound septic
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property is not currently leased; Possession at closing
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Space for 6 vehicles; Gravel driveway (owned)
- Utilities: Well water; Septic sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 2 stories; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Estimated age 81–90 years
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 160; Lot less than 0.25 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (9 x 14); Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms; Master bedroom on the second level (10 x 17); Bedroom on the second level (9 x 19); Bedroom on the main level (9 x 12)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Forced air
- Interior features: 5 total rooms; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on main level (8 x 8); In-unit laundry with gas dryer hookup and laundry closet; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $232 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $235k).
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.2% in Lake Villa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#42 in IL, #889 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute D-.
- Chsd 117 (suburban): math 36% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #135 of 620 in IL (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 89 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 948 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (424 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $42k; list at $235k implies a 460% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.24%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $236,942
- List price
- $235,000
- Delta
- -11.37%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21911 W Linden Ave | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 | 1,188 (-4%) | 20mo | $275,000 | $231 | 71 |
| 21621 W Cedar Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,374 (+11%) | 6mo | $235,000 | $171 | 52 |
| 21594 W Pine St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,394 (+12%) | 20mo | $285,000 | $204 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-23,170
- Equity at exit
- $35,039
- IRR
- -0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-660
- Equity at exit
- $20,319
Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60046
- Active inventory
- 89
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,507 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax from tax record
- −$418 /mo · $5,012/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$526
- Net cashflow
- $232
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,750
- Closing costs
- $7,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 851 Sanctuary Dr Lake Villa, IL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1218 | $2,010 | $1.65 | 1d | 3 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $235,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $235,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $235,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $235,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $235,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $235,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $235,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $235,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
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2026-06-07pricestatusdays on market $235,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $210,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 40 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $210,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 39 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $210,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $210,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 37 DOM
-
2026-05-06historical Contingent - Continue to Show 618-char remark
-
2026-04-24$210,000 Active 618-char remark
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2026-04-02historical Contingent - Continue to Show
-
2026-04-01historical
-
2026-03-30Active
-
1985-11-01soldstatus $42,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,012 · $418/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,173 · $431/mo
- Expected delta
- +$161/yr (+$13/mo · 3.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,080
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,164
- − Property taxes
- −$5,012
- − Insurance
- −$1,175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,406
- − Management
- −$2,406
- − Depreciation
- −$6,836
- Taxable loss
- −$920
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$221
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,009/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chsd 117
- NCES district ID
- 1703870
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $80,993
- Composite
- 35.79/100
- National rank
- #4836
- State rank
- #135 of 620 in IL
Livability — Lake Villa
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #42
- US rank
- #889
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lake County · 591,991 people
- City population
- 34,708
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,613
- Household income
- $126,042
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 282.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 700,217 people
- By 2030
- 693,290 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 673,588 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 643,556 · -8.1%
- By 2075
- 562,792 · -19.6%
- By 2100
- 457,715 · -34.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 9% Asian 6% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 13% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.8) · D 59.7% · R 38.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.1pp toward D · 2008: 19.6pp · 2024: 20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.8 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+20.3 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+19.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -137.45%
- Current HPI
- 202.1374
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+459.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $235,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-06 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-06 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-24 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-02 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-30 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1985-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2024): $5,012 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…