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39101 N Walnut St
C- Composite 50.85
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.9/15.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$235,000

39101 N Walnut St · Lake Villa, IL 60046
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,240 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1940 9,583 sqft lot $190/sqft · at area comps Est $237k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

NEW MOUND SEPTIC BEING INSTALLED PRIOR TO CLOSING. Permits already pulled. Closing to be August 2nd or later. Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Lake Villa offering great space and value! The main level features an XL living room, kitchen, laundry area, and a convenient main-floor bedroom or office (no closet). Upstairs you'll find two very large bedrooms plus a spacious storage closet. Situated on an oversized lot with an 8x10 shed with electric-perfect for storage or hobbies. Recent updates include a remodeled bathroom with new subfloor, flooring, toilet, and shower surround, new flooring upstairs (2026), new vapor barrier in crawl space (2023), water heater (2025), siding (approx. 2007),

Key facts

  • Remodeled bathroom
  • Water heater
  • New mound septic

Tags

NEW MOUND SEPTICOVERSIZED LOT8X10 SHEDREMODELED BATHROOMNEW VAPOR BARRIERWATER HEATER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property is not currently leased; Possession at closing
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Space for 6 vehicles; Gravel driveway (owned)
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; 2 stories; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Estimated age 81–90 years
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 160; Lot less than 0.25 acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (9 x 14); Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms; Master bedroom on the second level (10 x 17); Bedroom on the second level (9 x 19); Bedroom on the main level (9 x 12)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Forced air
  • Interior features: 5 total rooms; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room on main level (8 x 8); In-unit laundry with gas dryer hookup and laundry closet; Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $232 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $235k).
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.2% in Lake Villa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#42 in IL, #889 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute D-.
  • Chsd 117 (suburban): math 36% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #135 of 620 in IL (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 89 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 948 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (424 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $42k; list at $235k implies a 460% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $235,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
7.48%
Cash-on-cash
4.24%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$236,942
List price
$235,000
Delta
-11.37%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
21911 W Linden Ave 0.09mi 3/1.5 1,188 (-4%) 20mo $275,000 $231 71
21621 W Cedar Ave 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,374 (+11%) 6mo $235,000 $171 52
21594 W Pine St 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,394 (+12%) 20mo $285,000 $204 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.6%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-23,170
Equity at exit
$35,039
10-year hold
IRR
-0.1%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-660
Equity at exit
$20,319

Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60046

Active inventory
89
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,507 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,232
Tax from tax record
$418 /mo · $5,012/yr
Insurance
$98
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$526
Net cashflow
$232

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,213
Max offer price $235,000
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$58,750
Closing costs
$7,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
851 Sanctuary Dr Lake Villa, IL 2.0 1.0–2.0 1218 $2,010 $1.65 1d 3 1.27mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $235,000 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $235,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $235,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $235,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $235,000 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $235,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $235,000 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $235,000 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricestatusdays on marketlisting id $235,000 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $210,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 40 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $210,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 39 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $210,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 38 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $210,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 37 DOM
  15. 2026-05-06
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show 618-char remark
  16. 2026-04-24
    listed $210,000 Active 618-char remark
  17. 2026-04-02
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show
  18. 2026-04-01
    historical
  19. 2026-03-30
    listed Active
  20. 1985-11-01
    soldstatus $42,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,012 · $418/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,173 · $431/mo
Expected delta
+$161/yr (+$13/mo · 3.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,080
− Mortgage interest
−$13,164
− Property taxes
−$5,012
− Insurance
−$1,175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,406
− Management
−$2,406
− Depreciation
−$6,836
Taxable loss
−$920
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$221
After-tax cash flow
$3,009/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chsd 117
NCES district ID
1703870
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$80,993
Composite
35.79/100
National rank
#4836
State rank
#135 of 620 in IL

Livability — Lake Villa

Score
83/100
State rank
#42
US rank
#889

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D- Cost of living C+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lake County · 591,991 people
City population
34,708
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
34,613
Household income
$126,042
Rent vs Own
15.8% rent · 84.2% own
Severe rent burden
282.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
700,217 people
By 2030
693,290 · -1.0%
By 2040
673,588 · -3.8%
By 2050
643,556 · -8.1%
By 2075
562,792 · -19.6%
By 2100
457,715 · -34.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 9% Asian 6% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 13% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.8) · D 59.7% · R 38.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+1.1pp toward D · 2008: 19.6pp · 2024: 20.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.8 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+20.3 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+19.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -137.45%
Current HPI
202.1374
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+459.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $235,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-06 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-06 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-24 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-02 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-01 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-30 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1985-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $5,012 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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