🌊 Lakefront
6964 13 Fillmore Ave · Perry, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Appreciation +5.4/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Enjoy Silver Lake Living at a Fraction of the Cost! ~ Located in the Silver Lake Institute Community ~ Quiet Streets lined with "Hansel & Gretel" Style Historic Homes! ~ Manageable Sized Year Round Home and Lot ~ Open First Floor ~ Parking Area to the Left of the House ~ Walk or Take Your Golf Cart Approx 250 feet down to the Lakefront or 125 feet up to the Private Burt Park ~ Swimming & Fishing Available off the Blue Dock ~ Boat Docking Available to those on the waitlist ~ Pool Access to Residents and adjacent Asbury Camp ~ Convenient to both Buffalo & Rochester ~ Less than 10 minutes to Golf at Silver Lake Country Club, The Silver Lake Drive-in / Charcoal Corra
Key facts
- Swimming and fishing
- Private burt park
- Lakefront access
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Annual association fee of $600; Community amenities: basketball court, dock, playground, tennis courts
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; Driveway parking
- Utilities: Cable available; High-speed internet available; Public water (connected); Sewer connected
- Home design: 2-story home; Resale property
- Construction: Wood siding; Asphalt roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Existing (previously built)
- Exterior features: Balcony; Deck; Open porch; Dirt driveway
Interior
- Kitchen: Appliances negotiable; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 5 (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Forced air; Stove heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Thermal windows; Separate/formal dining room; Combined living and dining area; Natural woodwork
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $189 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 4.2% in Perry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#348 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Perry Central School District (rural): math 53% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #272 of 590 in NY (top 46%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 83 units permitted in Wyoming County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $731 appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
- Wyoming County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.12%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $154,224
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3901 (40) Janes Ave #3901 | 0.12mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,452 (+12%) | 3mo | $28,000 | $19 | 65 |
| 3865 Locust Ln Ln | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (+12%) | 12mo | $235,000 | $161 | 58 |
| 126 Euclid Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,177 (-9%) | 15mo | $130,000 | $110 | 55 |
| 3783 Euclid Ave #136 | 0.37mi | 3/1.5 | 1,407 (+9%) | 18mo | $168,000 | $119 | 54 |
| 3995 Luther Rd | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,128 (-13%) | 9mo | $226,000 | $200 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.73% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $12,660
- Equity at exit
- $32,716
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.57×
- Total profit
- $43,906
- Equity at exit
- $42,422
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14427
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 16
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,177 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$50
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$247
- Net cashflow
- $189
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $50 · $600/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $99,900 Pending 8 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31statusdays on market $99,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31status $99,900 Active Under Contract 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,120
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,498
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,130
- − Management
- −$1,130
- − HOA
- −$600
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $761
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$183
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,088/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
A well-maintained single-family home with average condition, offering potential for cosmetic upgrades to enhance its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and property value
- Both Interior paint and minor repairs — Improves the home's appearance and value
- Both HVAC system inspection and maintenance — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency
- Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Modernizes the home and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both Interior paint and minor repairs — Improves the home's appearance and value ↑
- Both HVAC system inspection and maintenance — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency ↑
- Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Modernizes the home and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Perry Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3622770
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▲ 12.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,386
- Composite
- 49.23/100
- National rank
- #2036
- State rank
- #272 of 590 in NY
Livability — Perry
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #348
- US rank
- #5898
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,875
Population outlook (Wyoming County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,976 people
- By 2030
- 37,826 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 35,585 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 32,841 · -15.7%
- By 2075
- 25,920 · -33.5%
- By 2100
- 19,082 · -51.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Iranian 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wyoming
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.2) · D 25.9% · R 74.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: -26.1pp · 2024: -48.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.2 2020: R+45.5 2016: R+51.0 2012: R+29.6 2008: R+26.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.73%
- Current HPI
- 256.065
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
-20.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $99,900 UNYREIS
- 2026-01-07 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2026-01-02 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2025-11-06 Price Changed $113,900 UNYREIS
- 2025-10-13 Price Changed $119,900 UNYREIS
- 2025-10-04 Price Changed $124,900 UNYREIS
- 2025-09-07 Price Changed $129,900 UNYREIS
- 2025-09-06 Listed $124,900 UNYREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…