130 Savoy Park · Madison, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 76.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.5/30.0
- ARV discount +12.5/15.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$324,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great home in Lake Caroline! This beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is located in the highly sought-after Germantown School District and offers all the luxuries and conveniences of the Lake Caroline community. Featuring new flooring and fresh paint throughout, it's truly move-in ready. Inside, you'll find a nice eat-in kitchen area with a pantry, a convenient laundry room, and a large garage with an additional storage room. Outside, enjoy a private backyard with a covered patio—perfect for relaxing or entertaining.
Key facts
- Eat-in kitchen area
- Private backyard
- Covered patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $325k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $70 ($844/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $272k (16.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $272k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.7% in Madison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#4 in MS, #1,556 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
- Madison County School District (rural): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #3 of 130 in MS (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 628 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 553 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 264 days — a 12% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 264 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.93%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $365,851
- List price
- $324,900
- Delta
- -11.19%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 102 Hampton Chase | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 2,030 (+6%) | 2mo | $370,000 | $182 | 69 |
| 175 Shore View Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,906 (-1%) | 1mo | $394,900 | $207 | 64 |
| 146 French Br | 0.07mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,121 (+10%) | 4mo | $354,500 | $167 | 63 |
| 120 Hampton Chase | 0.27mi | 3/2.5 | 2,126 (+11%) | 1mo | $199,000 | $94 | 63 |
| 169 Shore View Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.5 | 1,860 (-3%) | 3mo | $393,000 | $211 | 62 |
| 110 Hutto Ln | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,895 (-1%) | 1mo | $395,000 | $208 | 62 |
| 136 Prescott Rdg | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,645 (-14%) | 3mo | $299,000 | $182 | 61 |
| 174 Shore View Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,880 (-2%) | 2mo | $364,900 | $194 | 60 |
| 110 Brisco St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,964 (+2%) | 2mo | $365,000 | $186 | 56 |
| 116 Springs Xing | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,899 (-1%) | 3mo | $378,000 | $199 | 55 |
| 140 Hampton Rdg | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 | 1,804 (-6%) | 3mo | $350,000 | $194 | 51 |
| 469 Caroline Blvd | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,189 (+14%) | 1mo | $423,000 | $193 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-49,291
- Equity at exit
- $48,444
- IRR
- -7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-41,730
- Equity at exit
- $28,091
Cash invested: $90,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39110
- Home prices YoY
- -28.3%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 628
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,720 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax from tax record
- −$240 /mo · $2,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$571
- Net cashflow
- $70
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,225
- Closing costs
- $9,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Mason Way Madison, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1614 | $2,600 | $1.61 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 108 Buckeye Dr Madison, MS | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2400 | $2,650 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 125 Memory Ln Madison, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1838 | $2,800 | $1.52 | 23d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $324,900 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $324,900 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $324,900 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $324,900 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $324,900 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $324,900 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $324,900 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $324,900 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $324,900 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $324,900 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $324,900 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $324,900 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $324,900 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $324,900 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-01-22status Active 525-char remark
Show marketing remark (525 chars)
Great home in Lake Caroline! This beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is located in the highly sought-after Germantown School District and offers all the luxuries and conveniences of the Lake Caroline community. Featuring new flooring and fresh paint throughout, it's truly move-in ready. Inside, you'll find a nice eat-in kitchen area with a pantry, a convenient laundry room, and a large garage with an additional storage room. Outside, enjoy a private backyard with a covered patio—perfect for relaxing or entertaining.
-
2025-12-31historical 525-char remark
Show marketing remark (525 chars)
Great home in Lake Caroline! This beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is located in the highly sought-after Germantown School District and offers all the luxuries and conveniences of the Lake Caroline community. Featuring new flooring and fresh paint throughout, it's truly move-in ready. Inside, you'll find a nice eat-in kitchen area with a pantry, a convenient laundry room, and a large garage with an additional storage room. Outside, enjoy a private backyard with a covered patio—perfect for relaxing or entertaining.
-
2025-09-05$324,900 Active 525-char remark
Show marketing remark (525 chars)
Great home in Lake Caroline! This beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is located in the highly sought-after Germantown School District and offers all the luxuries and conveniences of the Lake Caroline community. Featuring new flooring and fresh paint throughout, it's truly move-in ready. Inside, you'll find a nice eat-in kitchen area with a pantry, a convenient laundry room, and a large garage with an additional storage room. Outside, enjoy a private backyard with a covered patio—perfect for relaxing or entertaining.
-
2019-06-24historical
-
2019-05-21$213,900
-
2018-07-27soldstatus
-
2017-11-28$207,000
-
2017-11-27soldstatus
-
2017-11-08historical
-
2017-01-26$214,000
-
2006-05-05soldstatus
-
2006-04-27soldstatus
-
2006-02-26$214,500
-
2005-01-24soldstatus
-
2005-01-19soldstatus
-
2004-02-28$193,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,875 · $240/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,875 · $240/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,645
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,199
- − Property taxes
- −$2,875
- − Insurance
- −$1,624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,612
- − Management
- −$2,612
- − Depreciation
- −$9,452
- Taxable loss
- −$4,729
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,135
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,979/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802790
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,579
- Composite
- 48.08/100
- National rank
- #2188
- State rank
- #3 of 130 in MS
Livability — Madison
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #1556
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Madison County · 75,005 people
- City population
- 50,443
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,443
- Household income
- $125,506
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 227.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,509 people
- By 2030
- 131,737 · +7.5%
- By 2040
- 148,930 · +21.6%
- By 2050
- 164,300 · +34.1%
- By 2075
- 197,495 · +61.2%
- By 2100
- 211,429 · +72.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Black 15% Asian 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.3) · D 40.8% · R 58.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.7pp toward R · 2008: -15.6pp · 2024: -17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.3 2020: R+11.8 2016: R+16.1 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+15.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -60.99%
- Current HPI
- 154.6909
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.61%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+68.3% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-22 Relisted — MLSU
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-09-05 Listed $324,900 MLSU
- 2019-06-24 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2019-05-21 Listed $213,900 MLSU
- 2018-07-27 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2017-11-28 Listed $207,000 MLSU
- 2017-11-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-11-08 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2017-01-26 Listed $214,000 MLSU
- 2006-05-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-04-27 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2006-02-26 Listed $214,500 MLSU
- 2005-01-24 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2005-01-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-02-28 Listed $193,000 MLSU
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,875 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…