CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
130 Savoy Park
D+ Composite 49.32
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$324,900

130 Savoy Park · Madison, MS 39110
3 bd · 4.0 ba · 1,921 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 264 Days on market
Built 2004 10,018 sqft lot $169/sqft · 11% below area Est $366k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great home in Lake Caroline! This beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is located in the highly sought-after Germantown School District and offers all the luxuries and conveniences of the Lake Caroline community. Featuring new flooring and fresh paint throughout, it's truly move-in ready. Inside, you'll find a nice eat-in kitchen area with a pantry, a convenient laundry room, and a large garage with an additional storage room. Outside, enjoy a private backyard with a covered patio—perfect for relaxing or entertaining.

Key facts

  • Eat-in kitchen area
  • Private backyard
  • Covered patio

Tags

LAKE CAROLINE COMMUNITYGERMANTOWN SCHOOL DISTRICTEAT-IN KITCHEN AREAPRIVATE BACKYARDCOVERED PATIO

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $325k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $70 ($844/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $272k (16.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $272k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.7% in Madison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#4 in MS, #1,556 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
  • Madison County School District (rural): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #3 of 130 in MS (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 628 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 553 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 264 days — a 12% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $272,045 (16.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 264 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
6.55%
Cash-on-cash
0.93%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$365,851
List price
$324,900
Delta
-11.19%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
102 Hampton Chase 0.26mi 3/2.0 2,030 (+6%) 2mo $370,000 $182 69
175 Shore View Dr 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,906 (-1%) 1mo $394,900 $207 64
146 French Br 0.07mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,121 (+10%) 4mo $354,500 $167 63
120 Hampton Chase 0.27mi 3/2.5 2,126 (+11%) 1mo $199,000 $94 63
169 Shore View Dr 0.51mi 3/2.5 1,860 (-3%) 3mo $393,000 $211 62
110 Hutto Ln 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,895 (-1%) 1mo $395,000 $208 62
136 Prescott Rdg 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,645 (-14%) 3mo $299,000 $182 61
174 Shore View Dr 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,880 (-2%) 2mo $364,900 $194 60
110 Brisco St 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,964 (+2%) 2mo $365,000 $186 56
116 Springs Xing 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,899 (-1%) 3mo $378,000 $199 55
140 Hampton Rdg 0.64mi 3/2.5 1,804 (-6%) 3mo $350,000 $194 51
469 Caroline Blvd 0.39mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,189 (+14%) 1mo $423,000 $193 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.3%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-49,291
Equity at exit
$48,444
10-year hold
IRR
-7.4%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-41,730
Equity at exit
$28,091

Cash invested: $90,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39110

Home prices YoY
-28.3%
Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
628
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,720 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,704
Tax from tax record
$240 /mo · $2,875/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$571
Net cashflow
$70

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,631
Max offer price $324,900
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,225
Closing costs
$9,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
100 Mason Way Madison, MS 3.0 2.0 1614 $2,600 $1.61 43d 1 0.97mi
108 Buckeye Dr Madison, MS 4.0 3.5 2400 $2,650 $1.10 44d 1 1.27mi
125 Memory Ln Madison, MS 3.0 2.0 1838 $2,800 $1.52 23d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $324,900 Active 264 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $324,900 Active 263 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $324,900 Active 262 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $324,900 Active 261 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $324,900 Active 259 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $324,900 Active 256 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $324,900 Active 255 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $324,900 Active 254 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $324,900 Active 253 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $324,900 Active 249 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $324,900 Active 248 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $324,900 Active 247 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $324,900 Active 246 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $324,900 Active 245 DOM
  15. 2026-01-22
    status Active 525-char remark
    Show marketing remark (525 chars)

    Great home in Lake Caroline! This beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is located in the highly sought-after Germantown School District and offers all the luxuries and conveniences of the Lake Caroline community. Featuring new flooring and fresh paint throughout, it's truly move-in ready. Inside, you'll find a nice eat-in kitchen area with a pantry, a convenient laundry room, and a large garage with an additional storage room. Outside, enjoy a private backyard with a covered patio—perfect for relaxing or entertaining.

  16. 2025-12-31
    historical 525-char remark
    Show marketing remark (525 chars)

    Great home in Lake Caroline! This beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is located in the highly sought-after Germantown School District and offers all the luxuries and conveniences of the Lake Caroline community. Featuring new flooring and fresh paint throughout, it's truly move-in ready. Inside, you'll find a nice eat-in kitchen area with a pantry, a convenient laundry room, and a large garage with an additional storage room. Outside, enjoy a private backyard with a covered patio—perfect for relaxing or entertaining.

  17. 2025-09-05
    listed $324,900 Active 525-char remark
    Show marketing remark (525 chars)

    Great home in Lake Caroline! This beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is located in the highly sought-after Germantown School District and offers all the luxuries and conveniences of the Lake Caroline community. Featuring new flooring and fresh paint throughout, it's truly move-in ready. Inside, you'll find a nice eat-in kitchen area with a pantry, a convenient laundry room, and a large garage with an additional storage room. Outside, enjoy a private backyard with a covered patio—perfect for relaxing or entertaining.

  18. 2019-06-24
    historical
  19. 2019-05-21
    listed $213,900
  20. 2018-07-27
    soldstatus
  21. 2017-11-28
    listed $207,000
  22. 2017-11-27
    soldstatus
  23. 2017-11-08
    historical
  24. 2017-01-26
    listed $214,000
  25. 2006-05-05
    soldstatus
  26. 2006-04-27
    soldstatus
  27. 2006-02-26
    listed $214,500
  28. 2005-01-24
    soldstatus
  29. 2005-01-19
    soldstatus
  30. 2004-02-28
    listed $193,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,875 · $240/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,875 · $240/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,645
− Mortgage interest
−$18,199
− Property taxes
−$2,875
− Insurance
−$1,624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,612
− Management
−$2,612
− Depreciation
−$9,452
Taxable loss
−$4,729
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,135
After-tax cash flow
$1,979/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison County School District
NCES district ID
2802790
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$70,579
Composite
48.08/100
National rank
#2188
State rank
#3 of 130 in MS

Livability — Madison

Score
81/100
State rank
#4
US rank
#1556

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Madison County · 75,005 people
City population
50,443
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
50,443
Household income
$125,506
Rent vs Own
9.1% rent · 90.9% own
Severe rent burden
227.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,509 people
By 2030
131,737 · +7.5%
By 2040
148,930 · +21.6%
By 2050
164,300 · +34.1%
By 2075
197,495 · +61.2%
By 2100
211,429 · +72.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 15% Asian 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 6% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · China, Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
R (+17.3) · D 40.8% · R 58.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-1.7pp toward R · 2008: -15.6pp · 2024: -17.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.3 2020: R+11.8 2016: R+16.1 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+15.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -60.99%
Current HPI
154.6909
Rent YoY
▲ 2.61%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+68.3% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-22 Relisted MLSU
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2025-09-05 Listed $324,900 MLSU
  • 2019-06-24 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2019-05-21 Listed $213,900 MLSU
  • 2018-07-27 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2017-11-28 Listed $207,000 MLSU
  • 2017-11-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-11-08 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2017-01-26 Listed $214,000 MLSU
  • 2006-05-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-04-27 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2006-02-26 Listed $214,500 MLSU
  • 2005-01-24 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2005-01-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-02-28 Listed $193,000 MLSU

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,875 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…