🏷️ Likely Rental
1701 27th Ave · Phenix City, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 76.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great investment opportunity! This 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offers over 2,000 square feet of living space and is currently rented for $1,250 per month on a 12-month lease, providing immediate income for investors. Spacious floor plan and strong rental potential make this a solid addition to any portfolio. Tenant occupied.
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- 3 parking spots
- Built 1950
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No community features listed
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Three parking spaces total
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level / single-story; No shared/attached walls
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Front porch; Back yard fencing; Corner lot; Has a view; No additional exterior features listed
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop
- Bedrooms: Four main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Two fireplaces in the family room; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $884 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $113k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.1% vs local median 5.0% in Phenix City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#297 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Phenix City (suburban): math 22% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #59 of 129 in AL (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 217 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 183 units permitted in Russell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,014/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) (locally 1399% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Russell County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.3% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $76k; list at $120k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.56%
- DSCR
- 2.40
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $225,120
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1123 28th Ave | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 | 1,944 (-3%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $85 | 64 |
| 2710 11th Pl | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,977 (-2%) | 11mo | $222,000 | $112 | 50 |
| 1907 28th Ct | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 | 2,168 (+8%) | 19mo | $189,900 | $88 | 47 |
| 1804 Auburn Rd | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,740 (-13%) | 16mo | $295,000 | $170 | 31 |
| 1332 Ingersoll Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,738 (-14%) | 19mo | $219,900 | $127 | 20 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.24×
- Total profit
- $41,629
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 37.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.85×
- Total profit
- $129,342
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36867
- Home prices YoY
- -30.1%
- Rents YoY
- 5.3%
- Active inventory
- 217
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,014 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $336/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$423
- Net cashflow
- $884
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1346 Ingersoll Dr Phenix City, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $1,700 | $1.17 | 13d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1910 Kittrell Dr Phenix City, AL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2100 | $2,250 | $1.07 | 13d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 651 Builder Dr Phenix City, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1415 | $1,750 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2905 7th St Phenix City, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2290 | $2,000 | $0.87 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $120,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $120,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $120,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $120,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-03-31status Active
-
2026-03-16status Pending
-
2026-03-08$120,000 Active
-
2025-12-11historical
-
2025-09-30price $100,000
-
2025-09-30$100,000 New
-
2025-09-16$119,000 Active
-
2025-08-30price $119,000
-
2025-08-05price $124,000
-
2025-07-08price $129,000
-
2025-05-28$133,000 Active
-
2024-05-29status Pending
-
2024-05-16$36,000 Active
-
2007-04-27soldstatus $76,331
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $336 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $492 · $41/mo
- Expected delta
- +$156/yr (+$13/mo · 46.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,168
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$336
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,933
- − Management
- −$1,933
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $9,152
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,197
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,409/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Phenix City
- NCES district ID
- 0102700
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,228
- Composite
- 27.29/100
- National rank
- #7001
- State rank
- #59 of 129 in AL
Livability — Phenix City
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #297
- US rank
- #19037
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Phenix City, AL
- County
- Russell County · 53,055 people
- City population
- 62,290
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,821
- Household income
- $48,026
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1399.0
Population outlook (Russell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 70,137 people
- By 2030
- 75,826 · +8.1%
- By 2040
- 87,858 · +25.3%
- By 2050
- 99,721 · +42.2%
- By 2075
- 128,009 · +82.5%
- By 2100
- 149,251 · +112.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Russell
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.4% · R 48.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.6pp toward R · 2008: 7.3pp · 2024: 1.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.7 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+1.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+7.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.10%
- Current HPI
- 171.8426
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.33%
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+57.2% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Relisted — EABOR
- 2026-03-16 Pending — EABOR
- 2026-03-08 Listed $120,000 EABOR
- 2025-12-11 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-09-30 Price Changed $100,000 EABOR
- 2025-09-30 Listed $100,000 GAMLS
- 2025-09-16 Listed $119,000 EABOR
- 2025-08-30 Price Changed $119,000 EABOR
- 2025-08-05 Price Changed $124,000 EABOR
- 2025-07-08 Price Changed $129,000 EABOR
- 2025-05-28 Listed $133,000 EABOR
- 2024-05-29 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2024-05-16 Listed $36,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2007-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $76,331 Public Records
Property tax history
-11.0%/yrLatest (2025): $336 · -68.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…