5083 Hibiscus Ave · Crestview, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
SHORT SALE Opportunity awaits in this 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home offering 1,863 sqft of living space. Giving the advantage of newer major systems while providing the chance to bring their own vision and improvements to the property. Inside, the home features a spacious open-concept layout with a kitchen island, dedicated dining area, split-bedroom floor plan, and generously sized rooms throughout. This property will require clean-up, repairs, and cosmetic improvement, but presents a strong opportunity for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to build equity.
Key facts
- 1 acre lot
- Built 2022
- Listed 30 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Subdivision: Pines Sub
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Electric service
- Home design: Mobile home style; Single-story; Built in 2022
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composite shingle roof; Built in 2022
- Exterior features: Easements; County road frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 137 x 305; Zoned for single-family residential
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (master on the first floor)
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Kitchen island; Split bedroom floorplan; Washer/dryer hookup
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $133k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.3% vs local median 4.4% in Crestview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#252 in FL, #3,858 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Okaloosa (other): math 60% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #12 of 73 in FL (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Northwood Elementary School (math 63% / reading 56%, grade B-, #690 of 2,144 statewide, top 34%, 828 students, 63% FRL); Crestview High School (math 49% / reading 54%, grade D+, #167 of 667 statewide, top 25%, 2,315 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 36% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 526 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,268 units permitted in Okaloosa County in 2024 (175 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Okaloosa County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.1% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $135k implies a 1250% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.76% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.13%
- DSCR
- 2.43
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.95×
- Total profit
- $35,876
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 30.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.34×
- Total profit
- $88,275
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32539
- Home prices YoY
- -17.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 526
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,377 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$102 /mo · $1,220/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$499
- Net cashflow
- $1,012
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,088 | -5% $1,050 | +0% $1,012 | +5% $974 | +10% $936 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $824 | -5% $918 | +0% $1,012 | +5% $1,106 | +10% $1,200 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,080 | -0.5pp $1,046 | base $1,012 | +0.5pp $977 | +1.0pp $941 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4624 Dove Way Crestview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1369 | $2,100 | $1.53 | 15d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 5237 Kervin Rd Crestview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1563 | $1,746 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.32mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $135,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $135,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $135,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $135,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $135,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-22$135,000 Active
-
2025-12-10price $184,900
-
2025-12-03price $194,900
-
2025-11-11$199,900 Active
-
2021-11-04soldstatus $10,000
-
2005-05-12soldstatus $339,000
-
1998-07-28soldstatus $5,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,220 · $102/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,220 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,525
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,220
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,282
- − Management
- −$2,282
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $10,576
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,538
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,605/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Okaloosa
- NCES district ID
- 1201380
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,601
- Composite
- 51.62/100
- National rank
- #1705
- State rank
- #12 of 73 in FL
Livability — Crestview
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #252
- US rank
- #3858
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Okaloosa County · 194,352 people
- City population
- 58,889
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,290
- Household income
- $74,369
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 371.0
Population outlook (Okaloosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 235,133 people
- By 2030
- 253,483 · +7.8%
- By 2040
- 289,537 · +23.1%
- By 2050
- 322,954 · +37.3%
- By 2075
- 399,624 · +70.0%
- By 2100
- 425,311 · +80.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 12% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Iranian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Okaloosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.4) · D 28.2% · R 70.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.5pp toward D · 2008: -44.9pp · 2024: -42.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.4 2020: R+39.1 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+44.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.52%
- Current HPI
- 261.1557
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.12%
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+2600.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $135,000 ECAR
- 2025-12-10 Price Changed $184,900 ECAR
- 2025-12-03 Price Changed $194,900 ECAR
- 2025-11-11 Listed $199,900 ECAR
- 2021-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
- 2005-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $339,000 Public Records
- 1998-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $5,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+19.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,220 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…